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Entry-Level Hiring Is Drying Up: How Grads Can Survive It

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The U.S. job market isn’t particularly inspiring right now, but it can feel especially discouraging for recent graduates.

Simply put, employers just aren’t looking for entry-level applicants like they used to be. Take your pick of evidence:

•  The unemployment rate for college graduates ages 20 to 24 was 9.3% in August, the highest it’s been since 2021 (and excluding the pandemic period, the highest since 2014.)

•  Entry-level job openings were down 35% between January 2023 and June of this year, according to labor research firm Revelio Labs.

•  Only 30% of 2025 college graduates had secured full-time employment in their fields, down from 41% in 2024, according to a summer survey by Cengage, an online learning firm. Another 33% were unemployed and seeking work, up from 20% in 2024. And 26% were working in jobs unrelated to their degrees.

•  Last year entry-level hiring in the technology sector fell to just 50% of pre-pandemic levels, according to venture capital firm SignalFire.

What is driving this squeeze, and how can graduates adapt?

It’s not just artificial intelligence, though that’s a biggie. Employers are increasingly likely to use AI rather than people. But also, when they look for people who can use AI in their work, it’s not necessarily in entry-level jobs. In fact, since 2023, the number of job openings in roles with high AI exposure (meaning a lot can be performed by AI) has fallen much more at the entry level than at higher levels, the Revelio study shows.

“For grads, the lesson is clear, learning to use AI tools isn’t optional,” Revelio Chief Economist Lisa Simon wrote when she released the research in August. “And for employers, the economics are compelling: overlooking AI at the entry level results in missed opportunities and underutilized talent.”

The job market is also tightening overall. The opaque economy has put a lid on hiring, and when budgets tighten and uncertainty is high, entry-level openings can be the first to go. And then there is a widening skills gap. Graduates often report they don’t have the job-specific skills they need for today’s workplace.

So what?

The runway for young people entering the workforce is changing quickly. If you’re a recent graduate or still in college, don’t count on a traditional path to your first job.

Some strategies to consider:

Learn AI. AI applications are everywhere. And AI isn’t going away. Even if having AI skills ends up becoming less relevant to your career choice, you’ll probably benefit from it in other areas of your life.

Pursue AI-resistant jobs. Roles that combine physical work, real-time problem solving, and situational specificity tend to be the least vulnerable to being replaced with AI.

•  Resume Now, a resume building website, came up with this ranking of the 12 top AI-resistant entry-level jobs. (They also pay a median salary of at least $50,000 and are in fields expected to grow at least 5% faster than average through 2034.) Top on the list? Dental hygienist. Others include medical sonographer, electrician, and HVAC mechanic.

•  The World Economic Forum predicts that over the next five years, the most growth will come from what it calls “frontline job roles — gigs with hands-on or interpersonal requirements like farmworkers, delivery drivers, construction workers, and salespeople. Roles in teaching, nursing, and health care are also expected to grow significantly.

Consider a double major. Young people worried about finding a job are increasingly opting for two fields of study, which some research has linked to a lower likelihood of layoffs or pay cuts. In the 2023-2024 school year, 12% of graduates left school with more than one degree, compared to 6% ten years earlier, according to a Hechinger Report analysis of federal data.

Related Reading

Most Recent Graduates Can’t Find a Full-Time Job From Their Degree (Newsweek)

Young People Can’t Find Jobs. What Should They Do? (BBC)

AI and Your Job: Ranking the Careers Most and Least Impacted (SoFi)


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Please understand that this information provided is general in nature and shouldn’t be construed as a recommendation or solicitation of any products offered by SoFi’s affiliates and subsidiaries. In addition, this information is by no means meant to provide investment or financial advice, nor is it intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision or recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Keep in mind that investing involves risk, and past performance of an asset never guarantees future results or returns. It’s important for investors to consider their specific financial needs, goals, and risk profile before making an investment decision.

The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. These links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement. No brands or products mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this content.

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Please understand that this information provided is general in nature and shouldn’t be construed as a recommendation or solicitation of any products offered by SoFi’s affiliates and subsidiaries. In addition, this information is by no means meant to provide investment or financial advice, nor is it intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision or recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Keep in mind that investing involves risk, and past performance of an asset never guarantees future results or returns. It’s important for investors to consider their specific financial needs, goals, and risk profile before making an investment decision.

The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. These links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement. No brands or products mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this content.

SoFi isn't recommending and is not affiliated with the brands or companies displayed. Brands displayed neither endorse or sponsor this article. Third party trademarks and service marks referenced are property of their respective owners.

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Learn All About California Small Business Loans

California is famously a place where big ideas start small, from Silicon Valley startups to outdoor apparel in Ventura to the future global fastfood chain with humble beginnings in San Bernardino.

Turning ideas like these into reality requires one important ingredient: capital. Many entrepreneurs look to small business loans to get them off their feet and help them grow their business. Here’s a look at what small business owners in California need to not to navigate the lending landscape and find the funding that fits their needs.

Key Points

  • California offers loan guarantee programs that could help with up to $5 million to support small businesses.
  • CalCAP for Small Business aids with strong plans but underwriting challenges, providing guarantees.
  • Microloans, up to $50,000, are accessible with less stringent requirements.
  • Equipment financing allows spreading payments over time, improving cash flow.
  • SBA loans feature lower interest rates and longer repayment terms, benefiting small businesses.

Popular Types of Small Business Loans in California

If you’re a small business in California, here are some of the programs to consider.

California Small Business Loan Programs

The State of California offers several lending programs to small businesses in-state.

The California Small Business Loan Guarantee Program is offered through iBank, which doesn’t issue the loans directly, but rather works with Financial Development Corporations and lenders to offer loan guarantees. The program can pay lenders up to 80% of a small business’s outstanding loan should the borrower default on their loan. The maximum guarantee amount is $5 million.

Similarly, CalCAP for Small Business (CalCAP SB), helps incentivize financial institutions to lend to California small businesses who present strong business plans, but may otherwise have underwriting challenges. Loans of up to $5 million are available under the program.

Various non-profit institutions may also offer loans to California businesses. For example, the Accion Opportunity Fund offers loans of $5,000 to $350,000 as well as one-on-one business advice.

Recommended: Small Business Financing Guide

Term Loans

Generally speaking, small business loans are a type of term loan. These loans offer a lump sum that you pay back at regular monthly intervals with a fixed interest. Some loans are “secured” and may require that you put up collateral, a valuable asset used to back the loan, while others may be “unsecured” and require no collateral.

Small business and startup loans may be used to start or expand a business, make large purchases of real estate or equipment, manage daily operations, or consolidate debt.

Business Lines of Credit

A business line of credit is a form of revolving credit that allows you to borrow money up to a fixed credit limit. The money you borrow is subject to interest payments, and once you pay it back, the money is available to borrow again.

Equipment Financing

Equipment financing is a type of loan designed to help you purchase business equipment, such as machinery, vehicles, or new technology. The equipment purchased often serves as collateral for the loan itself.

Financial equipment costs can be useful for a small business because it offers manageable monthly payments rather than requiring owners to cover the full upfront cost. Spreading payments out can help smooth cash flow, preserving capital for other operational needs.

SBA Loans

SBA loans are small business loans that are partially guaranteed by the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA). The SBA does not offer loans itself. Rather, it partners with traditional lenders, such as banks and credit unions, who provide the loans. SBA guarantees make it easier for lenders to offer loans, as they cover a portion of the remaining loan balance if the borrower can no longer pay. What’s more, SBA loans typically carry lower interest rates than conventional business loans. They may also offer longer repayment terms.

Entrepreneurs can use SBA loans for a variety of purposes, including providing working capital, buying equipment, and purchasing real estate.

There are several types of SBA loans. The most common is the 7(a) loan suitable for most small business purposes. The 504 loan is designed to help business owners purchase real estate or equipment. Disaster loans help small businesses recover in declared disaster areas, and Express loans help businesses that need a quick infusion of cash.

Recommended: SBA Loan Calculator

How to Apply for a Small Business Loan in California

The following steps can help you get organized and increase your chances of qualifying when you apply for a business loan in California.

Define Your Loan Purpose and Amount

Lenders need a clear understanding of why you’re seeking a loan. Get specific about exactly how much you’ll need and what you intend to use the funds for. It is helpful to support your financial request with quotes or estimates from vendors or real estate brokers, for instance.

Know Your Credit Score

Different lenders will have varying credit score requirements for small business loans. For instance, some may require a score of 680 or higher, while others may be willing to work with borrowers with lower scores. Knowing your score helps you understand which lenders are likely to work with you.

Also, keep in mind that lenders will offer their best terms and interest rates to borrowers with higher scores. If you have a relatively low score you may consider improving your credit before you submit an application.

Gather Your Key Documents

Lenders will also want to see business and financial documentation. Be sure you have a detailed business plan, tax returns, and personal and business financial statements. Having these organized and at the ready can help streamline the loan application process.

Compare Lenders and Loan Offers

Shopping around can help you save a significant amount of money. Compare offers from multiple lenders, paying close attention to interest rates, fees, and other costs. Evaluate loan terms carefully to help you pick the loan that best matches your needs and financial situation.

A business loan calculator can help you estimate monthly payments and overall cost of your loan to help you make informed decisions.

Submit Your Application and Await Approval

You can usually submit loan applications directly through banks or online lenders. If your loan is approved, review the loan agreement carefully. Double check the amount of the loan, interest rate, repayment schedule, and other terms before signing.

Grow Your Business the Right Way.
Explore small business funding options in one place with no impact to your credit score.*

Grow Your Business the Right Way.
Explore small business funding options in one place with no impact to your credit score.*

Grow Your Business the Right Way.
Explore small business funding options in one place with no impact to your credit score.*

Tips for Improving Your Loan Approval Chances

There are several concrete steps you can take to improve your chances of qualifying for a loan.

Both your personal and business credit score will play a key role as lenders determine your creditworthiness. Be sure to pay your bills on time and pay down previous debts to help you maintain a healthy credit score.

A thorough business plan is also essential. Be sure yours includes a company overview, market analysis, details on competitors, marketing and sales strategies and a clear explanation of what you plan to do with the loan and how that will help generate revenue.

Other Funding Options for California Small Business

Small businesses may also look into applying for state and local business grants. Grants present a significant advantage to entrepreneurs because, unlike loans, they do not need to be repaid. You can find grant opportunities through the California Grants Portal, which is managed by the California State Library.

Additional Business Resources in California

Sometimes businesses need more than financial support. The SBA, for example, offers SCORE, a business mentoring program dedicated to helping entrepreneurs plan, launch, and grow their small business.

The Takeaway

Access to the right financing can make all the difference for small business owners. Understanding the types of loans available, eligibility requirements, and other resources available to you can help you make strategic choices that set you up for success.

If you’re seeking financing for your business, SoFi is here to support you. On SoFi’s marketplace, you can shop and compare financing options for your business in minutes.


With one simple search, see if you qualify and explore quotes for your business.


Search for financing

(without impacting your credit score)

FAQ

How do I get a small business loan in California?

First, prepare a strong business plan, research federal and state loan options and compare terms and interest rates. Apply for the loan that suits your needs, and review the loan agreement carefully before signing.

Can I get a startup business loan in California with no money?

It is possible to get a startup business loan with no money, but it may be difficult. You may wish to look into programs, such as CalCAP SB, that incentivize lenders to make loans to businesses with little money but strong business plans.

How hard is it to get a small business loan in California?

The ease with which you’ll qualify for a business loan will depend on a variety of factors, including your business plan, your credit score, and your financial standing.

What is the easiest type of business loan to get approved for?

Small businesses may be most likely to get approval for a microloan, which typically offer loan amounts up to $50,000.

What credit score do I need for a small business loan?

The minimum credit score required for an SBA loan and other term loans is typically 680. You may be able to find lenders who work with borrowers with lower scores.

What can I use a small business loan for?

Small business loans may be used for a variety of purposes, such as purchasing real estate and equipment, providing working capital, and consolidating debt.

Are there any small business grants available in California?

There are many small business grants available in California. You can search for opportunities using the California Grants Portal managed by the California State Library.


SoFi's marketplace is owned and operated by SoFi Lending Corp.


Advertising Disclosures: The preliminary options presented on this site are from lenders and providers that pay SoFi compensation for marketing their products and services. This affects whether a product or service is presented on this site. SoFi does not include all products and services in the market. All rates, terms, and conditions vary by provider. See SoFi Lending Corp. licensing information below.



Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.


Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.



External Websites: The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third-party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. Links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement.

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Your time matters. So we’re making business loans as easy as possible by helping you find small business funding fast.


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Decoding Markets: Filling the Blank Space

Blank Space

Aristotle famously said that “nature abhors a vacuum.” In lay terms, the Greek philosopher was saying that any empty space is instantly filled by denser surrounding matter. The idea being that voids are effectively nothingness, and nothingness can’t exist.

Pop singer Taylor Swift, a modern-era philosopher perhaps, sort of gets at the same idea in her song “Blank Space.” I.e. You don’t just let a blank space sit there — you fill it in!

And that’s what Wall Street did. When the government shutdown created a vacuum without hard economic data, investors looked at that blank space and wrote: Unstoppable AI Bull Market.

In other words, without the reality check of inflation reports or jobs data to ground valuations, the market’s imagination was left to run wild. Tech company after tech company announced creative deals to invest in the artificial intelligence ecosystem, exciting some with the promises of a future utopia while worrying others that we might be in for a repeat of the vendor financing fallout seen in the dot-com bubble era.

Under Pressure

Since mid-May, the narrative was comfortable: Treasury yields were falling, stocks were rising. It was a textbook inverse relationship. But as you can see in the chart below, that relationship hit a sour note in October.

 

Stocks and Yields



After months of a smooth ride, the Federal Reserve’s mini- hawkish pivot finally injected some turbulence into the stock market. Fed Chair Jerome Powell explicitly warned that a December rate cut was not a foregone conclusion after the Fed’s Oct. 29 meeting, and since then, stocks and bonds have sold off. A 60/40 investor’s worst nightmare.

This raises a logical question, though: Shouldn’t higher yields signal a stronger economy, which is good for corporate earnings?

Theoretically, yes. If rates are rising because the economy is robust, that should reflect in higher corporate profits. But the market is stumbling, which suggests that the recent rally wasn’t driven entirely by earnings growth, but also by speculation, liquidity, and sentiment.

The numbers support the story. Though the S&P 500’s forward 12-month earnings per share (EPS) rose from $298 the day of the Fed meeting to $302 as of Nov. 19, the index’s forward P/E fell from 23.1x to 21.9x. That means that earnings’ contribution to year-to-date price returns rose from 8.1% to 9.6%, while valuation’s contribution fell from 7.7% to 2.0%.

The current choppiness is a sign that investors realize the Fed may not ease monetary policy as fast as they had initially anticipated.

 

S&P 500 Year-to-Date Price Return



Stuck in the Middle With You

Now that the shutdown is over, the Fed has to navigate the incoming flood of economic data right alongside investors. There are 12 voting members on its rate-setting committee, so at least seven people have to agree on lowering rates. And unlike in the recent past, the central bank is currently a house divided.

As the chart below illustrates, we currently have an even split:

•  4 Doves (favor lowering rates – aka easing)

•  4 Hawks (favor holding rates)

•  4 Neutrals (the swing votes)

(Though a tie has never occurred, it’s thought that a tie would result in the policy remaining unchanged.)

 

Where 2025 FOMC Voters Likely Stand



The neutral group, which includes Powell and Vice Chair Jefferson, effectively holds the keys to the December meeting. If the backlog of data that’s starting to come out shows that the labor market did not deteriorate more during the shutdown, the neutral block will likely slide toward the hawks (and vice versa).

The Sound of Silence

Here is where the calendar works against us. Typically, the Fed likes to signal their intentions leading up to a meeting to ensure the market isn’t surprised by its eventual decision. However, their communications blackout period begins Nov. 29, which is right after Thanksgiving.

Because the data (which is already stale in some ways) is arriving on such a lag, in addition to the November jobs and inflation reports being delayed, there’s a good chance that Fed officials won’t have clearly signaled what they plan to do at their meeting.

That means investors should expect some noise and volatility over the next few weeks as Fed officials dance with the data.

And when they go into their blackout period, perhaps markets will fill in the blank space again. Maybe it’ll be AI again, or maybe it’ll be something else. Your goal is to ensure your portfolio is resilient enough to handle whatever writes its name there next.

 
 
 
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Want more insights from SoFi’s Investment Strategy team? The Important Part: Investing With Liz Thomas, a podcast from SoFi, takes listeners through today’s top-of-mind themes in investing and breaks them down into digestible and actionable pieces.

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SoFi can’t guarantee future financial performance, and past performance is no indication of future success. This information isn’t financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on specific financial needs, goals and risk appetite.

Communication of SoFi Wealth LLC an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. Information about SoFi Wealth’s advisory operations, services, and fees is set forth in SoFi Wealth’s current Form ADV Part 2 (Brochure), a copy of which is available upon request and at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. Mario Ismailanji is a Registered Representative of SoFi Securities and Investment Advisor Representative of SoFi Wealth. Form ADV 2A is available at www.sofi.com/legal/adv.

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