Life Stages Archives | Page 5 of 554

Q: Why Is It Called a Bear Market?

There are a variety of explanations for why 'bear' and 'bull' have come to describe specific market conditions. Some say a market slump is like a bear going into hibernation, versus a bull market that keeps charging upward.

Sep

2023

What Is a Bear Market? Characteristics and Causes, Explained

By Laurel Tincher | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

A bear market is defined as a broad market decline of 20% or more from recent highs, which lasts for at least two months. Although bear markets make for dramatic headlines, the truth is that bull markets tend to last much longer — the average bear market typically ends within a year.

While most investors know the difference between a bull and a bear market, it’s important to know some of the characteristics of bear markets in order to understand how different market conditions may impact your portfolio and your investment choices.

What Is a Bear Market?

Investors and market watchers generally define a bear market as a drop of 20% or more from market highs. So when investors refer to a bear market, it usually means that multiple broad market indexes, such as the Standard & Poors 500 Index (S&P 500), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and others, fell by 20% or more over at least two months.

To be sure, 20% is a somewhat arbitrary barometer, but it’s a common enough standard throughout the financial world.

The term bear market can also be used to describe a specific security. For example, when a particular stock drops 20% in a short time, it can be said that the stock has entered a bear market.

Bear markets are usually associated with economic recessions, although this isn’t always the case. As economic activity slows, people lose jobs, consumer spending falls, and business earnings decline. As a result, many companies may see their share prices tumble or stagnate as investors pull back.

Why Is It Called a Bear Market?

There are a variety of explanations for why “bear” and “bull” have come to describe specific market conditions. Some say a market slump is like a bear going into hibernation, versus a bull market that keeps charging upward.

The origins of the term bear market may also have come from the so-called bearskin market in the 18th century or earlier. There was a proverb that said it is unwise to sell a bear’s skin before one has caught the bear. Over time the term bearskin, and then bear, became used to describe the selling of assets.

Characteristics of a Bear Market

There are two different types of bear markets:

• Regular bear market or cyclical bear market: The market declines and takes a few months to a year to recover.

• Secular bear market: This type of bear market lasts longer and is driven more by long-term market trends than short-term consumer sentiment. A cyclical bear market can happen within a secular bear market.

History of Bear Markets

The most recent U.S. bear market began in June 2022, largely sparked by rising interest rates and inflation. The bear market officially ended on June 8, 2023, lasting about 248 trading days, according to Dow Jones Market Data, and resulting in a market drop of about 25.4%.

Including the most recent bear market, the S&P 500 Index posted 12 declines of more than 20% since World War II. The table below shows the S&P 500’s returns from the highest point to the lowest point in a downturn. Bear markets average a decline of 34%, and generally last a little more than a year: about 400 days.

Recommended: What Is a Financial Crisis?

Bear markets have occurred as close together as two years and as far apart as nearly 12 years. A secular bear market refers to a longer period of lower-than-average returns; this could last 10 years or more. A secular bear market may include minor rallies, but these don’t take hold.

A cyclical bear market is more likely to last a few weeks to a few months and is more a function of market volatility.

Peak (Start)	Trough (End)	Return	Length (in days)
May 29, 1946	May 17, 1947	-28.78%	353
June 15, 1948	June 13, 1949	-20.57%	363
August 2, 1956	October 22, 1957	-21.63%	446
December 12, 1961	June 26, 1962	-27.97%	196
February 9, 1966	October 7, 1966	-22.18%	240
November 29, 1968	May 26, 1970	-36.06%	543
January 11, 1973	October 3, 1974	-48.20%	630
November 28, 1980	August 12, 1982	-27.11%	622
August 25, 1987	December 4, 1987	-33.51%	101
March 27, 2000	Sept. 21, 2001	-36.77%	545
Jan. 4, 2002	Oct. 9, 2002	-33.75%	278
October 9, 2007	Nov. 10, 2008	-51.93%	408
Jan. 6, 2009	March 9, 2009	-27.62%	62
February 19, 2020	March 23, 2020	-34%	33
June 2022	June 8, 2023	-25%	248
Average		-34%	401

Source: Seeking Alpha/Dow Jones Market Data as of June 8, 2023.

What Causes a Bear Market?

Usually bear markets are caused by a loss of consumer, investor, and business confidence. Various factors can contribute to the loss of consumer confidence, such as changes to interest rates, global events, falling housing prices, or changes in the economy.

When the market reaches a high, people may feel that certain assets are overvalued. In that instance, people are less likely to buy those assets and more likely to start selling them, which can make prices fall.

When other investors see that prices are falling, they may anticipate that the market has reached a peak and will start declining, so they may also sell off their assets to try and profit on them before the decline. In some cases panic can set in, leading to a mass sell-off and a stock market crash (but this is rare).

Is a Recession the Same as a Bear Market?

No. Bear market conditions can lead to recessions if the market slump lasts long enough. But this isn’t always the case. According to the National Bureau of Economic Research as reported in The New York Times, the U.S. has been in a recession only 14% of the time since World War II.

What Is a Bear Market Rally

Things can get tricky if there is a bear market rally. This happens when the market goes back up for a number of days or weeks, but the rise is only temporary. Investors may think that the market decline has ended and start buying, but it may in fact continue to decline after the rally. Sometimes the market does recover and go back into a bull market, but this is hard to predict.

If the bear market continues on long enough then it becomes a recession, which can go on for months or years. That said, it’s not always the case that a bear market means there will be a recession.

Once asset prices have decreased as much as they possibly can, consumer confidence begins to rise again, and people start buying. This reverses the bear market trend into a bull market, and the market starts to recover and grow again.

Example of a Bear Market

The most recent bear market occurred in June of 2022, when the S&P 500 closed 21.8% lower than its high on Jan. 3, 2022.

While the Nasdaq and the Dow showed a similar pattern in early 2022, the decline of those markets didn’t cross the 20% mark that signals official bear market territory.

Bear Market vs Bull Market

A bull market is essentially the opposite of a bear market. As consumer confidence increases, money goes into the markets and they go up.

A bull market is defined as a 20% rise from the low that the market hit in a bear market. However, the parameters of a bull market are not as clearly defined as they are for a bear market. Once the bottom of the bear market has been reached, people generally feel that a bull market has started.

Investing Tips During a Bear Market

There are a few different bear market investing strategies one can use to both prepare for a bear market and navigate through one.

1. Reduce Risky Investments

When preparing for a bear market, it’s a good idea to reduce riskier holdings such as growth stocks and speculative assets. One can move money into cash, gold, bonds, or other ‘safe’ investments to reduce the risk of losses if the market goes down.

These safe investments tend to perform better than stocks during a bear market. Types of stocks that tend to weather bear markets well include consumer staples and healthcare companies.

2. Diversify

Another investing strategy is diversification. Rather than having all of one’s money in stocks, distribute your investments across asset classes, e.g. precious metals, bonds, crypto, real estate, or other types of investments.

This way, if one type of asset goes down a lot, the others might not go down as much. Similarly, one asset may increase a lot in value, but it’s hard to predict which one, so diversifying increases the chances that one will be exposed to the upward trend, and you’ll see a gain.

3. Save Capital and Reduce Losses

During a bear market, a common strategy is to shift from growing capital into saving it and reducing losses. It may be tempting to try and pick where the market has hit the bottom and start buying growth assets again, but this is very hard to do. It’s safer to invest small amounts of money over time using a dollar-cost averaging strategy so that one’s investments all average out, rather than trying to predict market highs and lows.

4. Find Opportunities for Future Growth

However, in a broad sense if the market is at a high and assets are clearly overvalued, this may not be the best time to buy. And vice versa if assets are clearly undervalued it may be a good time to buy and grow one’s portfolio. A bear market can be a good time to identify assets that might grow in the next bull market and start investing in them.

5. Short Selling

A very risky strategy that some investors take is short selling in anticipation of a bear market. This involves borrowing shares and selling them, then hoping to buy them back at a lower price. It’s risky because there is no guarantee that the price of the shares will fall, and since the shares are borrowed, typically using a margin account, they may end up owing the broker money if their trade doesn’t work out as they hope.

Overall, it’s best to create a long-term investing strategy rather than focusing on short-term trends and making reactive decisions to market changes. It can be scary to watch one’s portfolio go down, especially if it happens fast, but selling off assets because the market is crashing generally doesn’t turn out well for investors.

The Takeaway

Bear markets can be scary times for investors, but even a prolonged drop of 20% or more isn’t likely to last more than a few months, according to historical data. In some cases, bear markets present opportunities to buy stocks at a discount (meaning, when prices are low), in the hope they might rise.

Also there are strategies you can use to reduce losses and prepare for the next bull market, including different types of asset allocation. The point is that whether the markets are considered bearish or bullish, any time can be a good time to invest.

If you’re looking to build a portfolio, no matter what the market, it’s easy when you set up an Active Invest account with SoFi Invest. The secure investing app lets you research, track, buy and sell stocks, ETFs, crypto, and other assets right from your phone or computer. You can easily move between different types of assets and you can set automated recurring investments if you want to put in a certain dollar amount each week or month. All you need is a few dollars to get started.

Start building a portfolio today.

FAQ

How long do bear markets last?

Bear markets may last a few months to a year or more, but most bear markets end within a year’s time. If they go on longer than that they typically become recessions. And while a bear market can end in a few months, it can take longer for the market to regain lost ground.

When was the last bear market?

The most recent bear market started in June of 2022, when the S&P 500 fell from record highs in January for more than two months.

Photo credit: iStock/Morsa Images

Sep

2023

Is Inflation a Good or Bad Thing for Consumers?

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

There are two sides to inflation for consumers: The rising cost of goods and services means that the basic cost of living rises for most people. But the right amount of inflation can spur production and economic growth.

Deciding whether inflation is good or bad therefore depends on how various factors might play out in different economic sectors.

What Is Inflation?

Inflation is an economic trend in which prices for goods and services rise over time. The Federal Reserve uses different price indexes to track inflation and determine how to shape monetary policy.

Generally speaking, the Fed targets a 2% annual inflation rate as measured by pricing indexes, including the Consumer Price Index. Historically, though, the inflation rate has been about 3.3%.

Rising demand for goods and services can trigger inflation when there’s an imbalance in supply. This is known as demand-pull inflation.

Cost-push inflation occurs when the price of commodities rises, pushing up the price of goods or services that rely on those commodities.

Asking whether inflation is bad isn’t the right lens for this economic factor. Inflation can have both pros and cons for consumers and investors. Understanding the potential effects of inflation can maximize the positives while minimizing the negatives.

💡 Quick Tip: How do you decide if a certain trading platform or app is right for you? Ideally, the investment platform you choose offers the features that you need for your investment goals or strategy, e.g., an easy-to-use interface, data analysis, educational tools.

Is Inflation Good or Bad?

Answering the question of whether inflation is good or bad means understanding why inflation matters so much. The Federal Reserve takes an interest in inflation because it relates to broader economic and monetary policy.

Some level of inflation in an economy is normal, and an indication that the economy is continuing to grow. While inflation has remained relatively low over the past decade, it has historically seen the most change during or right after recessions.

The Fed believes that its 2% target inflation rate encourages price stability and maximum employment.

Recommended: 7 Factors That Cause Inflation

Broadly speaking, high inflation can make it difficult for households to afford basic necessities, such as food and shelter. When inflation is too low, that can lead to economic weakening. If inflation trends too low for an extended period of time, consumers may come to expect that to continue, which can create a cycle of low inflation rates.

That sounds good, as lower inflation means prices are not increasing over time for goods and services. So consumers may not struggle to afford the things they need to maintain their standard of living. But prolonged low inflation can impact interest rate policy.

The Federal Reserve uses interest rate cuts and hikes to keep the economy on an even keel. For example, if the economy is in danger of overheating because it’s growing too rapidly, or inflation is increasing too quickly, the Fed may raise rates to encourage a pullback in borrowing and spending.

Conversely, when the economy is in a downturn, the Fed may cut rates to try to promote spending and borrowing.

When both inflation and interest rates are low, that may not leave much room for further rate cuts in an economic crisis, which may spur higher employment rates. If prices for goods and services continue to decline, that could lead to a period of deflation or even a recession.

So, is inflation good or bad? The answer is that it can be a little of both. How deeply inflation affects consumers or investors — and who it affects most — depends on what’s behind rising prices, how long inflation lasts, and how the Fed manages interest rates.

What Is Core Inflation?

Core inflation measures the rising cost of goods and services in the economy, but excludes food and energy costs. Food and energy prices are notoriously volatile, even though demand for these staples tends to remain steady.

Both food and energy prices are partly driven by the price of commodities — which also tend to fluctuate, owing to speculation in the commodities markets. So the short-term price changes in these two markets make it difficult to include them in a long-term reading of inflationary trends: hence the core inflation metric.

The Consumer Price Index and the core personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) are the two main ways to measure underlying inflation that’s long term.

Who Benefits from Inflation?

The Federal Reserve believes some inflation is good and even necessary to maintain a healthy economy. The key is keeping inflation rates at acceptable levels, such as the 2% annual inflation rate target. Staying within this proverbial Goldilocks zone can result in numerous positive impacts for consumers and the economy in general.

That said, the core inflation rate began to climb out of that range in Q1 of 2021, and reached a peak of about 9.02% in June 2022. As of Q3 2023, the inflation rate has eased down in the 4.0% range, according to data from the Consumer Price Index.

Inflation Pros

Sustainable inflation can yield these benefits:

• Higher employment rates

• Continued economic growth

• Potential for higher wages if employers offer cost-of-living pay raises

• Cost-of-living adjustments for those receiving Social Security retirement benefits

The danger, of course, is that inflation escalates too rapidly, requiring the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates as a result. This increases the overall cost of borrowing for consumers and businesses.

Who Is Inflation Good For?

Inflation can benefit certain groups, depending on how it impacts Fed shapes monetary policy. Some of the people who can benefit from inflation include:

• Savers, if an interest rate hike results in higher rates on savings accounts, money market accounts or certificates of deposit

• Debtors, if they’re repaying loans with money that’s worth less than the money they borrowed

• Homeowners who have a low, fixed-rate mortgage

• People who hold investments that appreciate in value as inflation rises

💡 Quick Tip: Distributing your money across a range of assets — also known as diversification — can be beneficial for long-term investors. When you put your eggs in many baskets, it may be beneficial if a single asset class goes down.

Who Does Inflation Hurt the Most?

Some of the negative effects of inflation are more obvious than others. And there may be different consequences for consumers versus investors.

Inflation Cons

In terms of what’s bad about inflation, here are some of the biggest cons:

• Higher inflation means goods and services cost more, potentially straining consumer paychecks

• Investors may see their return on investment erode if higher inflation diminishes purchasing power, or if they’re holding low-interest bonds

• Unemployment rates may climb if employers lay off staff to cope with rising overhead costs

• Rising inflation can weaken currency values

Inflation can be particularly bad if it leads to hyperinflation. This phenomenon occurs when prices for goods and services increase uncontrolled over an extended period of time. Generally, this would mean an inflation growth rate of 50% or more per month. While hyperinflation has never happened in the United States, there are many examples from different time periods around the world: For example, Zimbabwe experienced a daily inflation rate of 98% in 2007-2008, when prices doubled every day.

Recommended: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation

Who Is Inflation Bad For?

The negative impacts of inflation can affect some more than others. In general, inflation may be bad for:

• Consumers who live on a fixed income

• People who plan to borrow money, if higher interest rates accompany the inflation

• Homeowners with an adjustable-rate mortgage

• Individuals who aren’t investing in the market as a hedge against inflation

Inflation and higher prices can be detrimental to retirees whose savings may not stretch as far, particularly when health care becomes more expensive.

If the cost of living increases but wages stagnate, that can also be problematic for workers because they end up spending more for the same things.

Get up to $1,000 in stock when you fund a new Active Invest account.**

Access stock trading, options, automated investing, IRAs, and more. Get started in just a few minutes.

**Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $10 within 30 days of opening the account.
Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

How to Invest During Times of Inflation

While inflation is an investment risk to consider, some investing strategies can help minimize its impact on your portfolio.

How to Protect Your Money From Inflation

The first step is to understand that inflation rates may be variable from year to year, but the upward trend in the cost of goods and services is typically a factor investors must contend with. Essentially, if inflation is historically about 2% per year, it’s ideal to look for returns above that.

For example, while savings accounts may yield more interest if the Fed raises interest rates, investing in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds could generate higher returns, though these investments also come with a higher degree of risk.

• Diversification. Having a diversified portfolio that includes a mix of stock and bonds and other asset classes may help mitigate the impact of inflation.

• Always be aware of investment costs and the impact of taxes and fees. Minimizing investment costs is a time-honored way to keep more of what you earn.

• Investing in Treasury-Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). TIPS are government-issued securities designed to generate consistent returns regardless of inflationary changes.

• If prices are rising, that can increase rental property incomes. You could benefit from that by investing in real estate ETFs or real estate investment trusts (REITs) if you’d rather not own property directly.

• Compounding interest allows you to earn interest on your interest, which is key to building wealth.

• Dollar-cost averaging means investing continuously, whether stock prices are low or high. When inflationary changes are part of a larger shift in the economic cycle, investors who dollar-cost average can still reap long term benefits, despite rising prices.

The Takeaway

Inflation is unavoidable, but you can take steps to minimize the impact to your personal financial situation. Building a well-rounded portfolio of stocks, ETFs and other investments is one strategy for keeping pace with rising inflation. Being aware of how taxes and fees can impact your returns is another way to keep more of what you earn.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

How is economic deflation different from inflation?

Deflation is when the cost of goods and services trends downward rather than upward (the sign of inflation). Deflation can be positive for consumers, as their money goes further, but prolonged deflation can also be a sign of a contraction.

How do homeowners benefit from inflation?

Typically tangible assets like real estate tend to increase in value over time, even in the face of inflation. Currency, on the other hand, tends to lose value.

How does the government measure inflation?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics produces the Consumer Price Index (CPI), based on the change in cost for a range of goods and services. The CPI is the most common measure of inflation.

Photo credit: iStock/AJ_Watt

SoFi Invest®
The information provided is not meant to provide investment or financial advice. Also, past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s specific financial needs, goals, and risk profile. SoFi can’t guarantee future financial performance. Advisory services offered through SoFi Wealth, LLC. SoFi Securities, LLC, member FINRA / SIPC . SoFi Invest refers to the three investment and trading platforms operated by Social Finance, Inc. and its affiliates (described below). Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of the platforms below.
1) Automated Investing—The Automated Investing platform is owned by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC registered investment advisor (“Sofi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC, an affiliated SEC registered broker dealer and member FINRA/SIPC, (“Sofi Securities).
2) Active Investing—The Active Investing platform is owned by SoFi Securities LLC. Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
3) Cryptocurrency is offered by SoFi Digital Assets, LLC, a FinCEN registered Money Service Business.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above, including state licensure of Sofi Digital Assets, LLC, please visit www.sofi.com/legal. Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform. Information related to lending products contained herein should not be construed as an offer or prequalification for any loan product offered by SoFi Bank, N.A.

Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by email customer service at [email protected]. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing. Shares of ETFs must be bought and sold at market price, which can vary significantly from the Fund’s net asset value (NAV). Investment returns are subject to market volatility and shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of an ETF will not protect against loss. An ETF may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.

Tax Information: This article provides general background information only and is not intended to serve as legal or tax advice or as a substitute for legal counsel. You should consult your own attorney and/or tax advisor if you have a question requiring legal or tax advice.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

SOIN0723137

Sep

2023

Guide To Understanding Layaway Plans

By Jamie Cattanach | Budgeting & Goals, Financial Independence, money | Comments Off

If you’ve heard of layaway, you may think it’s an old-fashioned concept, but it’s still available and can help people afford an item without breaking out their credit card.

Here’s how layaway works in a nutshell: You buy an item over time via installment payments. When you’ve paid the full price, you get to take your purchase home. There may be fees involved as well as the possibility of forfeiting your payments if you can’t keep up with them, but this technique can be a helpful tool in some situations.

In this guide, you’ll learn more about layaway so you can decide if it’s right for you, including:

• What is layaway?

• How does layaway work?

• What are the pros and cons of layaway?

• Which stores offer layaway?

• What are alternatives to layaway?

What Is Layaway?

Layaway’s meaning is quite simple: You make a deposit, and a retailer holds your item (or lays it away) and collects the rest of the money over time. When paid in full, you collect your purchase.

Here’s a bit more detail on how layaway works.

• The customer chooses an item that’s eligible for layaway and makes whatever down payment the store requires to implement a layaway plan. (This amount varies based on the retailer, and may or may not include a service fee.)

• The customer then makes regular payments over time based on the retailer’s schedule. These payments may be made weekly, biweekly, or monthly. Online layaway plans let customers buy items according to scheduled deductions from their checking account.

• At the end of the layaway plan period, when the item has been paid for in full, the customer takes their purchase home or receives it in the mail.

One additional point about how layaway works: If the customer makes late payments or cancels the layaway plan entirely, they may be charged a restocking or cancellation fee — and may also forfeit some or all of the money they’ve put toward the purchase already.

💡 Quick Tip: Tired of paying pointless bank fees? When you open a bank account online you often avoid excess charges.

Why Use a Layaway Plan?

From the store’s perspective, layaway offers a low-risk way to make sales to those who might not otherwise be able to afford the purchase all at once.

Although the retailer might choose to charge a small fee to cover the item’s being tied up for the length of the layaway, if worse comes to worse and the buyer defaults, they can simply put the item back up on the shelf for sale.

From a buyer’s perspective, the attractiveness of layaway is even more obvious: It allows those who might not otherwise have the financial leverage to make large purchases affordably, over time.

Layaway is unique among financing options in that it often doesn’t involve interest, which means it can often be a more affordable choice than other types of credit or loans.

Pros and Cons of Layaway

Like any financial approach or product, there are both benefits and drawbacks to layaway plans.

Pros of Layaway

• The consumer doesn’t have to go into debt to make a purchase they would otherwise not be able to afford. Using layaway can help you avoid charging an item on your credit card, which typically incurs high interest rates (which makes it bad vs. good debt).

• Layaway plans don’t require a credit check — which also means that the consumer’s credit won’t be affected if they can’t pay the plan on time or in full.

• Fees associated with layaway plans are generally low and often don’t include interest.

Cons of Layaway

• Although they’re generally low, layaway plans do come with associated fees, such as service, restocking, and cancellation fees — and some of these may be non-refundable.

On the topic of fees, it’s worth noting that buying relatively inexpensive items on layaway can make the associated service fees proportionately costlier than they would be on higher-priced purchases.

• If the customer makes late payments or fails to pay in full, they might forfeit some or all of the money they’ve already put toward the purchase (though this varies by vendor, so check with the individual retailer you’re considering for full details).

• Repayment terms can be inflexible and it’s up to the vendor to set the repayment schedule.

• Layaway takes time and patience; it’s an example of delayed gratification. It may be less attractive to those who want or need to take home the purchase immediately rather than waiting until it’s been paid in full.

Ready for a Better Banking Experience?

Open a SoFi Checking and Savings Account and start earning up to 4.50% APY on your cash!

Stores That Offer Layaway Plans

Layaway was originally offered back in the 1930s as a result of the Great Depression, then began fading away when the history of credit cards reveals that using “plastic,” as it’s sometimes known, became more common later in the 20th century.

The history of recessions tells us they do happen over the years, and the popularity of layaway surged again during the Great Recession of 2007-2009.

These days, many retailers still offer both in-store and online layaway, either for the holidays or year-round.

In some cases, you may only be able to implement layaway on certain products — generally more expensive ones, like appliances and jewelry.

Layaway programs come and go, but retailers that currently offer layaway include the following. Note that a couple of these retailers offer layaway purchases via a service called Affirm; more on that below:

• Amazon

• Best Buy

• Big Lots

• Burlington Coat Factory

• Sears

• Target

• Walmart

If you’re unsure whether or not a retailer offers layaway, you can always ask!

💡 Quick Tip: Your money deserves a higher rate. You earned it! Consider opening a high-yield checking account online and earn 0.50% APY.

4 Alternatives to Layaway

Here are some other ways customers can get their hands on items they might not be able to buy in a single purchase.

1. Similar Pay-over-time Plans

Some retailers, especially for online purchases, offer buy-now-pay-later or pay-over-time programs that are similar to layaway — rather than paying the full price today, you pay small installments over time.

On the plus side, customers can often receive their purchases before the payment plan has been completed.

However, some of these programs, like Affirm (a payment option available at checkout at many online retailers), can involve interest charges, particularly if borrowers are late on their payments or don’t complete the repayment plan in full.

2. Credit Cards

Credit cards are an obvious alternative to layaway plans — and using them, of course, means that the purchase can be taken home right away.

In fact, credit cards are sort of like the opposite of layaway: With layaway, you pay for an item and then receive it, whereas with credit cards, you receive it now and pay for it later.

(A quick vocabulary lesson: You may hear the term “buy now, pay later” vs. credit cards. If offered “buy now, pay later,” do your research to learn the details. These arrangements may be a kind of layaway. They often charge no interest, making them potentially a better move than using plastic.)

Of course, using credit cards almost always involves compounding interest charges, often close to or more than 20%, which is nothing to sneeze at.

Since it’s easy to carry a revolving balance while making minimum monthly payments, credit cards can quickly lead to a credit card debt spiral that can be difficult to climb out of.

💡 Quick Tip: When you feel the urge to buy something that isn’t in your budget, try the 30-day rule. Make a note of the item in your calendar for 30 days into the future. When the date rolls around, there’s a good chance the “gotta have it” feeling will have subsided.

3. Reconfiguring Your Budget

If being unable to make large purchases is more of a systemic problem than a one-time issue, some budget management may be in order.

Looking at how much money is coming in versus going out and then figuring out where cuts can be made and changing buying habits can be an important step. This can help you save up for the purchases you really need — and want — to make.

Shopping around to find the best deals can also help ensure that a purchase price is as low as possible, regardless of how you decide to finance it.

Recommended: Different Types of Budgets

4. Saving Up for a Purchase

Another option to layaway is to save up in advance until you have enough cash to go ahead and buy the item outright. Let’s say you want to buy a new laptop. You might automate your savings and have $25 transferred from checking on payday to your savings account (ideally, a high-interest one). Over time, the savings will build up and interest will accrue.

When you reach the amount needed, ta-da! You can go purchase your new laptop, without paying any interest or other fees related to buying it over time.

Recommended: Book Now, Pay Later Travel

Opening a Savings Account

If you’d like to start saving for a purchase, it can be wise to find a bank account that offers low or no fees and a solid interest rate to help your money grow faster.

Interested in opening an online bank account? When you sign up for a SoFi Checking and Savings account with direct deposit, you’ll get a competitive annual percentage yield (APY), pay zero account fees, and enjoy an array of rewards, such as access to the Allpoint Network of 55,000+ fee-free ATMs globally. Qualifying accounts can even access their paycheck up to two days early.

Better banking is here with up to 4.50% APY on SoFi Checking and Savings.

FAQ

How does a layaway plan work?

A layaway plan works by a customer paying installments over time until they have given the retailer the full price of the desired item. At that time, the buyer receives their item. A fee may be involved, but typically there are no interest charges.

Is it a good idea to buy things on layaway?

Layaway can be a good idea in some situations. It can help some customers purchase an otherwise out-of-reach item and avoid using high-interest credit cards and incurring debt. However, one must be able to wait to get the item, and the buyer could be charged fees. They might also forfeit payments if they can’t keep up with the installments that are due.

What is the difference between an installment plan and a layaway plan?

The terms layaway plan and installment plan are typically used interchangeably to refer to buying an item over time. You make regular payments that are a fraction of the full price until the item is paid up. Then, the purchase is yours.

SoFi® Checking and Savings is offered through SoFi Bank, N.A. ©2023 SoFi Bank, N.A. All rights reserved. Member FDIC. Equal Housing Lender.
The SoFi Bank Debit Mastercard® is issued by SoFi Bank, N.A., pursuant to license by Mastercard International Incorporated and can be used everywhere Mastercard is accepted. Mastercard is a registered trademark, and the circles design is a trademark of Mastercard International Incorporated.

SoFi members with direct deposit activity can earn 4.50% annual percentage yield (APY) on savings balances (including Vaults) and 0.50% APY on checking balances. Direct Deposit means a deposit to an account holder’s SoFi Checking or Savings account, including payroll, pension, or government payments (e.g., Social Security), made by the account holder’s employer, payroll or benefits provider or government agency (“Direct Deposit”) via the Automated Clearing House (“ACH”) Network during a 30-day Evaluation Period (as defined below). Deposits that are not from an employer or government agency, including but not limited to check deposits, peer-to-peer transfers (e.g., transfers from PayPal, Venmo, etc.), merchant transactions (e.g., transactions from PayPal, Stripe, Square, etc.), and bank ACH funds transfers and wire transfers from external accounts, do not constitute Direct Deposit activity. There is no minimum Direct Deposit amount required to qualify for the stated interest rate.

SoFi members with Qualifying Deposits can earn 4.50% APY on savings balances (including Vaults) and 0.50% APY on checking balances. Qualifying Deposits means one or more deposits that, in the aggregate, are equal to or greater than $5,000 to an account holder’s SoFi Checking and Savings account (“Qualifying Deposits”) during a 30-day Evaluation Period (as defined below). Qualifying Deposits only include those deposits from the following eligible sources: (i) ACH transfers, (ii) inbound wire transfers, (iii) peer-to-peer transfers (i.e., external transfers from PayPal, Venmo, etc. and internal peer-to-peer transfers from a SoFi account belonging to another account holder), (iv) check deposits, (v) instant funding to your SoFi Bank Debit Card, (vi) push payments to your SoFi Bank Debit Card, and (vii) cash deposits. Qualifying Deposits do not include: (i) transfers between an account holder’s Checking account, Savings account, and/or Vaults; (ii) interest payments; (iii) bonuses issued by SoFi Bank or its affiliates; or (iv) credits, reversals, and refunds from SoFi Bank, N.A. (“SoFi Bank”) or from a merchant.

SoFi Bank shall, in its sole discretion, assess each account holder’s Direct Deposit activity and Qualifying Deposits throughout each 30-Day Evaluation Period to determine the applicability of rates and may request additional documentation for verification of eligibility. The 30-Day Evaluation Period refers to the “Start Date” and “End Date” set forth on the APY Details page of your account, which comprises a period of 30 calendar days (the “30-Day Evaluation Period”). You can access the APY Details page at any time by logging into your SoFi account on the SoFi mobile app or SoFi website and selecting either (i) Banking > Savings > Current APY or (ii) Banking > Checking > Current APY. Upon receiving a Direct Deposit or $5,000 in Qualifying Deposits to your account, you will begin earning 4.50% APY on savings balances (including Vaults) and 0.50% on checking balances on or before the following calendar day. You will continue to earn these APYs for (i) the remainder of the current 30-Day Evaluation Period and through the end of the subsequent 30-Day Evaluation Period and (ii) any following 30-day Evaluation Periods during which SoFi Bank determines you to have Direct Deposit activity or $5,000 in Qualifying Deposits without interruption.

SoFi Bank reserves the right to grant a grace period to account holders following a change in Direct Deposit activity or Qualifying Deposits activity before adjusting rates. If SoFi Bank grants you a grace period, the dates for such grace period will be reflected on the APY Details page of your account. If SoFi Bank determines that you did not have Direct Deposit activity or $5,000 in Qualifying Deposits during the current 30-day Evaluation Period and, if applicable, the grace period, then you will begin earning the rates earned by account holders without either Direct Deposit or Qualifying Deposits until you have Direct Deposit activity or $5,000 in Qualifying Deposits in a subsequent 30-Day Evaluation Period. For the avoidance of doubt, an account holder with both Direct Deposit activity and Qualifying Deposits will earn the rates earned by account holders with Direct Deposit.

Members without either Direct Deposit activity or Qualifying Deposits, as determined by SoFi Bank, during a 30-Day Evaluation Period and, if applicable, the grace period, will earn 1.20% APY on savings balances (including Vaults) and 0.50% APY on checking balances.

Interest rates are variable and subject to change at any time. These rates are current as of 8/9/2023. There is no minimum balance requirement. Additional information can be found at http://www.sofi.com/legal/banking-rate-sheet..

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.

SOBK0723016

Sep

2023

7 Factors That Cause Inflation

By Colin Dodds | invest, Investing, Preparing for Retirement | Comments Off

There are a number of factors that can cause inflation, including an increase in the cost of raw materials, an increase in the currency supply, and more. When the cost of goods and services rise over time, and consumers have to spend more to buy basic items, that’s considered inflation.

Inflation is an economic reality, but the government tries to regulate inflation so that it remains at a low but steady pace. The target is 2.0%, but historically it’s closer to 3.3%. A period of higher inflation began in early 2021, thanks in part to supply chain bottlenecks resulting from the pandemic.

Inflation isn’t necessarily a bad thing — it can also result from an economic upturn. But when the prices of goods and services rise in relation to the dollar, or the currency in use, the result is that each unit of currency will buy less of just about everything than it previously did.

Here’s a closer look at how to track inflation, and seven factors that cause prices to increase.

How to Track Inflation

The most commonly used measure to track inflation is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) each month. The CPI tracks the average of prices of a set of goods and services. While the CPI leaves out important aspects of consumer spending, such as real estate and education, it is considered a valuable gauge of the ever-changing cost of living.

What Is Core Inflation?

Core inflation also measures the rising cost of goods and services, but it excludes food and energy costs. The reason being that both food and energy prices are partly driven by the price of commodities — which tend to be volatile, owing to speculation in the commodities markets. So the short-term price changes in food and energy make it difficult to include them in a long-term reading of inflationary trends: hence the core inflation metric.

The Consumer Price Index and the core personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) are the two main ways to measure underlying inflation that’s long term.

Inflation also shows up in the wholesale price index (WPI), which measures and tracks the changes in the price of commodities and other goods that are traded between businesses.

💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

Types of Economic Inflation

There are a range of different types of inflation, although they are fundamentally interrelated.

Cost-Push Inflation

Cost-push inflation occurs when the price of commodities rises, pushing up the price of goods or services that rely on those commodities. For example, owing to high demand for certain types of minerals used in technology equipment, the prices for those goods are likely to rise.

Demand-Pull Inflation

Rising demand for goods and services can trigger inflation when there’s an imbalance in supply vs. demand. This is known as demand-pull inflation. For example, if there’s a high demand for pork (or if there’s a slump on the supply side owing to pork shortages), that could drive up the price of bacon, ham, and other pork products.

Built-In Inflation

Built-in inflation is the result of an upward spiral in wages, as workers seek raises to keep up with the cost of living. This in turn can lead businesses to raise their prices, adding to the higher prices.

As you can see, these three types of inflation are connected through the loop of supply and demand.

Recommended: 5 Tips to Hedge Against Inflation

What Causes Inflation?

While inflation has become a persistent factor in most of the world’s economies, it can result from a range of different causes. Understanding the different causes can help investors manage inflation risk — i.e. the possibility that the money you invest won’t earn enough to keep up with inflation.

1. The Economy Is Going Strong

When the economy is growing, more people have jobs, wages increase in order to hire and keep those workers, and more people have money to spend. As a result, they buy more necessities and some even splurge on luxury items.

In this environment, businesses can increase their prices, and consequently, wholesalers can increase prices. The net result of this cycle of expansion is higher prices across the board: aka inflation.

This scenario is why inflation isn’t always bad news. In fact, the Federal Reserve aims for a target annual inflation rate of around 2%, because it indicates a growing economy. As noted above, this kind of inflation is a type of “demand-pull inflation,” because it is driven by consumer demand.

In fact, deflation — when the prices of goods fall for a period of time — can also be considered unhealthy because it can mean demand among consumers is weak.

2. There Is More Currency Available

Inflation can also occur when the Fed, or another central bank, adds fiat currency into circulation at a rate that exceeds that of the economy’s growth rate. That creates a situation in which there are more dollars bidding on fewer goods and services. The result is that goods and services cost more.

One reason that inflation has been a constant in the U.S. since 1933 is that the Fed has continually increased the money supply. In response to the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed dropped its lending rate close to zero as a way to inject more liquidity into the economy, which led to increased inflation but not hyperinflation. While those increases have usually moved in step with growth, that hasn’t always been the case.

In response to the Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent lockdowns, the Fed released the equivalent of $3.8 trillion in new liquidity in 2020. That amount was equal to roughly 20% of the dollars previously in circulation. And it is one reason why many investors were watching the CPI closely in 2021 — and were not surprised when inflation began to climb through 2022.

3. Basic Materials Increase in Price

In the 1970s in the U.S., inflation was rampant. There were many reasons for this, but one major one was the OPEC oil embargoes. The embargoes led to a gas shortage, higher prices for home-heating oil, higher prices at the pump, and increases in the prices of manufacturing and shipping for nearly every single consumer good.

Between 1973 and 1974, inflation-adjusted oil prices jumped from $25.97 per barrel to $46.35. And as a result, inflation topped 11% that year.

Another one of the most dramatic periods of inflation was the period of 1979-1981, when inflation topped 10% for three straight years. Again, oil was a major contributing factor, as the Iranian Revolution set off further increases in the price of oil.

Recommended: Guide to Investing in Oil

4. The Housing Market Takes Off

The housing market is a major part of the U.S. economy, and it has an outsized impact on the broader economy. When the housing market is strong and home prices are rising, then homeowners have more equity to call upon to make major purchases, which can goose inflation.

At the same time, a strong housing market means that homeowners, contractors, and builders are spending more on home improvements and buying the raw materials that make those new and improved homes possible. That, in turn, drives up the prices of those raw materials, such as steel, lumber, and oil, which can lead to more inflation.

💡 Quick Tip: Newbie investors may be tempted to buy into the market based on recent news headlines or other types of hype. That’s rarely a good idea. Making good choices shouldn’t stem from strong emotions, but a solid investment strategy.

5. The Government Implements Expansionary Fiscal Policies

The federal government will occasionally try to jumpstart economic growth with new policies. These expansionary fiscal policies often seek to increase the amount of discretionary income that businesses and consumers have to spend.

Often, these policies take the form of reduced taxes with the belief that businesses will spend it on employee compensation and new hiring. That will allow more consumers to spend on goods and services.

Other times, those policies consist of massive infrastructure projects, which can increase the demand for goods and services. The increasing of overall liquidity due to central bank monetary policy is also considered an expansionary policy.

6. New Regulations Increase Costs

While a shortage of an essential commodity, like oil, can cause inflation, so can an increase in costs related to a commodity suddenly becoming more expensive because of government regulations.

Sometimes new tariffs can increase the costs of imported goods, which can lead to inflation. At the same time, new regulations that make a particular commodity or service more expensive or time-consuming to obtain can also increase the costs to consumers, leading to inflation.

7. The Exchange Rate Changes

The value of the U.S. dollar in relation to all other foreign currencies is constantly in flux. If the dollar goes down, then imported commodities and consumer goods get more expensive. But it also makes goods exported from the U.S. cheaper abroad, which can actually be a boost for the economy.

The Takeaway

Inflation in the U.S. has been a constant since 1933. Most years inflation is a slow drip of almost imperceptible price increases, but there have been times when it has risen sharply, as it did during the late 70s and early 80s. This was a painful period for many consumers and inflation became a major political issue.

Inflation was fairly gradual in the decades since then, but after stimulus packages during the Covid-19 pandemic and a reopening of the economy boosted prices and growth, inflation took off. It reached a peak of about 9.02% in June of 2022, and has eased down closer to the historical average of about 3.28% throughout 2023.

The forces that can stir or mitigate inflation are important for investors to understand. Managing your investment strategy in light of the inevitable impact of inflation can help offset inflation risk — the risk that your money won’t retain its purchasing power in the future.

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

How does raising interest rates help inflation?

Higher interest rates may help slow spending, because the cost of borrowing increases as rates rise. People may also be inclined to take advantage of higher rates by saving more, which can also slow demand and cool the economy.

How quickly does inflation decrease to normal levels?

Cycles of inflation historically have lasted many years, or a couple of months. How quickly inflation subsides depends on economic conditions overall, as well as the origins of a particular bout of inflation. If employment numbers change, if interest rates rise or fall, if demand overshoots supply — these are among the factors that can influence inflation.

Who benefits from inflation?

There are a couple of scenarios where inflation can be beneficial. For example, those with bigger debts can benefit from inflation because the money they’re using to pay off their car or home loan, say, is now less valuable than the money they borrowed. Those working in jobs made more secure by rising demand can also benefit. In some cases, holding foreign currency may be more beneficial in relation to the inflationary currency. Inflation is fluid, and it’s important to gauge which factors are at play before deciding what is beneficial or not.

Who is hurt most by inflation?

Lower-income households are disproportionately affected by inflation, because the cost of goods and services is rising faster than wages. Another group hit hard by inflation is retirees and those living on fixed incomes, because their money is buying less over time.

Photo credit: iStock/marchmeena29

Sep

2023

How Dark Pools Operate – and Why They Exist

What Is a Dark Pool in Trading?

By Colin Dodds | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Dark pools, sometimes referred to as “dark pools of liquidity,” are a type of alternative trading system used by large institutional investors to which the investing public does not have access.

Living up to their “dark” name, these pools have no public transparency by design. Institutional investors, such as mutual fund managers, pension funds, and hedge funds, use dark pool trading to buy and sell large blocks of securities without moving the larger markets until the trade is executed.

Understanding the History of Dark Pools

The history of dark pools in the trading world starts in the 1980s, following changes at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) which effectively allowed brokers to make trades in large share blocks. Later, in the mid-2000s, further SEC changes that were meant to cut trading costs and increase market competition led to an increase in dark pool trading.

Dark Pool Examples

There are many dark pools out there, and they can be operated by independent companies, brokers or broker groups, or stock exchanges themselves. An internet search would bring up names of specific dark pools.

But to get a sense of how a dark pool can be used to investors’ benefit, say there’s a mutual fund looking to sell 2 million shares of Stock X. Given that selling that amount of shares would create ripples in the market, the mutual fund may not want to sell them all at once. As such, they sell them in blocks of 10,000, 1,500, or 5,000 shares — and find buyers for the smaller blocks accordingly.

This method makes it less obvious that a huge number of shares are being sold, which could avoid Stock X’s shares losing value quickly.

Who Runs Dark Pools?

Investment banks typically run dark pools, but some other institutions run them as well, including large broker-dealers, agency brokers, and even some public exchanges. Some trading platforms, where individual investors buy and sell stocks, also use dark pools to execute trades using a payment for order flow.

Recommended: What Is a Market Maker?

The role of dark pools in the market varies over time. At times, dark pool trades comprise as much as half of all trading in a single day, while at other times, they make up significantly less of U.S. equity volume.

Because trades in a dark pool aren’t reflected in the prices on a public exchange, participants in a dark pool trade based on the prices offered on a public exchange, using the midpoint of the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) to set prices.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

Why Institutions Use Dark Pools

Large, institutional investors such as hedge funds, may turn to dark pools to get a better price when buying or selling large blocks of a single stock. That’s because of the way that large trades impact the public markets.

As discussed, if a mutual fund manager, for example, wants to sell a million shares of a given stock because it’s underperforming or no longer fits their strategy, they’d need to use a floor trader to unload the position on a public exchange. Selling all those shares could impact the price they get, driving down the VWAP (volume weighted average price) of the total sale.

To avoid driving down the price, the manager might spread out the trade over several days. But if other traders identify the institution or the fund that’s selling they could also sell, potentially driving down the price even further.

The same risk exists when buying large blocks of a given security on a public market, as the purchase itself can attract attention and drive up the price.

New Risks

The risks of attracting attention from other traders have intensified with the rise of algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). These strategies employ sophisticated computer programs to make big trades just ahead of other investors. HFT programs flood public exchanges with buy or sell orders to front-run giant block trades, and force the fund manager in the above example to get a worse price on their trade.

Dark Pool Benefits

Utilizing a dark pool and conducting a dark trade, institutional investors can sell a million shares of a stock without the public finding out because dark pool participants don’t disclose their trades to participants on the exchange. The details of trades within a dark pool only show up after a delay on the consolidated tape — the electronic system that collates price and volume data from major securities exchanges.

There are other advantages for an institutional trader. Because the buyers and sellers in a dark pool are other institutional traders, a fund manager looking to sell a million shares of a given stock is more likely to find buyers who are in the market for a million shares or more. On a public exchange, that million-share sale will likely need to be broken up into dozens, if not hundreds of trades.

Criticism of Dark Pools

As dark pools have grown in prominence, they’ve attracted criticism from many directions, and scrutiny from regulators. For instance, the lack of transparency in dark pools and the exclusivity of their clientele makes some investors uneasy. Some even believe that the pools give large investors an unfair advantage over smaller investors, who buy and sell almost exclusively on public exchanges.

💡 Quick Tip: Investment fees are assessed in different ways, including trading costs, account management fees, and possibly broker commissions. When you set up an investment account, be sure to get the exact breakdown of your “all-in costs” so you know what you’re paying.

The Takeaway

As discussed, dark pools are sometimes referred to as “dark pools of liquidity,” and are a type of alternative trading system used by large institutional investors to which the investing public does not have access. They’re typically run and utilized by large investment banks.

Given the nature of dark pools, they attracted criticism from some due to the lack of transparency, and the exclusivity of their clientele. While the typical investor may not interact with a dark pool, knowing the ins and outs may be helpful background knowledge.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

How can you see dark pool trades?

Investors can access dark pool trading data through various securities information processors, and can be accessed through FINRA’s website as well.

Who regulates dark pools?

The Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, is the government body that regulates dark pools and dark pool trading.

What are dark pools in cryptocurrency?

A dark pool in cryptocurrency is more or less the same as a dark pool in other equities markets, and is a place that matches buyers and sellers for large orders outside of a public exchange or view.

How do dark pools differ from lit pools?

As many might surmise, lit pools are effectively the opposite of dark pools, in that they show trading data such as number of shares traded and bid/ask prices.

Photo credit: iStock/DNY59