candlestick stock chart

Important Candlestick Patterns to Know


Editor's Note: Options are not suitable for all investors. Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Please see the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Candlestick charts are one of many popular tools used for technical stock analysis. They are also called Japanese candlestick charts or patterns, because they were first invented in Japan in the 1700s to track the prices of rice. Today, candlestick patterns are used to reveal potential patterns in stock price movements.

Candlestick charts are one of multiple types of technical tools that traders use to analyze stock prices. There are some general patterns that are helpful to know and understand if you’re using candlestick charts while trading.

Key Points

•   Candlestick patterns show sequences of price changes, which may help assess stock price movements.

•   The use of candlestick patterns originated in 18th-century Japan, as a way to anticipate price trends and reversals.

•   The rectangular body of the candle represents a stock’s opening and closing prices; the wicks (or shadows) represent the high and low of the time period.

•   The color of a candlestick (green, white, red, or black) is a visual snapshot of the price direction, whether bullish or bearish.

•   There are many candlestick patterns that traders use to identify specific trends.

•   Candlestick charts can’t predict price movements, rather they are one of many technical tools traders use in combination to anticipate trends.

What Is a Candlestick Pattern?

A candlestick pattern is a sequence of price changes that are represented as a series of candle-like formations on a chart. Each candlestick represents stock price increases or decreases within a specified time frame.

Watching out for particular candlestick patterns in charts is a popular day trading strategy, one that may help traders assess whether a stock may go up or down in value, and to make trades based on those predictions.

Again, this is a form of technical analysis, as opposed to fundamental stock analysis, which is different.

Candlestick patterns can be useful for helping some traders assess entry and exit timing for trades, when investing online or through a brokerage. Based on how stock price movements have repeatedly occurred in the past, traders may decide whether to put faith in them potentially moving in a similar way again. The reason these patterns form is that human perceptions, actions, and reactions to stock price movements also tend to be repeated.

Past events are not predictions of the future, however, and there are always risks when trading stocks. But candlestick patterns can be useful guidelines and one more piece of information for those looking to make informed trading decisions.

History and Origins of Candlestick Charts

Candlestick charts originated in 18th-century Japan, where a rice trader named Munehisa Homma developed a system to track rice prices and market sentiment. Homma’s techniques combined price patterns with observations about trader psychology, laying the groundwork for modern candlestick analysis.

While the system evolved over time, it was introduced to Western markets in the late 20th century. Today, candlestick charts are widely used across financial markets by day traders and other investors to assess short-term price movements and spot potential reversals or continuation patterns.

Recommended: Stock Trading Basics

Reading Single Candlesticks

Even a single candlestick on a candlestick chart can provide insight into where stock prices may head. Each candlestick is composed of four parts:

•   Body. The body, or real body, is the rectangular candle-like shape that represents the opening and closing prices. A short body tends to indicate lack of a strong trading direction; a longer body suggests strong selling or buying pressure.

•   Wicks. The top “wick” or shadow of a candlestick marks the highest price the stock traded within the specified time period. The bottom wick marks the lowest price the stock traded.

If a candlestick wick is long, this means the highest or lowest trading price is significantly different from the opening or closing price. A shorter wick can indicate that the high or low trade was close to the opening or closing price. The difference between the high and low price of the candlestick wicks is called the range.

•   Candlestick color. The color provides a quick take on the price direction. A green or white candlestick body is bullish, with the closing price at the top, indicating it’s higher than the opening price. A red or black body is bearish, and reflects a lower closing price (at the bottom) vs. the opening, signaling potential downward pressure.

A diagram illustrating bullish (green) and bearish (red) candlesticks, showing open, close, high, and low prices.

Candlesticks can represent different time frames. One popular time frame when stock trading is a single day, so each candlestick on a chart will show the price change for one day. A one-month chart would have approximately 30 candlesticks.

Trending Candles vs Non-Trending Candles

If a candle continues an ongoing price trend, this is called a trending candle. Candles that go against the trend are non-trending candles.

Candles that don’t have an upper or lower wick may also show that there is a strong trend, or support or resistance in either direction. This means the opening or closing price was close to the high or low trade. And vice versa — a long wick can be an indicator that the stock’s intraday high or low prices may not hold.

Doji Candles

When a candle’s opening and closing price are almost the same, this forms a doji candle, which looks like a cross or plus sign. The wicks of doji candles can vary in length.

A doji can either be a sign of a reversal or a continuation. It shows roughly equal forces from buyers and sellers, with little net price movement in either direction.

Long Shadow Candles

Candles with a long wick or shadow may indicate a rejection of higher or lower prices. A candle with a long upper shadow can signal seller rejection of higher prices, while a long lower shadow can signal buyer rejection of lower prices.

Marubozu Candles

A Marubozu candle is a single candlestick pattern that has no upper or lower wicks, showing only the real body. It may indicate that buying or selling pressure was especially strong during the selected time period.

A green Marubozu may suggest steady upward pressure, while a red Marubozu might point to consistent downward pressure. Traders sometimes view Marubozu candles as potential signals that prevailing trends could continue.

Recommended: Implied Volatility: What It Is & What It’s Used for

Types of Candlestick Patterns

Candlestick patterns are used to help analyze stock price action. There are dozens of candlestick patterns that traders use to help recognize trading opportunities and better time their entries and exits, but there are four distinct ways to define potential outcomes of candlestick patterns:

1.    Bullish candlestick patterns show that a stock’s price is dominated by buyers and the price is likely to increase.

2.    Bearish patterns may indicate selling pressure and a potential decrease in the stock’s price.

3.    Reversal candlestick patterns may demonstrate that the price trend of a stock could reverse.

4.    Continuation patterns may indicate that the stock’s price will continue heading in the direction it’s currently going.

It’s important to remember that some patterns may be interpreted as a signal not to trade. Knowing when not to buy or sell is just as important as knowing when to take action.

Bullish Candlestick Patterns

A bullish candlestick pattern can either be an indication of a continued bullish trend, or it could be a reversal from a bearish trend. There are a number of popular bullish candlestick patterns, each of which can tell a trader something different.

Morning Star: The Morning Star is a three-candlestick pattern that may indicate a reversal from a bearish trend towards a bullish trend. The first candle is long-bodied and red. The second candle opens lower and has a short body, often with a gap and a small body. Its color may vary. The third candle is green and closes at or above the center of the first candle body.

Morning Star Doji: This three-candlestick pattern is sometimes interpreted as a possible reversal from a bearish trend. The first candle has a long body showing a downtrend. The second candle opens at a lower price and trades within a narrow price range, then the third candle reverses in a bullish direction, closing at or above the center of the first candle body.

Bullish Engulfing: In this two-candle pattern, the first candle is bearish and the second is bullish. The body of the first candle fits completely within the body of the second larger candle, which engulfs it. Although both candles are important, the higher the high of the second candle’s body, the more some traders may view it as a potential reversal signal.

Hammer: This single-candle pattern typically appears at the end of a decline. The hammer candle looks like a hammer, with a short real body with little or no upper shadow. This shows that the low for the period is significantly lower than the close for that period, which is generally viewed as a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. However, many traders look for confirmation, such as a higher close on the next candle, before acting on the pattern.

Inverted Hammer: The inverse of the hammer pattern, this is a single-candle pattern which may suggest weakening downward momentum and can indicate the end of a downtrend and reversal towards a bullish movement.

This candle has a short real body near the low, little or no lower shadow, and a long upper shadow. Unlike a hammer, the inverted hammer may show buyers testing higher prices but failing to hold them. This makes confirmation on the next candle especially important.

Bullish Harami: This reversal pattern happens during a downtrend and may suggest a switch toward upward price movement. It looks like a short green candlestick that follows several red candlesticks. The green candlestick body fits within the body of the previous red candlestick.

Dragonfly Doji: This is a pattern some traders view as a possible reversal signal. In this pattern, a doji candle opens and closes at or near the highest price of the day. The lower shadow tends to be long, but it can vary in length.

Piercing Line: In this two-candle pattern, the first candle is long and red, followed by a long green candle that opens below the prior close and closes above the midpoint of the first candle’s real body. This pattern is often interpreted as a potential bullish reversal after a bearish trend.

Stick Sandwich: This is a three-candle pattern with an opposite-colored middle candle that consists of a long candle sandwiched between two long candles of the other color. The closing prices of the two outer candles are similar, creating a potential level of support that some traders interpret as a possible bullish signal.

Three White Soldiers: A three-candle pattern that looks like a staircase toward higher prices, sometimes viewed as a potential bullish continuation signal. It consists of three green candles, each of which opens within or above the prior candle’s body and closes progressively higher.

Bearish Candlestick Patterns

Bearish candlestick patterns may indicate an ongoing bearish trend, or they may indicate a reversal from a bullish trend. These are some common bearish candlestick patterns.

Evening Star: This three-candle pattern is the opposite of the Morning Star, sometimes interpreted as a possible shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The first candle is long and green. The second candle gaps up and has a short body. The body can be either red or green but doesn’t overlap with the body of the previous candle. This shows that buying interest is coming to an end. The third candle is red and closes at or below the center of the first candle body.

Evening Star Doji: This three-candle pattern is the opposite of the Morning Star Doji. It is sometimes seen as a possible reversal towards a bearish trend. The first candle is a long green candle. The second candle is a doji, or is very narrow and gaps up to a higher price. The third candle is red and closes at or below the center point of the first candle body.

Shooting Star: This is a single-candle pattern defined by shape with a small real body near the low, very little or no lower shadow, and a long upper shadow. The shooting star may be interpreted as a potential sign of weakening upward momentum.

Hanging Man: This is a single candlestick pattern that appears after an uptrend and may indicate a potential bearish reversal. The candle has a long lower wick and a short candle body. Despite resembling a hammer, it typically signals selling pressure after a rally and is not bullish.

Dark Cloud Cover: A two-candlestick pattern that occurs when a red candle has an opening price that’s higher than the closing price of the previous day’s candle, and a closing price below the middle of the previous one. The first candle is green. The second candle, which is red, completes the pattern by closing below the midpoint of the prior green candle.

Bearish Harami Cross: A trend-reversal pattern consisting of a series of green candlesticks followed by a doji, this pattern is sometimes interpreted as a sign that the uptrend may be losing momentum and preparing for a reversal.

Two Black Gapping: This pattern appears near a top and happens when price gaps down and then prints two red candles that gap down again. This is sometimes viewed as a potential bearish sign of an emerging bearish trend.

Gravestone Doji: This is an inverted dragonfly pattern, in which the opening and closing price are at or near the low of the day. The upper candle shadow tends to be long, but can vary in length. It is generally viewed as a potential bearish reversal, especially after an uptrend, but often requires confirmation.

Three Black Crows: This bearish reversal pattern appears after an uptrend and consists of three long red candlesticks. Each opens with the real body of the prior candle and closes lower, showing sustained selling pressure.

Reversal Patterns

Harami Cross: The Harami Cross can indicate a reversal in either a bullish or a bearish trend. It’s a two-candlestick pattern in which the first candle is a long real body in the prevailing trend, and the second candle is a doji within its body.

Abandoned Baby: This reversal pattern is made up of three candles. The middle candle is a doji that is isolated by gaps on both sides, with no overlap to adjacent candles (i.e., “standing alone”). The third candle moves strongly in the opposite direction after the gap. The first and third candles have relatively long bodies. It’s so named because the gaps have space between the doji candle’s wick and both wicks of the first and third candles.

Continuation Patterns

Falling Three Methods: This is a five-candlestick bearish continuation pattern which may reflect a brief pause within a continuing downtrend. The first is a long red candle, followed by three small green candles, which all stay within the range of the first candle. The last candle is another long red one. This pattern may suggest buyers have not yet shifted the downtrend’s momentum.

Three Line Strike: A four-candlestick pattern that consists of three same-direction candles followed by a long, counter-trending candle, and is sometimes interpreted as a potential trend continuation or, depending on the context, a reversal signal. The fourth candle typically engulfs the prior three candlesticks’ real bodies.

Other Patterns

These two patterns don’t fit into the bullish, bearish, reversal, or continuation categories.

Spinning Top: A short-bodied candlestick with similar top and bottom wicks that looks like a spinning top. This is an indication of indecision in the market. After the spinning top, the market may move quickly one way or another, so prior price movement and patterns may help assess whether the stock will move up or down.

Supernova: If there’s a high-volume, low-float stock that experiences a price explosion, followed by a sharp price drop, this is a supernova. There can be trading opportunities on the way up, and then opportunities to short sell on the way down as well.

The Takeaway

Candlestick charts are a stock analysis tool, and traders who can identify patterns within them may assess whether a stock’s price may rise or fall. It can help them make a decision of when or if to buy, sell, or stand pat. There are numerous types of candlestick patterns, though it’s important to remember that patterns do not always lead to the predicted outcome.

Reading stock charts is only one small part of the investing world, and a rather complicated part, too. There are simpler, less-intensive ways to participate in the markets. For traders who understand their limits, candlestick patterns can still offer a practical read on near-term supply and demand.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).


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FAQ

What is the most reliable candlestick pattern?

No candlestick pattern can guarantee accuracy, but many traders view the engulfing pattern as a strong signal, especially in combination with volume. Some confirmation from the next candle is often used before acting.

Can candlestick patterns be used for all asset classes?

Yes — candlestick patterns can apply to stocks, ETFs, and even futures. However, their reliability may vary depending on the asset’s liquidity and volatility.

How do you confirm a candlestick pattern?

Traders often look for confirmation through the next candle’s direction, volume changes, or supporting indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures how quickly prices are rising or falling, which may help traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions.

Are candlestick patterns useful for day trading?

Candlestick patterns are widely used in day trading and options trading strategies in general to identify short-term price setups. That said, success often depends on combining them with other technical signals.

What are common mistakes when reading candlestick charts?

Relying on patterns without context, skipping confirmation, and ignoring volume are common errors. It’s also a mistake to treat any pattern as a guaranteed prediction.


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Disclaimer: The projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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What Is Gamma in Options Trading?

What Is Gamma in Options Trading?


Editor's Note: Options are not suitable for all investors. Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Please see the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Gamma measures how much an option’s delta changes for every $1 price movement in the underlying security. You might think of delta as an option’s speed, and gamma as its acceleration rate.

Gamma expresses the rate of change of an option’s delta, based on a $1 price movement — or, one-point movement — of the option’s underlying security. Traders, analysts, portfolio managers, and other investment professionals use gamma — along with delta, theta, and vega — to quantify various factors in options markets.

Key Points

•   Gamma measures the rate of change in an option’s delta for every $1 movement in the underlying security’s price.

•   Delta provides insight into how much an option’s price might move relative to its underlying security.

•   Understanding gamma is essential for risk management, as it allows traders to gauge the risk in their options holdings.

•   Traders may balance positive and negative gamma in their portfolio to manage the risk of rapid price movements.

•   High gamma may make long options more responsive to price movements, potentially amplifying gains, but increases risks for short options near expiration.

What Is Gamma?

Gamma is an important metric for pricing contracts in options trading. Gamma can show traders how much the delta — another metric — will change concurrent with price changes in an option’s underlying security.

An option’s delta measures its price sensitivity, and gamma provides insight into how that sensitivity may change as the underlying asset’s price shifts.

Expressed as a ratio: Gamma quantifies the rate of change in an option’s delta relative to changes in the underlying asset’s price. As an options contract approaches its expiration date, the gamma of an at-the-money option increases; but the gamma of an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option decreases.

Gamma is one of the Greeks of options trading, and can help traders gauge the rate of an option’s price movement relative to how close the underlying security’s price is to the option’s strike price. Put another way, when the price of the underlying asset is closest to the option’s strike price, then gamma is at its highest rate. The further out-of-the-money a security goes, the lower the gamma rate is — sometimes nearly to zero.

Recommended: What Is Options Trading? A Guide on How to Trade Options

Calculating Gamma

Calculating gamma precisely is complex, and it requires sophisticated spreadsheets or financial modeling tools. Analysts usually calculate gamma and the other Greeks in real-time, and publish the results to traders at brokerage firms. However, traders may approximate gamma using a simplified formula.

Gamma Formula

Here is an example of how to calculate the approximate value of gamma. This formula approximates gamma as the difference between two in delta values divided by the change in the underlying security’s price.

Gamma = (Change in Delta) / (Change in Underlying Security’s Price)

Or

Gamma = (D1 – D2) / (P1 – P2)

Where:

•   D1 represents the initial delta value.

•   D2 represents the final delta value after a price change.

•   P1 represents the initial price of the underlying security.

•   P2 represents the final price of the underlying security.

Example of Gamma

For example, suppose there is an options contract with a delta of 0.5 and a gamma of 0.1, or 10%. The underlying stock associated with the option is currently trading at $10 per share. If the stock increases to $11, the delta would increase to 0.6; and if the stock price decreases to $9, then the delta would decrease to 0.4.

In other words, for every $1 that the stock moves up or down, the delta changes by .1 (10%). If the delta is 0.5 and the stock price increases by $1, the option’s value would rise by $0.50. As the value of delta changes, analysts use the difference between two delta values to calculate the value of gamma.

How to Interpret Gamma

Gamma is a key risk-management tool. By figuring out the stability of delta, traders can use gamma to gauge the risk in trading options. Gamma can help investors discern what will happen to the value of delta as the underlying security’s price changes.

Based on gamma’s calculated value, investors can see the potential risk involved in their current options holdings; then decide how they want to invest in options contracts. If gamma is positive when the underlying security increases in value in a long call, then delta will become more positive. When the security decreases in value, then delta will become less positive.

In a long put, delta will decrease if the security decreases in value; and delta will increase if the security increases in value.
Traders use a delta hedge strategy to maintain a hedge over a wider security price range with a lower gamma.

💡 Quick Tip: When people talk about investment risk, they mean the risk of losing money. Some investments are higher risk, some are lower. Be sure to bear this in mind when investing online.

How Traders Use Gamma

Hedging strategies can help professional investors reduce the risk of an asset’s adverse price movements. Gamma can help traders discern which securities to purchase by revealing the options with the most potential to offset losses in their existing portfolio.

Gamma hedging helps traders manage the risk of rapid delta changes by offsetting gamma exposure in their portfolio. This is typically done by holding a combination of options with positive and negative gamma.

If any of the trader’s assets are at risk of making strong negative moves, investors could purchase other options to hedge against that risk, especially when close to options’ expiration dates.

In gamma hedging, investors generally purchase options that oppose the ones they already own in order to create a balanced portfolio. For example, if an investor already holds many call options, they might purchase some put options to hedge against the risk of price drops. Or, an investor might sell some call options at a strike price that’s different from that of their existing options.

Benefits and Risks of Using Gamma

Gamma plays a crucial role in managing options positions, influencing how delta changes in response to price movements. While it can enhance trading strategies, it may also introduce certain risks.

Benefits of Gamma

Gamma in options Greeks is popular among investors in long options. All long options, both calls and puts, have a positive gamma that is usually between 0 and 1, and all short options have a negative gamma between 0 and -1.

Higher gamma means the option is sensitive to movements in the underlying security’s price. For every $1 increase in the underlying asset’s price, a higher gamma suggests that delta will change more significantly, potentially amplifying gains or losses depending on the trade’s direction.

When delta is 0 at the contract’s expiration, gamma is also 0 because the option is worthless if the current market price is better than the option’s strike price. If delta is 1 or -1 then the strike price is better than the market price, so the option is valuable.

Risks of Gamma

While gamma can potentially benefit long options buyers, for short options sellers it can potentially pose risks. For short options, a high gamma near expiration increases the risk of substantial losses if the underlying asset’s price moves sharply, since delta changes rapidly and can result in significant margin requirements or losses.

Another risk of gamma for option sellers is expiration risk. The closer an option gets to its expiration date, the less probable it is that the underlying asset will reach a strike price that is very much in-the-money — or out-of-the-money for option sellers. This probability curve becomes narrower, as does the delta distribution. The more gamma increases, the more theta — the cost of owning an options contract over time — decreases. Theta is a Greek that shows an option’s predicted rate of decline in value over time, until its expiration date.

For options buyers, this can mean greater returns, but for options sellers it can mean greater losses. The closer the expiration date, the more gamma increases for at-the-money options; and the more gamma decreases for options that are in- or out-of-the-money.

How Does Volatility Affect Gamma?

When a security has low volatility, options that are at-the-money have a high gamma and in- or out-of-the-money options have a very low gamma. This is because the options with low volatility have a low time value; their time value increases significantly when the underlying stock price gets closer to the strike price.

If a security has high volatility, gamma is generally similar and stable for all options, because the time value of the options is high. If the options get closer to the strike price, their time value doesn’t change very much, so gamma is low and stable.

Using Gamma Along With Other Options Greeks

Gamma is a key metric in options trading, providing insight into how delta changes as the underlying asset’s price fluctuates. It is one of the five primary Greeks that traders use to manage risk and develop options strategies. Each Greek helps measure different aspects of an option’s behavior, offering a more comprehensive view of market exposure. The Greeks are:

•   Gamma (Γ): Measures the rate of change in delta as the underlying security’s price moves. Higher gamma means delta shifts more quickly, increasing both potential gains and risks.

•   Delta (Δ): Measures an option’s sensitivity to changes in the underlying asset’s price. Delta helps traders understand how much an option’s price might move relative to its underlying security.

•   Theta (θ): Represents time decay, indicating how an option loses value as it nears expiration. A higher theta means the option’s value declines more rapidly over time.

•   Vega (ν): Reflects the impact of implied volatility on an option’s price. Higher vega suggests that increased volatility leads to larger option price swings.

•   Rho (ρ): Gauges an option’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. Rho is more relevant for long-dated options, as interest rate fluctuations can significantly impact their value.

Understanding gamma alongside the other Greeks allows traders to refine their strategies and manage risk more effectively in the options market.

The Takeaway

Gamma and the Greeks indicators are useful tools in options trading for understanding derivatives and creating options trading strategies. However, trading in derivatives, like options, is primarily for advanced or professional investors.

SoFi’s options trading platform offers qualified investors the flexibility to pursue income generation, manage risk, and use advanced trading strategies. Investors may buy put and call options or sell covered calls and cash-secured puts to speculate on the price movements of stocks, all through a simple, intuitive interface.

With SoFi Invest® online options trading, there are no contract fees and no commissions. Plus, SoFi offers educational support — including in-app coaching resources, real-time pricing, and other tools to help you make informed decisions, based on your tolerance for risk.

Explore SoFi’s user-friendly options trading platform.

FAQ

What is a good gamma for options?

A “good” gamma depends on the trading strategy. High gamma is beneficial for short-term traders who want quick delta changes, as it makes options more responsive to price movements. Lower gamma is preferred for longer-term strategies or hedging, as it provides more stability and reduces the need for frequent adjustments.

Should gamma be high or low when trading options?

Whether gamma should be high or low depends on your strategy and risk tolerance. High gamma is ideal for short-term trades or when expecting significant price moves, as it amplifies delta changes and potential gains but also increases risk. Low gamma, common in deep in-the-money or far out-of-the-money options, provides more stability and slower delta changes, making it better suited for longer-term strategies or conservative approaches.

How do you trade options using gamma?

Trading options using gamma helps traders assess delta changes, identify opportunities, and manage risk. High gamma options, often at-the-money and near expiration, allow for rapid delta shifts, benefiting short-term trades. Gamma hedging helps balance exposure by offsetting positive and negative gamma, reducing volatility in a portfolio.

What is the best gamma ratio?

A “good” gamma depends on the trading strategy. High gamma is beneficial for short-term traders who want quick delta changes, as it makes options more responsive to price movements. Lower gamma is preferred for longer-term strategies or hedging, as it provides more stability and reduces the need for frequent adjustments.

What happens to gamma when volatility increases?

When volatility increases, gamma decreases for at-the-money options and stays relatively stable for in- and out-of-the-money options. Higher volatility smooths delta changes, making gamma less sensitive, while lower volatility increases gamma, leading to sharper delta shifts.


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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Before an investor begins trading options they should familiarize themselves with the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options . Tax considerations with options transactions are unique, investors should consult with their tax advisor to understand the impact to their taxes.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

¹Claw Promotion: Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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A Beginner’s Guide to Understanding Market Sentiment


Editor's Note: Options are not suitable for all investors. Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Please see the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

Market sentiment describes the way investors feel about stocks, a particular company or industry, or the overall market. What is market sentiment useful for? Market sentiment indicators are a gauge of crowd psychology; they tell you how optimistic or pessimistic investors are feeling at any given point.

While market sentiment is not predictive of market outcomes, it can be used to assess whether the prevailing mood about a certain sector or an asset is bearish or bullish.

In that way, traders may use sentiment analysis in combination with other tools, such as technical or fundamental analysis, to help guide investment decisions.

Key Points

•  Market sentiment is an expression of how investors feel about stocks, individual companies, or the market as a whole.

•  Understanding market sentiment and how it influences asset price movements can be useful when making trading decisions.

•  There are several indicators investors can use to gauge market sentiment; each of which measures a different aspect of investor outlook.

•  Sentiment analysis does not guarantee specific outcomes, and price changes can occur swiftly if the mood of the market shifts.

What Is Market Sentiment, and Why Does It Matter?

Market sentiment is a measurement of the current market temperature viewed through investors’ eyes. Paying attention to stock market insights can help you be a more informed investor.

Sentiment is typically discussed in terms of whether the market mood around trading stocks or other assets is “bullish” or “bearish.”

•  Bearish sentiment indicates pessimism among investors and is marked by a period of declining stock prices. A bear market occurs when the price of an index drops by 20% or more over at least a two-month period.

•  Bullish sentiment suggests that investors are optimistic, with prices rising. A bull market happens when the price of an index rises by 20% or more over at least a two-month period.

Is a bull vs. bear market better? Market sentiment doesn’t indicate whether a particular investment is a good buy or a bad one, nor can it accurately predict which way stock prices will move. Instead, it’s a tool for understanding how investor psychology can impact market movements.

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How Is Market Sentiment Measured? 5 Common Indicators

Market sentiment is measured using different indicators. An indicator is a mathematical model that uses market data to identify patterns or trends in price movements, which can be used when trading online or through a brokerage.

1. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) or “Fear Index”

The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, measures the 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, based on real-time prices for S&P 500 Index options. The VIX is a forward-looking indicator that measures future implied volatility.

Implied volatility means how much the market expects a stock or security’s price to swing over a set period. Whether the VIX, or Fear Index, is high or low offers insight into how investors are thinking in the short-term.

•  When the VIX is high, implied volatility is high. Projected price swings typically move across a broader range.

•  When the VIX is low, implied volatility is low. Projected price swings typically move across a narrower range.

Why it’s useful: The VIX helps investors gauge market moods and identify short-term trading opportunities. It’s also useful for developing defensive strategies when sentiment indicates that increased stock market volatility may be on the horizon.

2. The Fear & Greed Index

The Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment on a scale from 0 to 100, with extreme fear at one end and extreme greed at the other. Where the Index falls on any given day is determined by seven indicators:

•  Market momentum

•  Stock price strength

•  Stock price breadth

•  Put and call options

•  Market volatility

•  Safe haven demand

•  Junk bond demand

The Fear and Greed Index is updated regularly as underlying indicator data is refreshed.

Why it’s useful: The Fear & Greed Index gauges the mood of the market and how it motivates buying or selling behavior. It helps investors identify opportunities to buy stocks at a discount when fear is high, and sell investments at a profit when the market appears to be overvalued.

The Put/Call Ratio

The put/call ratio measures the number of puts versus the number of calls over a specified time frame. If you’re not sure what those terms mean, here’s a quick definition of each one:

•  A “put” is an options contract that gives a buyer the right to sell shares of an underlying stock at a set price (called a strike price) by a certain date.

•  A “call” is an options contract that gives a buyer the right to buy shares of an underlying stock at a set price by a certain date.

When you’re talking about puts and calls, you’re talking about options trading, a speculative investment strategy. So what does this have to do with market sentiment?

A high put/call ratio (above 1) indicates the market is bearish and prices may be on the decline. A low put/call ratio (below 1) suggests a bullish market, with prices set to rise.

Why it’s useful: If the PCR is high and prices are down, that could be a buying opportunity. If the PCR is low and prices are up, it could hint at inflated optimism and an overvalued market, in which case it could make sense to sell.

4. Bull/Bear Sentiment Surveys

Bull/bear sentiment surveys aim to gauge market feeling by asking a simple question: Where do you think the market is headed?

The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, for example, asks investors to rate whether they feel bullish, bearish, or neutral about the market looking ahead to the next six months. This investor sentiment survey is conducted weekly, and AAII maintains historical records that illustrate how bullish and bearish feelings have shifted over time.

For example, here’s how investors responded for the week ending August 13, 2025:

•  Bullish (29.9%)

•  Neutral (24%)

•  Bearish (46.2%)

The historical averages for each category are 37.5% bullish, 31.5% neutral, and 31% bearish.

Why it’s useful: Bull/bear sentiment surveys put a finger on the pulse of how investors are thinking, and what they expect to see in the markets in the near term. Analyzing trends in sentiment from week to week can be useful in identifying potential market tops and bottoms, in conjunction with other indicators and analysis tools.

5. High/Low Indicators

High/low indicators look at stock prices measured in highs and lows over a set period. The NASDAQ 52-week high/low, for example, looks at stock prices over the previous 52 weeks. It’s a type of lagging indicator, meaning it looks backward at historical data, rather than forward, to make assumptions about market sentiment.

This indicator can tell you whether the market is trending bullish or bearish:

•  A higher index suggests that more stocks are reaching new highs, and the mood of the market is bullish overall.

•  A lower index indicates that more stocks are reaching new lows, and that the market is moving in a bearish direction.

Some high/low indicators use moving averages while others do not. A moving average reflects the average closing price of a stock over a specific period.

Why it’s useful: High/low indicators can be used with other types of technical indicators to either reinforce or contradict assumptions you might have made about the market, based on sentiment. Extreme highs or extreme lows on a high/low indicator may hint at favorable windows for buying or selling.

What Is Sentiment Analysis?

Sentiment analysis means reviewing data from one or more market indicators to understand what’s driving stock price movements, and/or where they may be going next. Essentially, you’re asking yourself two questions:

•  How do investors feel about a stock/company/the market?

•  What kind of trading activity are those feelings likely to translate to?

Sentiment analysis tools can make it easier to digest market sentiment data and get a feel for what’s happening and why it’s happening. There are pros and cons to this approach.

Advantages of Analyzing Market Sentiment

On the pro side, sentiment analysis can help you make connections between investor attitudes and their behavior. That could, in turn, make it easier to avoid missteps in periods of higher or lower volatility.

For example, you may be more inclined to buy into the market when others are panicking if you understand what’s behind the panic.

Downside of Using Market Sentiment

In terms of the cons, sentiment analysis is not a perfect science. If the underlying data that a sentiment indicator uses is flawed, for instance, that can skew results and potentially lead to mistimed investment decisions.

Likewise, following a single indicator without comparing it to other sentiment measures could create an incomplete picture of the market.

If you’re interested in how to do sentiment analysis, you may start with your online brokerage. Many brokerages offer access to proprietary sentiment analysis tools as an account benefit. There may be a slight learning curve you’ll have to master, but these tools can help you get a clearer idea of what’s driving the market.

How to Use Market Sentiment in Your Investment Strategy

Understanding market sentiment and insights can give you some powerful leverage when making investment decisions. So, how do you put it to work to grow your portfolio? Here are three possibilities for utilizing market sentiment as an investor.

Using Sentiment as a Contrarian Indicator

One of the biggest mistakes investors make is following the pack and allowing the overall mood of the market to pull them along. The 2008 financial crisis stands as a cautionary example of how fear can lead to panic selling and trigger a market crash.

Market sentiment, when viewed through a contrarian lens, embodies Warren Buffett’s advice to “be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” In other words, be worried about the markets when everyone else is buying in, and look for the buying opportunities when others are cashing out.

Sentiment analysis helps you determine when and if a particular market mood, such as panic, is justified and how to act accordingly. Taking this type of approach could potentially help you avoid unnecessary losses and/or purchase stocks at bargain prices.

The Risks of Relying Solely on Sentiment

Looking at market sentiment while excluding other types of indicators can put you at a disadvantage for a few reasons.

•  Sentiment can change on the turn of a dime, which may not suit a long-term investing strategy.

•  Rumors or misreported market news can trigger shifts in sentiment that don’t reflect the true condition of stock prices and valuations.

•  Market sentiment doesn’t factor in fundamentals, which measure a company’s financial health and strength, leaving you with a limited picture of what a stock may truly be worth.

•  Sentiment is tied to crowd behavior, and when the mood turns negative, that may spur panic-selling.

Combining technical indicators that measure market sentiment, along with fundamental indicators that are grounded in real-world data, can give you a more well-rounded view of market trends.

Using AI to Measure Market Sentiment

Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the investment landscape, and a new crop of AI-driven sentiment analysis tools is changing the way investors study the markets. Whether you should use them or not depends on your stance on AI and the perceived benefits.

The advantage of using AI for market sentiment analysis is that it can digest large amounts of data quickly. If you’re day trading, speed matters. Mistiming a decision to buy or sell, even if you miss the mark by a few minutes, could have a significant impact on the amount of profit (or loss) you notch for the day. AI isn’t influenced by emotion either, so you can trust its analysis to be objective.

The disadvantage, of course, is that AI is still an imperfect tool. If the data being fed to an AI sentiment analysis tool is inaccurate, then its findings will be inaccurate too. You can also end up with skewed results when tools rely too heavily on historical data or analyze sentiment without any real understanding of the context behind it.

The Takeaway

Market sentiment affects what happens in the market, with negative sentiment potentially pushing prices down and positive sentiment driving them up. Sentiment analysis can help you understand how investors feel and what that, in turn, may mean for your portfolio.

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FAQ

Where can I find current market sentiment data?

You can find current market sentiment data using analysis tools or indicators that update in real-time. The Fear & Greed Index is one example; the AAII Sentiment Survey is another. When assessing market sentiment data, consider both the most recent numbers available as well as the historical data so you have some context for how they compare.

Is market sentiment the same as technical analysis?

No, they’re different tools. Market sentiment is a measure of how investors feel about the market at a particular moment. Technical analysis involves using various indicators to draw conclusions about stock trends and price movements. Many technical analysis tools take market sentiment into account, either directly or indirectly.

Can market sentiment predict a stock market crash?

No indicator can predict a stock market crash with 100% accuracy. While investor sentiment is often seen as an important factor that can contribute to market crashes, sentiment alone cannot tell you exactly when stocks will bottom out.

How do news and social media affect stock market sentiment?

News reports and social media posts can affect the way investors feel about the market. If news outlets report that a particular stock sector is reporting lower-than-expected earnings, for example, or an industry insider tweets a rumor about a major merger that may be upcoming, that can influence investors’ attitudes toward the market.

What is the difference between bullish and bearish sentiment?

Bullish sentiment means that investors feel optimistic about the market in general and that prices are trending upward. Bearish sentiment means that investors are more pessimistic and that stock prices are trending down.


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Calculating Investments Payback Period

Payback Period: Formula and Calculation Examples

The payback period is when an investment generates enough cashflow or value to cover its initial cost. It’s the time it takes to get to the break-even point. Knowing the payback period is something that investors, corporations, and consumers use as a way to gauge whether an investment or purchase is likely to be profitable or worthwhile.

For example, if a $1 million investment in new technology is likely to increase company revenue by $200,000 a year, the payback period for that technology is five years.

A longer payback period is associated with higher risk, and a shorter payback period is associated with lower risk and a greater potential for returns. While calculating the payback period is fairly straightforward, it doesn’t take into account a number of factors, including the time value of money.

Key Points

•   The payback period is the time it takes for an investment to generate enough cash flow or value to cover its initial cost, essentially reaching a break-even point.

•   A shorter payback period generally indicates lower risk and a greater potential for returns, while a longer period is associated with higher risk.

•   There are two primary methods for calculating the payback period: the averaging method (Initial Investment / Yearly Cash Flow) for consistent cash flows, and the subtraction method for variable cash flows.

•   Benefits of using the payback period include its simplicity, ease of calculation, and its utility in risk assessment and comparing investment options.

•   However, a key limitation of the payback period is that it does not consider earnings after the initial investment is recouped or the time value of money.

What Is the Payback Period?

The payback period is the amount of time it will take to recoup the initial cost of an investment, or to reach its break-even point.

Although investors who are thinking about buying stock in a certain company may want to consider the payback period for certain capital projects at that company (and whether those might support growth), the payback period is more commonly used for budgeting purposes by companies deciding how best to allocate resources for maximum return.

While the payback period is only an estimate, and it doesn’t factor in unforeseen or future outcomes, it’s a useful tool that can provide a baseline for assessing the relative value of one investment over another.

The Value of Time

The payback period can help investors decide between different investments that may be similar, when investing online or via a broker-dealer, as they’ll often want to choose the one that will pay back in the shortest amount of time.

The longer money remains locked up in an investment without earning a return, the more time an investor must wait until they can access that cash again, and the more risk there is of losing the initial investment capital.

Recommended: How to Calculate Expected Rate of Return

How to Calculate the Payback Period

The payback period is calculated by dividing the cost of the investment by the annual cash flow until the cumulative cash flow is positive, which is the payback year. Payback period is generally expressed in years.

Prior to calculating the payback period of a particular investment, one might consider what their maximum payback period would be in order to move forward with the investment. This will help give them some parameters to work with when making investment decisions.

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Payback Period Formula (Averaging Method)

There are two basis payback period formulas:

Payback Period = Initial Investment / Yearly Cash Flow

Using the averaging method, the initial amount of the investment is divided by annualized cash flows an investment is projected to generate. This works well if cash flows are predictable or expected to be consistent over time, but otherwise this method may not be very accurate.

Example of a Payback Period

If a company makes an investment of $1,000,000 in new equipment which is expected to generate $250,000 in revenue per year, the calculation would be:

$1,000,000 / $250,000 = 4-year payback period

If they have another option to invest $1,000,000 into equipment which they expect to generate $280,000 in revenue per year, the calculation would be:

$1,000,000 / $280,000 = 3.57-year payback period

Since the second option has a shorter payback period, this may be a more cost effective choice for the company.

Payback Formula (Subtraction Method)

Using the subtraction method, an investor can start by subtracting individual annual cash flows from the initial investment amount, and then do the division. This method is more effective if cash flows vary from year to year.

Payback Period = the last year with negative cash flow + (Amount of cash flow at the end of that year / Cash flow during the year after that year)

Example of Payback Period Using the Subtraction Method

Here’s an example of calculating the payback period using the subtraction method:

A company is considering making a $550,000 investment in new equipment. The expected cash flows are as follows:

Year 1 = $75,000
Year 2 = $140,000
Year 3 = $200,000
Year 4 = $110,000
Year 5 = $60,000

Calculation:

Year 0 : -$550,000
Year 1 : -$550,000 + $75,000 = -$475,000
Year 2 : -$475,000 + $140,000 = -$335,000
Year 3 : -$335,000 + $200,000 = -$135,000
Year 4 : -$135,000 + $110,000 = -$25,000
Year 5 : -$25,000 + $60,000 = $35,000

Year 4 is the last year with negative cash flow, so the payback period equation is:

4 + ($25,000 / $60,000) = 4.42

So, the payback period is 4.42 years.

Other factors

Investors might also choose to add depreciation and taxes into the equation, to account for any lost value of an investment over time.

Consumers may want to consider the payback period when making repairs to their home, or investing in a new amenity. For example: How long would it take to recoup the cost of installing a fuel-efficient furnace?

Benefits of Using the Payback Period

The payback period is simple to understand and calculate. It can provide individuals and companies with valuable insights into potential investments, and help them decide which option provides the best return on investment (ROI). It also helps with assessing the risk of different investments. Advantages include:

•  Easy to understand

•  Simple to calculate

•  Tool for risk assessment

•  Helps with comparing and choosing investment options

•  Provides insights for financial planning

•  Other calculations, such as net present value and internal rate of return, may not provide similar insights

•  A look at the amount of time it takes to recoup an investment

Recommended: Stock Market Basics

Downsides of Using the Payback Period

Although the payback period can be a useful calculation for individuals and companies considering and comparing investments, it has some downsides.

A Limited Time Period

The calculation only looks at the time period up until the initial investment will be recouped. It doesn’t consider the earnings the investment will bring in after that, which may either be higher or lower, and could determine whether it makes sense as a long-term investment.

If earnings will continue to increase, a longer payback period might be acceptable. If earnings might decrease after a certain number of years, the investment may not be a good idea even if it breaks even quickly. On the other hand, an investment with a short lifespan could need replacement shortly after its payback period, making it a potentially poor investment.

Other Factors May Add or Subtract Value

The payback period also doesn’t take into consideration other ways an investment might bring value, such as partnerships or brand awareness. This can result in investors overlooking the long-term benefits of the investment since they’re too focused on short-term ROI.

The payback period equation also doesn’t take into account the effects an investment might have on the rest of the company’s operations. For instance, new equipment might require a significant amount of expensive power, or might not be able to run as often as it would need to in order to reach the payback goal.

The Time Value of an Investment

Another limitation of the payback period is that it doesn’t take the time value of money (TVM) into account. The time value of money is the idea that cash will be worth more in the future than it is worth today, due to the amount of interest that it can generate.

Not only does this apply to the initial capital put into an investment, but it’s also important because as an investment generates returns, that cash can then be reinvested into something else that earns interest or income. This is another reason that a shorter payback period could be viewed as an attractive investment.

When Would an Investor Use the Payback Period?

The payback period can apply to personal investments such as solar panels or property maintenance, or investments in equipment or other assets that a company might consider acquiring.

Often an investment that requires a large amount of capital upfront generates steady or increasing returns over time, although there is also some risk that the returns won’t turn out as hoped or predicted.

How Companies Use the Payback Period

Calculating payback periods is especially important for startup companies with limited capital that want to be sure they can recoup their money without going out of business. Companies also use the payback period to select between different investment opportunities or to help them understand the risk-reward ratio of a given investment.

Knowing the payback period is helpful if there’s a risk of a project ending in the future. For example, if a company might lose a lease or a contract, the sooner they can recoup any investments they’re making into their business the less risk they have of losing that capital.

Any particular project or investment can have a short or long payback period. A short period means the investment breaks even or gets paid back in a relatively short amount of time by the cash flow generated by the investment, whereas a long period means the investment takes longer to recoup. How investors understand that period will depend on their time horizon.


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The Takeaway

Understanding the potential payback period for a given investment can help you gauge possible risks and reward for a certain asset, because it helps you to calculate when you’re likely to recoup your initial investment. You can also use the payback period when making large purchase decisions and considering their opportunity cost.

Understanding the way that companies calculate their payback period is also helpful to determine their financial viability and whether it makes sense for you to invest in them as part of your portfolio.

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FAQ

What are the two payback period formulas?

Two of the simplest and most common payback period formulas are the averaging method and the subtraction method.

What does the payback period refer to in investing?

The payback period is the estimated amount of time it will take to recoup an investment or to break even. Generally, the longer the payback period, the higher the risk of the associated investment.

What are some downsides of using the payback period?

The payback period may not consider the earnings an investment brings in following an initial investment, or other ways that an investment could generate value. It also doesn’t take into account the time value of money.


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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Tax Information: This article provides general background information only and is not intended to serve as legal or tax advice or as a substitute for legal counsel. You should consult your own attorney and/or tax advisor if you have a question requiring legal or tax advice.

Disclaimer: The projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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