What Is a Cash Management Account

Guide to Cash Management Accounts (CMAs)

A cash management account or CMA is a financial account offered by brokerage firms that combines some of the features of savings and checking accounts. Like a savings account, CMAs pay interest (often more than you would earn in a standard savings account). Like a checking account, CMAs provide access to checks and/or a debit card. In addition, CMAs are typically linked to brokerage accounts, making it easy to transfer funds you want to invest.

While CMAs can be convenient, they may also come with some potential downsides, such as monthly fees, minimums, and a lack of in-person banking options. And, you may be able to earn a higher interest rate elsewhere.

Is a CMA right for you? Our simple guide to cash management accounts can help you find out.

Key Points

•   Cash management accounts, or CMAs, are offered by brokerage firms and combine checking and savings features.

•   These accounts pay interest and offer easy fund transfers for investments.

•   CMAs typically allow you to access and manage your account online, but may not offer branches you can visit.

•   Pros include simplified money management and higher-than-average interest rates.

•   Before opening a CMA, consider customer service, minimum balance requirements, and investment options.

What Are Cash Management Accounts?

Let’s explore what a cash management account is exactly. A CMA or cash management account provides a solution for managing your cash flow and your money. The cash inside the account usually earns interest, so your money can grow over time. You also may have checking-writing capabilities, debit card access, or a combination of both.

Some of these nonbanking institutions charge low or no fees, another attractive aspect of using a cash management account. However, they typically make their money by charging fees for other services, such as investing, retirement planning, or financial planning services.

While traditional banking accounts have similar benefits, the biggest draw to a cash management account is that you can bank and invest with one company. This way, you’re not toggling back and forth between several companies or platforms to manage your money.

How Do Cash Management Accounts Work?

Now that you know what a CMA is in big-picture terms, let’s drill down on how they work. Cash management accounts are interest-earning accounts that offer a safe place to keep your cash. Since investment firms and robo-advisors are not banks, they don’t keep your money at their financial institution. Instead, they partner with several banks and spread your deposit out among them.

As with traditional bank accounts, account holders can deposit funds, withdraw funds, and transfer money. You also typically have online access to your account, making it easy to check on and manage your CMA.

In addition, CMAs typically earn interest like savings accounts and have checking account capabilities. Therefore, they can act as a way to merge these accounts into one. However, some CMAs may not have features of both accounts, so check with the institution to determine what features are available.

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What Are the Pros of Cash Management Accounts?

Understanding the benefits of using a cash management account can help you determine if this is the right banking solution for your needs. With that in mind, here are several advantages of using a cash management account.

Convenience

The most significant pull for consumers to open a cash management account is that they can keep their investments and banking under one umbrella. Keeping everything in one place can simplify your money management efforts.

Traditional Banking Features

When you open a cash management account, you typically have access to traditional banking features like:

•   Direct deposit

•   Complementary ATM networks

•   Electronic bill pay

•   Third-party payment site access

But before you open an account, make sure you check with the institution about their banking services. This way you can ensure they have everything you need.

FDIC Insured

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) protects your banking deposits from losses up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, for each account ownership category.

So, in the unlikely event that your bank should fail, you can recover your funds (up to the insured limit). While nonbanking firms can’t offer FDIC insurance directly, their partner banks can extend coverage. Since nonbanks spread funds across several partner banks, each can offer up to $250,000 of FDIC insurance per depositor.

💡 Quick Tip: Don’t think too hard about your money. Automate your budgeting, saving, and spending with SoFi’s seamless and secure mobile banking app.

What Are the Cons of a Cash Management Account?

CMAs also come with some potential downsides. Here are some points to keep in mind as you decide whether a CMA is right for you.

Lower Interest Rates

While these accounts do offer some earnings, you will often find better rates at online banks. If you are planning on parking a large sum of cash in an account, it can literally pay to explore your options elsewhere and see what annual percentage rates (APYs) are available for online savings and checking accounts. You may find a better place to park your short-term savings than a CMA.

Recommended: APY vs. Interest Rate: What’s the Difference?

Fewer Features

Cash management accounts may not offer all the conveniences that come with standard checking accounts, such as bill pay, and may not fully replace a checking account.

No Physical Branches

Many cash management accounts are offered by online brokerages and robo-advisors, which means you won’t have brick-and-mortar locations to visit. If you are the kind of person who prefers personal interaction, this may be a significant issue for you.

Cash Management Accounts vs Checking Accounts

While cash management accounts offer similar services and features to traditional bank accounts, you might wonder what the differences are. If we break down CMAs compared to checking accounts further, these features are worth noting.

•   Maintenance fees. Some CMAs don’t charge maintenance fees, but others may charge monthly fees routinely or when your balance dips below a certain threshold. This is also the case with traditional checking accounts.

•   Interest earning. Many cash management accounts pay interest, and rates are often better than what you could earn in a standard savings account. This gives CMAs an edge over regular checking accounts, which typically pay little or no interest.

•   Account integration. Investment firms and robo-advisors usually offer cash management accounts, as well as brokerage, or investment, accounts. You can usually link your CMA with your brokerage account, making it easy to move money and automate contributions. Traditional banks may also offer retirement and investment services. However, that’s not their primary business. Also, if you have your bank accounts and investment accounts under different roofs, there may be a time lag for transactions, which usually doesn’t happen with CMAs.

Considerations When Comparing Cash Management Accounts

If you’re thinking about opening a CMA, it’s a good idea to shop around and compare your options. Here are some things to keep in mind.

Customer Service

When you need an issue resolved with your money, it’s nice to know customer service is there to help. Check to make sure that the company you’re considering offers a robust customer service solution to assist you with all of your questions or concerns. For online firms, check out the hours that support is available and find out if you’ll be interacting with a human or an automated assistant.

Minimum Balance Requirement

CMAs can have minimum balance requirements to avoid fees and/or keep the account active. Therefore, you’ll want to determine these requirements in advance to see if you have the appropriate sum of cash to deposit.

Investment Management

Most of the institutions that offer cash management accounts offer investment services. If you’re looking to use their investment service, make sure you select a company you trust and feel comfortable with. You’ll also want to ensure the investments offered are suitable for your needs.

Is a Cash Management Account a Good Fit for You?

A CMA can be ideal for people who like to manage their investments and bank accounts under the same umbrella. It may make managing your money somewhat simpler and smoother.

But for those who feel a bit uncertain about using online institutions or mobile apps to complete their daily transactions, a traditional bank account may be a more viable solution. Also, if you would prefer to separate your investments and banking needs, a high-interest checking or savings account may make more sense that stashing your funds in a CMA.

The Takeaway

CMAs are interest-earning alternative solutions to traditional bank accounts like checking and saving accounts. Since investment firms usually offer CMAs, you can keep your investments and banking needs in one place, streamlining your money management efforts. As with most services, there are pros and cons to these accounts. Determining whether one is right for you will depend on your money management style and goals.

If you feel more comfortable with a savings and checking account held at a bank, SoFi offers a smart, money-savvy solution. Our online bank accounts, when opened with direct deposit, are fee-free and earn a competitive APY. Qualifying accounts can even access their paycheck up to two days early. We think it’s a great combination of convenience and money-growing features that you’ll love.

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FAQ

What is the purpose of a cash management account?

Cash management accounts give consumers a way to earn interest and complete everyday banking transactions (like making purchases with a debit card and writing checks) while managing investments, all under one roof.

What type of account is cash management?

A cash management account is like a traditional bank account, except it’s offered by a non-banking firms, like an online investment firm or robo-advisor. You can complete transactions (direct deposit, withdrawals, check writing, etc.) and earn interest in the same way you would with a traditional checking or savings account.

Is a cash management account the same as a money market account?

No. While cash management accounts and money market accounts have similar features (like earning interest and providing access to debit cards and/or checks), they are not the same. Banks offer money market accounts, while nonbanks like brokerage firms and robo-advisors offer cash management accounts.


About the author

Ashley Kilroy

Ashley Kilroy

Ashley Kilroy is a seasoned personal finance writer with 15 years of experience simplifying complex concepts for individuals seeking financial security. Her expertise has shined through in well-known publications like Rolling Stone, Forbes, SmartAsset, and Money Talks News. Read full bio.



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How to Use the Fear and Greed Index To Your Advantage

Guide to the Fear and Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index is a tool developed by CNN (yes, the news network) to help gauge what factors are driving the stock market at a given time.

If you’ve ever taken a look at how the market is doing on a given day and wondered just what the heck is going on, the Fear and Greed Index may be helpful in deciphering the overall mood of the markets, and what’s behind it.

Key Points

•   The Fear and Greed Index, developed by CNN, measures market emotions.

•   The scale of the index ranges from 0 to 100, with 50 indicating neutral sentiment.

•   Seven stock indicators are used to gauge market sentiment.

•   The purpose is to help investors make informed decisions, and to try to avoid overvaluations or undervaluations.

•   Investors should consider economic growth, company performance, and other sentiment indicators.

What Is the Fear and Greed Index?

CNN’s Fear and Greed Index attempts to track the overriding emotions driving the stock market at any given time — a dynamic that typically toggles between fear and greed.

The Index is based on the premise that fear and greed are the two primary emotional states that influence investment behavior, with investors selling shares of stocks when they’re scared (fear), or buying them when they sense the potential for profit (greed).

CNN explains the Index as a tool to measure market movements and determine whether stocks are priced fairly or accurately, with the logic that fear drives prices down, and greed drives them up, or is used as a signal of when to sell stocks.

There are specific technical indicators used to calculate the Fear and Greed Index (FGI), and strategies that investors can use to inform their investment decisions based on the Index.

Understanding the Fear and Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index uses a scale of 0 to 100. The higher the reading, the greedier investors are, with 50 signaling that investors are neutral. In other words, 100 signifies maximum greediness, and 0 signifies maximum fear.

To give some historical context, on Sept. 17, 2008, during the height of the financial crisis, the Fear and Greed Index logged a low of 12. On March 12, 2020, as the pandemic recession set in, the FGI hit a low of 2 that year.

Seven different types of stock indicators are used to calculate the Fear and Greed Index.

CNN tracks how much each indicator has veered from its average versus how much it normally veers. Then each indicator is given equal weighting when it comes to the final reading. Here are the seven inputs.

1.    Market Momentum: The S&P 500 versus its 125-day moving average. Looking at this equity benchmark relative to its own history can measure how the index’s 500 companies are being valued.

2.    Stock Price Strength: The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs and lows on the New York Stock Exchange, the largest of the world’s many stock exchanges. Share prices of public companies can signal whether they’re getting overvalued or undervalued.

3.    Stock Price Breadth: The volume of shares trading in stocks on the rise versus those declining. Market breadth can be used to gauge how widespread bullish or bearish sentiment is.

4.    Put and Call Options: The ratio of bullish call options trades versus bearish put options trades. Options give investors the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an asset. Therefore, more trades of calls over puts could indicate investors are feeling optimistic about snapping up shares in the future.

5.    Junk Bond Demand: The spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds or high-yield bonds. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields. So when yields of higher-quality investment-grade bonds are climbing relative to yields on junkier debt, investors are seeking riskier assets.

6.    Market Volatility: The Cboe Volatility Index, also known as VIX, is designed to track investor expectations for volatility 30 days out. Rising expectations for stock market turbulence could be an indicator of fear.

7.    Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns from stocks versus Treasuries. How much investors are favoring riskier markets like equities versus relatively safe investments or assets, like U.S. government bonds, can indicate sentiment.

The Fear and Greed Index page on the CNN website breaks down how each indicator is faring at any given time. For instance, whether each measure is showing Extreme Fear, Fear, Neutral, Greed, or Extreme Greed among investors.

“Stock Price Strength” might be showing Extreme Greed even as “Safe Haven Demand” is signaling Extreme Fear.

Tracking the Fear and Greed Index Over Time

The Fear and Greed Index is updated often. CNN says that each component, and the overall Index, are recalculated as soon as new data becomes available and can be implemented.

Looking back over the past several years, the Index has tracked market sentiment with at least some degree of accuracy. For example, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the market was seeing a bull run and hitting record levels — the Index, in late 2017, was nearing 100, a signifier that the market was driven by greed at that time.

Conversely, the Index dipped into “fear” territory (below 20) during the fall of 2016, when uncertainty was on the rise due to the U.S. presidential election at that time. Note, too, that midterm elections can also affect market performance.

How Does the Fear and Greed Index Fare Against History?

As mentioned, the Index does appear to capture investor sentiment with some degree of accuracy. The past few years — which have been rife with uncertainty due to the pandemic — have shown pockets of fear. For example, the Index showed “extreme fear” among investors in early 2020. That was right when the pandemic hit U.S. shores, and absolutely devastated the markets.

However, over the course of 2020, and near the end of the year, the Index was scoring at around 90, as the Federal Reserve stepped in and large-scale stimulus programs were implemented to prop up the economy.

Interestingly, the Index then dipped down into the “fear” realm in late 2020, likely due to uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. It likewise saw a fast swing toward “greed” in the subsequent aftermath. Similar dynamics were seen in 2024.

Again, these largely mirror what was happening in the markets at large, and economic sentiment.

How Does the Fear and Greed Index Fare Against Other Indicators?

While the Fear and Greed Index does fold several indicators into its overall calculations, it is more of an emotional barometer than anything. While many financial professionals would likely urge investors to set their emotions aside when making investing decisions, it isn’t always easy — and as such, investors can be unpredictable.

That unpredictability can have an effect on the markets as investors may panic and engage in sell-offs, or conversely start buying stocks and other investments. Ultimately, it’s really hard to predict what people and institutions are going to do, barring some obvious motivating factor.

With that in mind, there are other market sentiment indicators out there, including the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, the Commitment of Traders report published by the CFTC (one of several agencies governing financial institutions), and even the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which can be used to measure safe haven demand. They’re all a bit different, but attempt to capture more or less the same thing, often with similar results.

For instance, while the Fear and Greed Index showed a state of fear in mid-March, the AAII Sentiment Survey likewise showed a majority of investors with a “bearish” sentiment as well during the same time frame.

And, of course, there are a number of other economic indicators that you can use to inform your investing decisions, such as GDP readings, unemployment figures, etc.

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Dos and Don’ts of Using the Fear and Greed Index

Why is the Fear and Greed Index useful? The same reason that any sort of measurement or gauge has value. In this case, measuring sentiment can help you determine which move you want to make next as an investor, and help you ride investing trends to potentially bigger returns.

Are you being too greedy? Too fearful? Is now the time to think about herd mentality?

Also generally, some investors often try to be contrarian, so when markets appear frothy and the rest of the herd appears to be overvaluing assets, investors try to sell, and vice versa.

Recommended: Should I Pull My Money Out of the Stock Market?

Dos

Use the Index to realize that investing can be emotional, but it shouldn’t be.

You can also use it to determine when to enter the market. Let’s say, for instance, you’ve been monitoring a stock that becomes further undervalued as investor fear rises, that could be a good time to buy the stock.

Don’ts

Don’t only rely on the Fear and Greed Index or other investor sentiment measures as the sole factor in making investment decisions. Fundamentals — like how much the economy is growing, or how quickly companies in your portfolio are growing revenue and earnings (which will be apparent during earnings season) — are important.

For instance, the FGI may be signaling extreme greed at some point, with all seven metrics indicating a rising market. However, this extreme bullishness may be warranted if the economy is firing on all cylinders, allowing companies to hire and consumers to buy up goods.

Recommended: Using Fundamental Analysis on Stocks

What Is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index?

While CNN publishes and maintains the traditional Fear and Greed Index, there are other websites that publish a similar index for the cryptocurrency markets.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index operates in much the same way as CNN’s Index, but instead, focuses on sentiment within the crypto markets. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is published and maintained by Alternative.me.

The Takeaway

The Fear and Greed Index is one of many gauges that tracks investor sentiment, and CNN’s Index focuses on seven specific indicators to measure whether the market is feeling “greedy” or “fearful.” While it’s only one indicator, in recent years, it has served as a somewhat accurate barometer of the markets, particularly regarding major events like elections and the pandemic.

But, as with anything, investors shouldn’t rely solely on the Fear and Greed Index to make decisions, though it can be used as one of many tools at their disposal. As always, it’s best to check with a financial professional if you have questions.

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FAQ

Is the Fear and Greed Index a good indicator?

It can be a “good” indicator in the sense that it can be helpful when used in conjunction with other indicators to make investing decisions. That said, it shouldn’t be the only indicator investors use, and isn’t necessarily going to be accurate in helping determine what the market will do next.

Where can you find the Fear and Greed Index?

The Fear and Greed Index is published and maintained by CNN, and can be found on CNN’s website.

When does it make sense to buy, based on the Fear and Greed Index?

While you shouldn’t make investing decisions solely based on the Fear and Greed Index’s readings, generally speaking, the market is bullish when the Index produces a higher number (greed), and is bearish when numbers are lower (fear).


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What Is Considered a Good Return on Investment?

A “good” return on investment is subjective, but in a very general sense, a good return on investment could be considered to be about 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, and adjusting for inflation. But of course what one investor considers a good return might not be ideal for someone else.

And while getting a “good” return on your investments is important, it’s equally important to know that the average return of the U.S. stock market is just that: an average of the market’s performance, typically going back to the 1920s. On a year-by-year basis, investors can expect returns that might be higher or lower — and they also have to face the potential for outright losses. In addition, the S&P 500 is a barometer of the equity markets, and it only reflects the performance of the 500 biggest companies in the U.S. Most investors will hold other types of securities in addition to equities, which can affect their overall portfolio return.

Key Points

•   A good return on investment is generally considered to be around 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, adjusted for inflation.

•   The average return of the U.S. stock market is around 10% per year, adjusted for inflation, dating back to the late 1920s.

•   Different investments, such as CDs, bonds, stocks, and real estate, offer varying rates of return and levels of risk.

•   It’s important to consider factors like diversification and time when investing long-term.

•   Investing in stocks carries higher potential returns but also higher risk, while investments like CDs offer lower returns but are considered lower-risk.

What Is the Historical Average Stock Market Return?

Dating back to the late 1920s, the S&P 500 index has returned, on average, around 10% per year. Adjusted for inflation that’s roughly 7% per year.

Here’s how much a 7% return on investment can earn an individual after 10 years: If an individual starts out by putting in $1,000 into an investment with a 7% average annual return, compounded annually, they would see their money grow to $1,967 after a decade, assuming little or no volatility (which is unlikely in real life). It’s important for investors to have realistic expectations about what type of return they’ll see.

For financial planning purposes however, investors interested in buying stocks should keep in mind that that doesn’t mean the stock market will consistently earn them 7% each year. In fact, S&P 500 share prices have swung violently throughout the years. For instance, the benchmark tumbled 38% in 2008, then completely reversed course the following March to end 2009 up 23%.

Factors such as economic growth, corporate performance, interest rates, and share valuations can affect stock returns. Thus, it can be difficult to say X% or Y% is a good return, as the investing climate varies from year to year.

A better approach is to think about your hoped-for portfolio return in light of a certain goal (e.g. retirement), and focus on the investment strategy that might help you achieve that return.

Line graph: 10 Year Model of S&P 500

Why Your Money Might Lose Value If You Don’t Invest it

It’s helpful to consider what happens to the value of your money if you simply hang on to cash.

Keeping cash can feel like a lower-risk alternative to investing, so it may seem like a good idea to deposit your money into a traditional savings account. But cash slowly loses value over time due to inflation; that is, the cost of goods and services increases with time, meaning that cash has less purchasing power. Inflation can also impact your investments.

Interest rates are important, too. Putting money in a savings account that earns interest at a rate that is lower than the inflation rate guarantees that money will lose value over time. This is why, despite the risks, investing money is often considered a better alternative to simply saving it: The inflation risk is typically lower.

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What Is a Good Rate of Return for Various Investments?

As noted above, determining a good rate of return will also depend on the specific investments you hold, and your asset allocation. You can always calculate the expected rate of return for various securities. Here are different types of securities to consider.

Bonds

Purchasing a bond is basically the same as loaning your money to the bond-issuer, like a government or business. Similar to a CD, a bond is a way of locking up a certain amount of money for a fixed period of time.

Here’s how it works: A bond is purchased for a fixed period of time (the duration), investors receive interest payments over that time, and when the bond matures, the investor receives their initial investment back.

Generally, investors earn higher interest payments when bond issuers are riskier. An example may be a company that’s struggling to stay in business. But interest payments may be lower when the borrower is trustworthy, like the U.S. government, which has never defaulted on its Treasuries.

Stocks

Stocks can be purchased in a number of ways. But the important thing to know is that a stock’s potential return will depend on the specific stock, when it’s purchased, and the risk associated with it. Again, the general idea with stocks is that the riskier the stock, the higher the potential return.

This doesn’t necessarily mean you can put money into the market today and assume you’ll earn a large return on it in the next year. But based on historical precedent, your investment may bear fruit over the long-term. Because the market on average has gone up over time, bringing stock values up with it, but stock investors have to know how to handle a downturn.

As mentioned, the stock market averages a return of roughly 7% per year, adjusted for inflation.

Real Estate

Returns on real estate investing vary widely. It mostly depends on the type of real estate — if you’re purchasing a single house versus a real estate investment trust (REIT), for instance — and where the real estate is located.

As with other investments, it all comes down to risk. The riskier the investment, the higher the chance of greater returns and greater losses. Investors often debate the merit of investing in real estate versus investing in the market.

Likely Return on Investment Assets

For investors who have a high risk tolerance (they’re willing to take big risks to potentially earn high returns), some investments are better than others. So for those who are looking for higher returns, adding riskier investments to a portfolio may be worth considering.

Remember the Principles of Good Investing

Investors focused on seeing huge returns over the short-term may set themselves up for disappointment. Instead, remembering basic tenets of responsible investing can best prepare an investor for long-term success.

First up: diversification. It can be a good idea to invest in a wide variety of assets — stocks, bonds, real estate, etc., and a wide variety of investments within those subgroups. That’s because each type of asset tends to react differently to world events and market forces. Due to that, a diverse portfolio can be a less risky portfolio. Time is another important factor when investing. Investing early for more distant goals, such as retirement, may result in larger returns in the long-term.


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The Takeaway

While every investor wants a “good return” on their investments, there isn’t one way to achieve a good return – and different investments have different rates of return, and different risk levels. Investing in other types of assets tends to deliver lower returns, while stocks (which are more volatile) may deliver higher returns but at much greater risk.

Your own investing strategy and asset allocation will have an influence on the potential returns of your portfolio over time.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

S&P 500 Index: The S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading publicly traded companies in the U.S. It is not an investment product, but a measure of U.S. equity performance. Historical performance of the S&P 500 Index does not guarantee similar results in the future. The historical return of the S&P 500 Index shown does not include the reinvestment of dividends or account for investment fees, expenses, or taxes, which would reduce actual returns.

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What Is the MOASS and When Will It Happen?

What Is the MOASS?

“MOASS,” or, the “Mother of All Short Squeezes,” was largely unknown to investors prior to 2021. But a saga involving so-called “meme stocks,” most notably GameStop stock, changed that, and MOASS entered the investing lexicon. In short, that specific scenario, bringing the Mother of All Short Squeezes, as a strategy, to investors’ attention, involved a rag-tag band of day traders taking on the hedge fund giants, with a short-sale “squeeze” that greatly impacted some of those giants.

Meme stocks, including GameStop and AMC Theatres, saw further short squeeze action in mid-May 2024, too. But the episode in 2021 shined a light on investors, short-sales, trading squeeze strategies, and digital trading on a massive scale, all of which fell under the MOASS umbrella.

Key Points

•   MOASS stands for “Mother of All Short Squeezes,” a phenomenon where stock prices skyrocket due to mass buying.

•   It gained prominence with the GameStop stock saga, where day traders challenged large hedge funds.

•   The strategy involves a high volume of purchases to drive up stock prices, countering short sellers.

•   Effective execution of MOASS can lead to significant profits for traders who initiate the squeeze.

•   The approach carries high risks, especially for those who join late or cannot sell off at peak prices.

Short Squeeze Basics

A short squeeze is an orchestrated effort to drive up shares of a stock that’s being heavily shorted. MOASS, meaning the Mother of All Short Squeezes, as noted, is a trading strategy in which a high volume of buyers drive up shares of stocks that were being “shorted” by other investors.

A short squeeze trading strategy needs two components to work — a short seller or, more preferably, several short sellers on one side and a group of disciplined contrarian investors who unroll a short squeeze and buy shares of the stock being shorted.

How the MOASS Works

In order to understand how a short squeeze — or a massive short squeeze — works, you first need to understand short selling.

Short sellers aim to profit from the fall in a stock’s price. They do so by borrowing and selling shares of a stock that they believe will decline in value. Then, when the stock price falls, a short seller buys the stock at the reduced price, returns the shares, and pockets the profit.

If the short seller makes the right call, meaning the price does fall, they earn the difference between the price when they entered the short position and the lower stock price at which they bought to cover.

If the short seller makes the wrong call, and the price goes up, the investor must buy the stock at a price higher than when they entered the short position, thereby losing money — and negating any potential for a profit.

As short sellers wind up leaving their short positions when they execute a buy order on the stock, those “short-squeeze” buy positions get noticed by other day traders, who also jump in to purchase the stock. That, in turn, drives the stock’s price even higher, since there are fewer shares of the stocks available to purchase.

Short-sellers, highly alarmed by the rising share price, also issue buy orders on the stock to exit the short sale strategy and reduce their investment risk, which completes the cycle and puts the short squeeze in full effect. This can result in the short sales losing money and the MOASS day traders making a profit on the rising stock price.

Recommended: Understanding Low Float Stocks

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GameStop: The Prime Example of MOASS

Perhaps the best example of MOASS in action is the GameStop saga in early 2021. At the time, several hedge fund firms had “shorted” GameStop stock, which essentially meant betting the share price of the stock would decline. That didn’t happen with GameStop shares. Some context is important to understand, too, as many retail stocks, like GameStop, had been heavily affected by the pandemic at the time.

But GameStop shares bucked the trend.

A group of day traders hanging out on a Reddit investing forum called “Wallstreetbets” banded together and started buying up shares of GameStop stock. The gambit worked, with GameStop shares skyrocketing from $19 per share to around $350 per share. The retail investors had successfully “squeezed” the short sellers, causing several hedge funds to lose hundreds of millions of dollars on their short positions on GameStop.

If the short squeeze works, the share price will continue to rise and the short investors, many of whom have fixed deadlines built into their short sales positions, will have to sell their shares and cut their losses, thereby driving the stock price even higher. That rewards the short squeeze investor, who profits from the rising share price, especially as other buyers enter the fray and drive the share price up even higher.

Once victory was declared with the GameStop short squeeze, the Reddit traders turned their attention to other so-called meme stocks where short selling activity was particularly high. That group included AMC Entertainment Holdings, Koss Corporation, and Blackberry, which all saw share volumes rise after the MOASS traders entered the fray.

Thus, a series of short squeezes that target more and more short sellers is really what MOASS is all about: squeezing enough short-sellers to achieve critical mass in the trading markets, and making huge profits in the process.

Also, as mentioned, a similar situation played out in May 2024, when certain stocks (including GameStop and AMC Theatres) were at the center of another short squeeze, though smaller in scale than the 2021 events.

Recommended: Pros and Cons of Momentum Trading

MOASS Trading Tips

Investors who want to participate in the next short squeeze effort should be careful. So-called “meme” stock trading can be fraught with risk, especially if you’re left holding the bag after other short-squeezers sell out of their positions before you do.

Take these risk considerations with you before participating in a mass short squeeze play.

Consider Minimal Purchases to Limit Losses

While the adrenaline level can be high when participating in a short squeeze trading event, tamp down emotions by limiting the amount of money you invest in a GameStop-type situation. As the old gambling adage says, never risk money you can’t afford to lose. That goes double when chasing the thrill of a MOASS scenario.

Should You Expect to Lose Money?

There’s a significant chance that you’ll lose money at some point with a short squeeze play.

Nothing is guaranteed in the stock market and that’s especially the case as short-sellers have learned their lesson after meme-stock related events in recent years, and grow more cautious about their investing habits. MOASS trading patterns can be something of a roller coaster ride for investors, and the odds that your ride will dip along the way are high. That can translate into days or even weeks of your short-squeeze buying strategy where your investment returns are written in red ink.

💡 Quick Tip: Are self-directed brokerage accounts cost efficient? They can be, because they offer the convenience of being able to buy stocks online without using a traditional full-service broker (and the typical broker fees).

MOASS Tip: Have a Plan to Sell Quickly

Short squeeze investing isn’t exactly an orderly process and you need to put your interest first ahead of other MOASS investors. Why? Because volatility can be high and prices can swing at a moment’s notice when trading MOASS-themed stocks. Additionally, nobody really has any idea how high a price can go with a short squeeze in play, and nobody really knows if a stock will rise higher at all.

That’s why it’s a good idea to have a fixed “sell price” in mind when engaging in a short squeeze situation — a stop loss order to automatically sell the stock at a specific price can be a good idea in this scenario.

If you buy a targeted MOASS stock at $50 and it goes to $70, there’s no way of knowing if the stock will go any higher — it might and it might not. Worse, the price could slide back to $30 when buyers lose interest in the stock.

Having a good investment exit strategy in a short squeeze scenario, can help minimize investment losses and capitalize on a stock increase when and if it happens.


Test your understanding of what you just read.


The Takeaway

“MOASS” means the “Mother of All Short Squeezes,” and perhaps the best example of it in action involved so-called “meme stocks” in 2021. Short squeeze trading strategies can bring a great deal of portfolio-shaking volatility to the investment table, and there are plenty of heavily shorted stocks that could be the next MOASS, but it’s impossible to know which one could trigger a squeeze.

That means MOASS may not be the best strategy for long-term investors or those with an aversion to risk. A short squeeze takes a significant amount of discipline, patience, and attention on the part of the investors, with continual risk in play until the squeeze is played out.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹


Photo credit: iStock/PeopleImages

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.

Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.


¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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How to Calculate Expected Rate of Return

When investing, you often want to know how much money an investment is likely to earn you. That’s where the expected rate of return comes in; expected rate of return is calculated using the probabilities of investment returns for various potential outcomes. Investors can utilize the expected return formula to help project future returns.

Though it’s impossible to predict the future, having some idea of what to expect can be critical in setting expectations for a good return on investment.

Key Points

•   The expected rate of return is the profit or loss an investor expects from an investment based on historical rates of return and the probability of different outcomes.

•   The formula for calculating the expected rate of return involves multiplying the potential returns by their probabilities and summing them.

•   Historical data can be used to estimate the probability of different returns, but past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

•   The expected rate of return does not consider the risk involved in an investment and should be used in conjunction with other factors when making investment decisions.

What Is the Expected Rate of Return?

The expected rate of return — also known as expected return — is the profit or loss an investor expects from an investment, given historical rates of return and the probability of certain returns under different scenarios. The expected return formula projects potential future returns.

Expected return is a speculative financial metric investors can use to determine where to invest their money. By calculating the expected rate of return on an investment, investors get an idea of how that investment may perform in the future.

This financial concept can be useful when there is a robust pool of historical data on the returns of a particular investment. Investors can use the historical data to determine the probability that an investment will perform similarly in the future.

However, it’s important to remember that past performance is far from a guarantee of future performance. Investors should be careful not to rely on expected returns alone when making investment decisions.

💡 Quick Tip: When you’re actively investing in stocks, it’s important to ask what types of fees you might have to pay. For example, brokers may charge a flat fee for trading stocks, or require some commission for every trade. Taking the time to manage investment costs can be beneficial over the long term.

How To Calculate Expected Return

To calculate the expected rate of return on a stock or other security, you need to think about the different scenarios in which the asset could see a gain or loss. For each scenario, multiply that amount of gain or loss (return) by its probability. Finally, add up the numbers you get from each scenario.

The formula for expected rate of return looks like this:

Expected Return = (R1 * P1) + (R2 * P2) + … + (Rn * Pn)

In this formula, R is the rate of return in a given scenario, P is the probability of that return, and n is the number of scenarios an investor may consider.

For example, say there is a 40% chance an investment will see a 20% return, a 50% chance that the investment will return 10%, and a 10% chance the investment will decline 10%. (Note: all the probabilities must add up to 100%)

The expected return on this investment would be calculated using the formula above:

Expected Return = (40% x 20%) + (50% x 10%) + (10% x -10%)

Expected Return = 8% + 5% – 1%

Expected Return = 12%

What Is Rate of Return?

The expected rate of return mentioned above looks at an investment’s potential profit and loss. In contrast, the rate of return looks at the past performance of an asset.

A rate of return is the percentage change in value of an investment from its initial cost. When calculating the rate of return, you look at the net gain or loss in an investment over a particular time period. The simple rate of return is also known as the return on investment (ROI).

Recommended: What Is the Average Stock Market Return?

How to Calculate Rate of Return

The formula to calculate the rate of return is:

Rate of return = [(Current value − Initial value) ÷ Initial Value ] × 100

Let’s say you own a share that started at $100 in value and rose to $110 in value. Now, you want to find its rate of return.

In our example, the calculation would be [($110 – $100) ÷ $100] x 100 = 10

A rate of return is typically expressed as a percentage of the investment’s initial cost. So, if you were to sell your share, this investment would have a 10% rate of return.

Recommended: What Is Considered a Good Return on Investment?

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Different Ways to Calculate Expected Rate of Return

How to Calculate Expected Return Using Historical Data

To calculate the expected return of a single investment using historical data, you’ll want to take an average rate of returns in certain years to determine the probability of those returns. Here’s an example of what that would look like:

Annual Returns of a Share of Company XYZ

Year

Return

2011 16%
2012 22%
2013 1%
2014 -4%
2015 8%
2016 -11%
2017 31%
2018 7%
2019 13%
2020 22%

For Company XYZ, the stock generated a 21% average rate of return in five of the ten years (2011, 2012, 2017, 2019, and 2020), a 5% average return in three of the years (2013, 2015, 2018), and a -8% average return in two of the years (2014 and 2016).

Using this data, you may assume there is a 50% probability that the stock will have a 21% rate of return, a 30% probability of a 5% return, and a 20% probability of a -8% return.

The expected return on a share of Company XYZ would then be calculated as follows:

Expected return = (50% x 21%) + (30% x 5%) + (20% x -8%)

Expected return = 10% + 2% – 2%

Expected return = 10%

Based on the historical data, the expected rate of return for this investment would be 10%.

However, when using historical data to determine expected returns, you may want to consider if you are using all of the data available or only data from a select period. The sample size of the historical data could skew the results of the expected rate of return on the investment.

How to Calculate Expected Return Based on Probable Returns

When using probable rates of return, you’ll need the data point of the expected probability of an outcome in a given scenario. This probability can be calculated, or you can make assumptions for the probability of a return. Remember, the probability column must add up to 100%. Here’s an example of how this would look.

Expected Rate of Return for a Stock of Company ABC

Scenario

Return

Probability

Outcome (Return * Probability)

1 14% 30% 4.2%
2 2% 10% 0.2%
3 22% 30% 6.6%
4 -18% 10% -1.8%
5 -21% 10% -2.1%
Total 100% 7.1%

Using the expected return formula above, in this hypothetical example, the expected rate of return is 7.1%.

Calculate Expected Rate of Return on a Stock in Excel

Follow these steps to calculate a stock’s expected rate of return in Excel (or another spreadsheet software):

1. In the first row, enter column labels:

•   A1: Investment

•   B1: Gain A

•   C1: Probability of Gain A

•   D1: Gain B

•   E1: Probability of Gain B

•   F1: Expected Rate of Return

2. In the second row, enter your investment name in B2, followed by its potential gains and the probability of each gain in columns C2 – E2

•   Note that the probabilities in C2 and E2 must add up to 100%

3. In F2, enter the formula = (B2*C2)+(D2*E2)

4. Press enter, and your expected rate of return should now be in F2

If you’re working with more than two probabilities, extend your columns to include Gain C, Probability of Gain C, Gain D, Probability of Gain D, etc.

If there’s a possibility for loss, that would be negative gain, represented as a negative number in cells B2 or D2.

Limitations of the Expected Rate of Return Formula

Historical data can be a good place to start in understanding how an investment behaves. That said, investors may want to be leery of extrapolating past returns for the future. Historical data is a guide; it’s not necessarily predictive.

Another limitation to the expected returns formula is that it does not consider the risk involved by investing in a particular stock or other asset class. The risk involved in an investment is not represented by its expected rate of return.

In this historical return example above, 10% is the expected rate of return. What that number doesn’t reveal is the risk taken in order to achieve that rate of return. The investment experienced negative returns in the years 2014 and 2016. The variability of returns is often called volatility.

Standard Deviation

To understand the volatility of an investment, you may consider looking at its standard deviation. Standard deviation measures volatility by calculating a dataset’s dispersion (values’ range) relative to its mean. The larger the standard deviation, the larger the range of returns.

Consider two different investments: Investment A has an average annual return of 10%, and Investment B has an average annual return of 6%. But when you look at the year-by-year performance, you’ll notice that Investment A experienced significantly more volatility. There are years when returns are much higher and lower than with Investment B.

Year

Annual Return of Investment A

Annual Return of Investment B

2011 16% 8%
2012 22% 4%
2013 1% 3%
2014 -6% 0%
2015 8% 6%
2016 -11% -2%
2017 31% 9%
2018 7% 5%
2019 13% 15%
2020 22% 14%
Average Annual Return 10% 6%
Standard Deviation 13% 5%

Investment A has a standard deviation of 13%, while Investment B has a standard deviation of 5%. Although Investment A has a higher rate of return, there is more risk. Investment B has a lower rate of return, but there is less risk. Investment B is not nearly as volatile as Investment A.

Recommended: A Guide to Historical Volatility

Systematic and Unsystematic Risk

All investments are subject to pressures in the market. These pressures, or sources of risk, can come from systematic and unsystematic risks. Systematic risk affects an entire investment type. Investors may struggle to reduce the risk through diversification within that asset class.

Because of systematic risk, you may consider building an investment strategy that includes different asset types. For example, a sweeping stock market crash could affect all or most stocks and is, therefore, a systematic risk. However, if your portfolio includes different types of bonds, commodities, and real estate, you may limit the impact of the equities crash.

In the stock market, unsystematic risk is specific to one company, country, or industry. For example, technology companies will face different risks than healthcare and energy companies. This type of risk can be mitigated with portfolio diversification, the process of purchasing different types of investments.

Expected Rate of Return vs Required Rate of Return

Expected return is just one financial metric that investors can use to make investment decisions. Similarly, investors may use the required rate of return (RRR) to determine the amount of money an investment needs to generate to be worth it for the investor. The required rate of return incorporates the risk of an investment.

What Is the Dividend Discount Model?

Investors may use the dividend discount model to determine an investment’s required rate of return. The dividend discount model can be used for stocks with high dividends and steady growth. Investors use a stock’s price, dividend payment per share, and projected dividend growth rate to calculate the required rate of return.

The formula for the required rate of return using the dividend discount model is:

RRR = (Expected dividend payment / Share price) + Projected dividend growth rate

So, if you have a stock paying $2 in dividends per year and is worth $20 and the dividends are growing at 5% a year, you have a required rate of return of:

RRR = ($2 / $20) + 0.5

RRR = .10 + .05

RRR = .15, or 15%

What is the Capital Asset Pricing Model?

The other way of calculating the required rate of return is using a more complex model known as the capital asset pricing model.

In this model, the required rate of return is equal to the risk-free rate of return, plus what’s known as beta (the stock’s volatility compared to the market), which is then multiplied by the market rate of return minus the risk-free rate. For the risk-free rate, investors usually use the yield of a short-term U.S. Treasury.

The formula is:

RRR = Risk-free rate of return + Beta x (Market rate of return – Risk-free rate of return)

For example, let’s say an investment has a beta of 1.5, the market rate of return is 5%, and a risk-free rate of 1%. Using the formula, the required rate of return would be:

RRR = .01 + 1.5 x (.05 – .01)

RRR = .01 + 1.5 x (.04)

RRR = .01 + .06

RRR = .07, or 7%


Test your understanding of what you just read.


The Takeaway

There’s no way to predict the future performance of an investment or portfolio. However, by looking at historical data and using the expected rate of return formula, investors can get a better sense of an investment’s potential profit or loss.

There’s no guarantee that the actual performance of a stock, fund, or other assets will match the expected return. Nor does expected return consider the risk and volatility of assets. It’s just one factor an investor should consider when deciding on investments and building a portfolio.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

FAQ

How do you find the expected rate of return?

An investment’s expected rate of return is the average rate of return that an investor can expect to receive over the life of the investment. Investors can calculate the expected return by multiplying the potential return of an investment by the chances of it occurring and then totaling the results.

How do you calculate the expected rate of return on a portfolio?

The expected rate of return on a portfolio is the weighted average of the expected rates of return on the individual assets in the portfolio. You first need to calculate the expected return for each investment in a portfolio, then weigh those returns by how much each investment makes up in the portfolio.

What is a good rate of return?

A good rate of return varies from person to person. Some investors may be satisfied with a lower rate of return if its performance is consistent, while others may be more aggressive and aim for a higher rate of return even if it is more volatile. Ultimately, it is up to the individual to decide what is considered a good rate of return.


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.


¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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