How Can Inflation Affect the United States?

Inflation can impact the US economy by: weakening the dollar value, allow fewer major purchases, influence monetary policy, and lower investment returns.

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Q: What is Hyperinflation?

Hyperinflation is when the price of goods and services rises uncontrollably over a specific timeframe, with no short-term economic remedy able to bring those prices back down again.

Q: Is Hyperinflation Coming to the United States?

Economists dismiss the notion that hyperinflation is looming for the country for several reasons, but mainly because the Federal Reserve would likely raise interest rates if inflation concerns grew.

Sep

2023

Could Hyperinflation Occur in the United States?

What Is Hyperinflation: Can It Happen in the US?

By Brian O'Connell | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Hyperinflation occurs when prices for goods and services rise uncontrollably. It is an economic condition that fuels nightmares for consumers and for economists alike.

According to data from Johns Hopkins University professor Steve Hanke, there have been more than 60 documented instances of hyperinflation since the 1700s, and in every instance, economic conditions deteriorated so fast that in all cases, national currencies failed, meaning that they lost nearly all of their purchasing power both domestically and internationally.

That begs a key question: Could hyperinflation come in the United States? And, if so, could hyperinflation take down the U.S. dollar and trigger a recession?

Theoretically, the answer is “possibly.” Realistically, the answer is “not likely.” Let’s take a look at hyperinflation and evaluate the possibility of inflation on steroids taking root in the U.S. economy.

What Is Hyperinflation?

If you’re still not quite clear on what is hyperinflation, economists define the term as when the price of goods and services rises uncontrollably over a specific timeframe, with no short-term economic remedy able to bring those prices back down again.

While figures linked to hyperinflation vary, some economists say hyperinflation occurs when the price of goods and services in a country’s economy rise by 50% over the period of one month.

The causes of hyperinflation typically stem from a skyrocketing boost in a country’s money supply without any accompanying economic growth. That scenario usually occurs when a country’s government essentially prints and spends money in short-term bursts, thus triggering a rise in that country’s money supply.

When a government pursues a high level of short-term economic spending at a rate significantly higher than the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) rate, more money flows through the economy. When that happens, the real value of a nation’s currency declines, the price of goods and services rises, and inflation spikes.

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Is Hyperinflation Coming to the United States?

While U.S. inflation rates and the prices of many goods and services are on the upswing, economists dismiss the notion that U.S. hyperinflation is looming for the country for several reasons. First, it’s important to remember that hyperinflation and inflation aren’t the same thing, and the Federal Reserve would likely raise interest rates if inflation concerns grew.

According to data published in September 2023, the annual U.S. inflation rate was 3.7% for the 12 months that ended in August 2023. That’s a significant drop from June of 2022, when the inflation rate was 9.1%, which was led by certain items such as airline tickets, lumber, and hotel rates. Many economists attributed this to ongoing inventory shortages and supply chain issues and the release of post-pandemic pent-up demand.

Even the largest inflation rate in U.S. history — 23% in June, 1920 — wouldn’t come close to approaching hyperinflation levels of 50% in a month. Still, ongoing inflation is something that the U.S. economy hasn’t seen in more than four decades, and it’s a risk that investors may want to consider when devising their portfolio strategy.

How Can Hyperinflation Affect the United States?

Economists have largely downplayed the chances of a hyperinflation in the USA, but with inflation on the rise, it’s helpful for consumers to get a better grip on hyperinflation, in particular, and on inflation in general.

Hyperinflation Causes:

These are some of the typical causes of hyperinflation:

Falling Dollar Value

Like most major global currencies, the dollar trades on foreign currency exchanges. When a country faces inflationary risks, investors grow skittish, and may bypass that country’s currency in favor of more stable currencies. Even without hyperinflation, a weaker dollar can significantly hurt the U.S. economy.

(Hyperinflation is the extreme opposite of what happens during deflation, in which prices for goods and services decline and the value of a currency rises.)

Fewer Major Purchases

As inflation seeps into an economy, high prices may prompt individuals and businesses to defer or cancel large purchases. Consumers, for example, could hold off buying new homes, new vehicles, or major household appliances. Businesses might postpone big-ticket purchases like heavy machinery, office buildings, and commercial vehicles.

Some investors may hesitate to put money into stocks in a down market. All of those decisions could stall economic growth, as fewer dollars are circulating through the economy.

Monetary Policy

When inflation occurs, banks and financial institutions may not lend money or extend credit to consumers and businesses, as confidence in the overall economy wanes.

The economic fix for skyrocketing inflation typically comes from a country’s central bank. In the United States, that would be the Federal Reserve. When necessary, the Federal Reserve uses monetary policy to slow rising inflation by curbing the U.S. money supply, often by raising interest rates. Higher interest rates give consumers and businesses more incentive to save and less incentive to spend. That, in turn, slows rising inflation.

Recommended: What Is Monetary Policy?

Lower Investment Returns

Inflation eats into real investment returns. As the value of a dollar declines, investors need to earn more than their average return on investment in order to generate the same purchasing power.

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How to Combat Hyperinflation

Individuals can’t do much to combat hyperinflation on their own. In fact, during hyperinflation, economies and societies can break down or collapse. Fortunately, periods of hyperinflation are rare. And remember, the 3.7% inflation rate as of August 2023 in the U.S. is nowhere near the levels of 50% in a month, which is when many economists believe hyperinflation occurs.

That said, there are things that might help individuals lessen the impact regular or high inflation might have on their investments. These actions include having a balanced and diversified portfolio, and investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), in which the principal amount invested adjusts with inflation.

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Real-World Examples of Hyperinflation

Zimbabwe offers a relatively recent example of hyperinflation. Just over a decade ago, Zimbabwe’s inflation rate stood at a staggering 98% daily inflation rate as the country’s economy went into free fall. That means consumer prices doubled on a daily basis.

Today, the Zimbabwe dollar is very weak, as the country continues to struggle with the issues that often lead to hyperinflation, such as an increased money supply, political corruption, and a major decline in economic activity.

Even historically stable country economies have experienced hyperinflation.

In the immediate aftermath of World War I, the Weimer Republic of Germany fell into economic decline due to war reparation debts and significantly reduced economic activity. The German government printed too much money in an effort to handle its economic obligations and to ignite a stagnant economy. The country faced an inflation rate of 323% per month by November, 1923 — that’s an annual inflation rate of three billion percent.

In today’s dollars, the consumer impact of hyperinflation is particularly onerous. For example, a small cup of coffee that normally would cost $3 would cost $22 at a 1,000% inflation rate. Similarly, a rental payment for an apartment in a major U.S. city might normally cost $2,000. With a 1,000% inflation rate, that rent would cost $22,000.

Hyperinflation also exists on the world’s economic stage in 2023. Venezuela, for example, has an estimated inflation rate of about 400%.

The Takeaway

While hyperinflation is certainly an economic condition any country would strive to avoid, there’s no compelling evidence suggesting it’s on the U.S. economic horizon — now or anytime in the near future. Still, the country has been in an inflationary period since 2022, so investors may consider using some inflation-hedging strategies to reduce its impact.

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FAQ

How does hyperinflation differ from regular inflation?

Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services are rising in a given economy. Hyperinflation is considered out-of-control inflation, at levels of about 50% in one month, and it can be a sign that a severe economic crisis is on the horizon.

Has the United States ever experienced hyperinflation in its history?

No. The closest the U.S. has come to hyperinflation is when annual inflation peaked at almost 30% during the Revolutionary War in 1778.

Are there any warning signs or indicators that could suggest the onset of hyperinflation?

Signs that might suggest that hyperinflation could happen include significant price increases of goods and services (such as increases of 50% in one month), the value of a country’s currency plummets, and economic activity slows or stops.

How can individuals protect their assets and finances during periods of hyperinflation?

Hyperinflation is quite rare, especially in countries with a central bank, like the Federal Reserve, that works to control inflation. However, there are things an investor might do to help limit the impact regular inflation might have. This includes having a balanced and diversified portfolio, and investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), in which the principal invested adjusts with inflation.

Photo credit: iStock/milindri

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Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Sep

2023

What Is Operating Leverage?

By Brian O'Connell | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Operating leverage looks at the relationship between a company’s fixed costs (e.g. rent), its variable costs (e.g. shipping), and revenue. The higher a company’s fixed costs relative to its variable costs indicates a high operating leverage.

Knowing whether a company’s operating leverage is high or low is important because those two factors, when taken into account with revenue, have an impact on profitability. A company with higher fixed costs has a higher degree of operating leverage (DOL), which then determines how much revenue is needed after costs are met — i.e. after the break-even point — to make a profit.

Operating Leverage Definition

The definition of operating leverage is fairly straightforward: It’s the amount of a company’s fixed costs relative to its variable costs. But the impact of operating leverage is best understood in relation to revenue.

That’s because a company with lower fixed costs has a lower break-even point before revenue begins to generate a profit. A company with higher fixed costs, i.e. higher operating leverage, has to work harder to cover its fixed costs and reach that break-even point. What are some of those costs?

Fixed Costs and Variable Costs

Many people are familiar with the idea of a fixed expense vs. a variable expense, as these apply to everyday life as they do in business.

• Fixed expenses. These are certain business expenses that rarely vary, like commercial rent, for example. It doesn’t matter how much a company earns or loses in a given month, the amount of rent owed on their lease is set at a fixed rate until the contract expires.

Fixed expenses tend to be related to time: e.g. X salaries per year for X employees, the cost of liability insurance, loan payments.

• Variable expenses. These expenses are related to the selling of a product or service, e.g. inventory and shipping costs, or marketing and sales. Another would be a “work for hire” employee who may or may not stay with the company.

Examples of Hybrid Semi-variable and Semi-fixed Costs

Sometimes costs blend together to create semi-fixed or semi-variable costs. For instance, a business may promise a plant supervisor a weekly salary of $1,500, plus 1% of the cost price for every widget produced under that manager’s supervision.

The fixed cost is the manager’s weekly salary of $1,500. That remains the same from pay period to pay period.

The variable cost is the 1% unit production percentage paid to the manager as an income incentive. That 1% payout is largely unknowable when the promise is made, making it a variable cost.

In another example, a company may pay its corporate finance manager a salary, which represents a fixed cost. Yet that same company may also pay its line workers on a production basis, based on a per-product wage formula. In that scenario, the same company may have dual fixed and variable costs in the same cost pipeline (i.e., salaries and wages), making those costs semi-variable and semi-fixed costs.

When trying to understand a business’s profitability and scalability, combining different metrics with operating leverage, like the asset turnover ratio, may also be helpful.

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Understanding the Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL)

Since every business deals with a combination of fixed and variable expenses, understanding the degree of operating leverage is the next step in gauging a company’s path to profitability.

When a company has higher fixed costs, the break-even point is also higher. But once that point is reached, every additional dollar in revenue has the potential to generate more profit because fixed costs stay the same, regardless of changes in production (volume).

When a company’s variable costs are higher the break-even point may be lower, but additional revenue also potentially drives up the variable costs (because those costs rise as volume rises). This impacts profitability.

High Operating Leverage and Low Operating Leverage: A Comparison

Some industries tend to have a higher DOL and some tend to have a lower DOL. Those with higher fixed costs often include leases for land or buildings, or heavy R&D. Retailers are among those with lower fixed costs vs. their much higher variable costs (merchandise is pretty variable).

High Degree of Operating Leverage	Low Degree of Operating Leverage
Airlines and automotive	Food services (e.g. restaurants)
Energy	Retailers (e.g. fashion)
Telecommunications	Professional services
Pharmaceuticals	Ecommerce

For example an airline has high fixed costs: It has to maintain a fleet of aircraft, pay fuel, salaries, insurance, and so on. A consulting firm has higher variable costs — i.e. the salaries and commissions of its consultant staff.

Operating Leverage Formula

The operating leverage formula is a useful way to compare companies within the same industry.

Mathematically, the formula for operating leverage looks like this:

Operating Leverage = [Quantity (Price – Variable Cost per Unit)] / Quantity (Price – Variable Cost per Unit) – Fixed Operating Cost

Example Scenario and Calculation

For example, say Firm ABC has sold 1,000,000 hammers for $12 each. Firm ABC also has $10,000,000 worth of fixed costs, for expenses for machinery, office equipment, employees, among other costs. With unit sales at $12 each and $10 million in fixed costs, Firm ABC pays $0.10 per unit to make each hammer.

Here’s what that equation looks like in mathematical terms, and what the operational leverage outcome winds up being:

Operating Leverage = [1,000,000 x ($12 – $0.10)] / 1,000,000 x ($12 – $0.10) – $10,000,000 = $11,900,000/$1,900,000 = 6.26 or 626%

Based on that calculation, a 10% increase in revenue will result in a 62.6% operating income (i.e. profit) increase for Firm ABC.

But if you ran the numbers for Company XYZ, another hammer manufacturer, with different fixed costs and different variable costs, the amount of profit generated by an increase in revenue would also be different — and this could provide an important point of comparison for investing in one company vs. another.

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How to Use Operating Leverage

Operating leverage helps to determine a few things. First, it’s used to measure the break-even point for a company. That’s the point at which expenses are covered and profit is zero — knowing this can help set appropriate per-unit prices.

That’s because changes in revenue naturally impact operating income, but calculating the DOL can reveal what that means for individual companies: i.e. how much will a 10% change in revenue affect profit? A high DOL company might see higher profits once fixed costs are covered. But if revenue decreases, there would be downward pressure on its margins.

Knowing the DOL can also help assess whether a company is getting the most out of its fixed-cost assets (e.g. the cost of the factory, machinery, maintenance), or are there efficiencies that might help generate higher operating income (profit)? By managing fixed cost items better, a company might increase profits without needing to move other levers like price or number of units sold.

The Takeaway

Operating leverage is an important metric in business. It can help analysts or investors better understand a company’s fixed costs relative to its variable costs, and how revenue will impact profit owing to the difference in break-even points.

For example, a company with higher fixed costs has higher operating leverage than a company with higher variable costs. So the higher DOL company will see a substantive change in profits as sales increase past the break-even point.

A company with higher variable costs (and lower operating leverage) will see a smaller profit on each sale — but because it has lower fixed costs, it likely won’t need to increase sales as much to cover those items.

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FAQ

What does it mean to have high operating leverage?

When a company has higher fixed costs it’s said to have a higher degree of operating leverage. This means the break-even point for that company is also higher. After that point, every additional dollar in revenue has the potential to generate more profit because fixed costs stay the same, regardless of changes in production (volume).

What does it mean to have low operating leverage?

When a company’s variable costs are higher, it has lower operating leverage (i.e. lower fixed costs). In that case the break-even point for that company is lower, and a lower proportion of additional revenue will go toward profit, because variable costs go up as sales rise.

How do you improve operating leverage?

One way to improve operating leverage is to reduce fixed costs where possible. This will lower the break-even point for a company and potentially increase profits. That said, different companies are structured differently, and improving operating leverage may require changes in variable costs versus a company that will benefit by lowering its fixed costs.

SoFi Invest®
INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE
SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Sep

2023

What Are Pink Sheet Stocks?

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Pink sheet stocks are stocks that trade through the over-the-counter market or OTC rather than through a major stock exchange. The term “pink sheets” comes from the paper that stock quotes used to be printed on, though today, stock quotes and stock trading takes place electronically.

The over-the-counter market may appeal to smaller companies, companies that are reorganizing after bankruptcy or shell companies. A pink sheet stock does not face the same level of regulation as stocks from publicly traded companies that are traded on the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ.

What Is a Pink Sheet OTC?

Pink sheet stocks are those that trade over the counter (OTC), rather than via stock exchanges. OTC Markets Group provides quotes for pink sheet stocks, and broker-dealers execute trades directly with each other.

Pink sheet OTC stock trading happens on an open market that lacks the financial reporting rules mandated by trading on the NYSE, NASDAQ or another stock exchange. It’s not illegal, though the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) warns investors to stay vigilant for potential scams or fraudulent trading involving the pink sheets market and microcap or penny stocks.

A company may choose to sell shares on the over-the-counter market if it can not meet the listing requirements established by the SEC, or does not want the expense of going through the IPO process. Many pink sheet stocks are penny stocks.

Investors looking for bargain buys may consider dipping into the pink sheets market. But pink sheet stocks — and penny stocks, in particular — can be highly volatile so it’s important to understand both the risks and potential rewards.

Listing Requirements

In order for a company to get listed on OTC pink sheets, they must file Form 211 with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). Companies do this through a sponsoring market maker, or registered broker dealer firm. The sponsoring market maker accepts the risk of holding a certain number of shares in a pink sheet company to facilitate trading of those shares.

The Form 211 asks for financial information about the listed company. The broker dealer can then use this information to generate a stock price quote. Pink sheet over-the-counter stocks do not need to adhere to the same financial reporting requirements as stocks that trade on major exchanges.

Are Pink Sheets and OTC the Same?

The terms pink sheet stocks, and OTC or over the counter, loosely refer to the same thing: Trades that take place outside of the traditional stock exchanges. The company OTC Markets provides quotes for companies listed on the pink sheets, as well as the OTCQX and the OTCQB trading marketplaces.

The OTCQX allows for trading of companies that are not listed on traditional exchanges but still subject to SEC rules. The OTCQB includes emerging companies with a stock price of at least a penny that are not in bankruptcy, have a minimum of 50 beneficial shareholders who each own 100 shares, and annually confirm that information is up to date. Of the three, the pink sheet OTC marketplace has the fewest financial reporting requirements.

There are also companies that adopt regulatory and reporting standards to list with the Over the Counter Bulletin Board (OTCBB) system. This was another electronic stock quote system that displays stock prices for securities not listed on a national exchange. It had regulation requirements, which means pink sheet stocks wouldn’t be listed, but has ceased operations.

Are Pink Sheets and Stocks the Same?

Pink sheet stocks are stocks, meaning each one represents an ownership share in a company. The primary difference between pink sheet stocks and other types of stocks, such as Blue Chip stocks, is how investors trade them. Investors trade pink sheet stocks over the counter, and other types of stocks on an exchange.

Pink sheet stocks may have much lower valuations than small-cap, mid-cap or large-cap stocks, or they may be newer companies that have yet to establish themselves in the market. This is why it’s possible to buy penny stocks or microcap stocks on the pink sheets for pennies on the dollar.

Companies that Use Pink Sheets

There are many companies that use pink sheet stocks, and that includes some big-name, well-known companies that most people would recognize. That said, most likely wouldn’t be recognizable immediately to the average investor. A quick internet search would yield many results and examples.

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Pros and Cons of Pink Sheet Stocks

Pink sheet stocks have benefits and disadvantages, both for the companies that list over the counter and for investors. These may differ from exchange-traded stocks. Here are some of the most important pros and cons to consider when investing in pink sheet stock:

Benefits of Pink Sheet Stocks

From a business perspective, being listed on the pink sheets can save companies resources. Rather than going through the IPO process to become a publicly-traded company, pink sheet stocks circumvent the major stock exchanges and their listing requirements.

Foreign companies may choose the pink sheets to avoid SEC financial reporting rules. Additionally, companies delisted from a stock exchange may seek to trade on the pink sheets OTC market.

For investors, the appeal of pink sheet stock trading is the potential to pick up stocks at rock-bottom prices. If a company listed on the pink sheets takes off, that could result in significant profits for investors who bought in early. Because there are fewer reporting requirements, it’s possible to find a much broader range of stocks to invest in when trading on the OTC pink sheets.

Disadvantages of Pink Sheet Stocks

Trading on the pink sheets OTC can call a company’s reputation or credibility into question. Investors may wonder why a company is not seeking an IPO to get listed on a stock exchange or why a company has been delisted. That can make it difficult for a company to cement its footing in the marketplace and attract attention from new investors.

Investing in pink sheet stocks may have more risk than trading stocks on a major exchange, since there is less transparency around their finances. It can be difficult to “look under the hood,” so to speak, and get an accurate picture of a company’s fundamentals. That means investors are inherently taking on more risk when investing in the pink sheets simply because they may not know exactly what they’re buying.

In addition, pink sheet stocks may be thinly traded, meaning it can be more difficult to buy or sell shares. Allocating assets to pink-sheet stocks may not be appropriate for investors who want or need liquidity within their portfolio.

Finally, investors must consider the fees associated with trading pink sheet stocks, as fees can erode net returns and stock profit.

How to Find Pink Sheet Stocks

Finding pink sheet stocks can be as simple as searching the OTC Markets website. You can use the platform’s stock screener to filter for pink sheet stocks. The filter can tell you at a glance the stock’s ticker symbol, its country of origin, price and trading volume. You can also identify pink sheet stocks by looking for ‘PK’ at the end of their symbol on a stick ticker.

It may be helpful to use an online trading simulator to find pink sheet stocks. A simulator can help you to learn more about pink sheet stocks and penny stocks while simulating trades to estimate potential gains or losses. This can make it easier to familiarize yourself with how pink sheet stocks trade and what kind of volatility you might be able to expect before investing real money.

Pink Sheet Stock Investment Risks

Part of investing strategically means paying attention to risk management. Pink sheet stocks can present greater risk in a portfolio for a few reasons. For starters, there’s less liquidity surrounding these stocks due to lower trading volume. That could make it harder to unload shares of a penny stock or pink sheet stock if you decide that it’s no longer a good fit for your investment strategy.

The pink sheets market and over-the-counter trading in general can be more susceptible to stock volatility. Rapid price fluctuations could generate higher than anticipated losses if the price of a pink sheet stock nosedives unexpectedly.

Share dilution can also reduce the value of penny stocks or other pink sheet stocks. Dilution occurs when a company issues more shares of stock, watering down the value of the existing shares on the market.

Another issue with pink sheet stocks is that they can be susceptible to price manipulation or fraud. Unusual suspects might use shell companies, for example, to trade on the pink sheets for the purpose of laundering money or otherwise defrauding investors. Because there’s so little regulation and transparency surrounding these stocks, it’s important to do thorough research before investing to make sure the company is legitimate.

💡 Quick Tip: Investment fees are assessed in different ways, including trading costs, account management fees, and possibly broker commissions. When you set up an investment account, be sure to get the exact breakdown of your “all-in costs” so you know what you’re paying.

How to Invest in Pink Sheet Stocks

If you’re interested in investing in pink sheet stocks, you’ll need a brokerage account to get started. Specifically, you need a broker that offers pink sheet trading. Not all brokers offer this service so you may need to research different options for where to trade pink sheet stocks online.

Once you find a brokerage you can decide how much you want to invest in pink sheet stock. Given the higher degree of risk involved, it’s important to consider how much you could realistically afford to lose if a pink sheet stock or penny stock gamble doesn’t pay off. This can help you come up with a number to invest.

When choosing a broker, ask about any applicable commission fees. Brokerages may charge higher trading fees for pink sheet stocks versus stocks that trade on a major exchange, so it’s important to factor cost in when estimating your risk/reward potential.

Pink Sheet Trading Time and Access

Trading pink sheet or OTC stocks occurs during normal market hours: Monday through Friday, 9:30am ET to 4:00pm ET, except on holidays. Investors can also place orders after hours, however.

The Takeaway

Pink sheet stocks, or OTC stocks, are stocks that do not trade on traditional large exchanges, and instead, trade “over the counter.” The over-the-counter market may appeal to smaller companies, companies that are reorganizing after bankruptcy, or shell companies, and listing OTC may be a way to circumvent the IPO process.

Investing in stocks may help you to build wealth for the long term. If you’re new to investing, you may want to start with trading stocks through an online brokerage account before diving into the over the counter market.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Why do companies use pink sheets?

Companies may choose to use pink sheets or list their stocks OTC if they can’t meet listing requirements set forth by the SEC, or if they don’t want to go through the IPO process, which can be resource-consuming.

What is the commission on pink sheet penny stocks?

Commissions or fees levied on pink sheet penny stock trading will vary depending on the platform being used to trade them. But in many cases, there are no commissions or fees to execute a trade.

What is the difference between pink sheets vs. OTCBB?

Pink sheets is a term used to describe over the counter, or OTC stocks. OTCBB, on the other hand, is the Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board, and was a quotation service offered by FINRA.

Photo credit: iStock/PeopleImages

Sep

2023

Basics of the Time Value of Money (TVM)

By Amanda Holden | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

If you’ve ever heard the expression, “A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow,” then you know the basic definition of the time value of money. Essentially, having $1,000 today is more valuable than having $1,000 a year from now because of the potential for growth over that time period.

Other factors can also influence the time value of money, or TVM. For example, inflation naturally increases over time, and that can lower the purchasing power of future dollars. In short: Money you can put to work now is usually worth more than the same amount down the line.

Investors and business owners use TVM as a way to compare values of certain sums of money over different time periods.

What Is the Time Value of Money?

The time value of money is the relationship between a dollar at one point in time and the value of that same dollar at another point in time. For example, $50 today likely won’t have the same value as $50 a year from now, just as $1 million now is not the same as $1 million 20 years ago (when a million dollars bought more than it does now).

You don’t need to know the formula for time value of money to understand the basic forces at play here. First, there is the potential for a present sum of money to earn a profit (if you invest it) or to gain interest (if you save it or buy debt instruments like bonds) over time.

Inflation is also an important consideration when calculating the time value of money. As goods get more expensive, each dollar will purchase less than it did the year before. For example, the historic rate of inflation is about 2% per year. If you consider how much $10,000 can buy today, it would buy roughly 2% less in a year — about $9,800 worth of goods.

So the time value of money is a framework for comparing lump sums of money and/or payments across different time periods. Dollars can be future, present, or past — almost like different currencies.

The definition of the time value of money may seem like a purely academic concept, but has many real-world applications. Time value of money is used in personal finance, real estate, and investing decisions.

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How Does Time Value Work?

The time value of money can look at both the present and future value of money and the value of cash flows. It allows both institutional and retail investors to compare payments or sums of money over different time frames.

Within a business context, calculating the time value of money using a TVM formula is important because it can help with decision making, e.g. about acquiring a new business or developing a new product. If you put $X amount of cash into a new line of business, what is the future value of that amount? And would the new investment equal or exceed it — or not (in which case it might not be a good use of your capital)?

To determine the value of money over periods of time, investors can use a formula that takes into account the present value and future value of a specific amount, and how it will change over time.

How to Calculate TVM for a Future Value

Quite often, investors are called upon to evaluate the future value (FV) of a present dollar amount. That formula is:

FV = PV x [1 + (i / n)]^{(n x t)}

Where:

• PV – Present value of money

• FV – Future value of money

• i – interest rate or other amount that can be earned on the money

• t – number of years being considered

• n – number of compounding periods of interest per year

Let’s say you have $2,000 that’s earning 5% per year in interest payments. You could keep your money where it is, or you could consider another investment opportunity. In order to decide, it helps to know what the future value of your cash will be, given current parameters.

In this case, the calculation would look like this, employing the FV formula above:

FV = $2,000 x [1 + (5% / 1) ]^{(1 x 2)}

FV = $2,000 x [1 + 0.05]⁽²⁾

FV = $2,205

This calculation tells you that your money is likely to be worth $2,205 in two years, assuming nothing changes. This could help you gauge whether the new opportunity would be likely to deliver a higher or a lower return.

How to Calculate TVM for a Present Value

It’s also possible to consider a future sum that’s being offered, and what that translates to in present dollars. Let’s say you could earn $2,000 now or be given $2,200 in a year. You’d need to calculate what the present value of $2,200 is.

To determine whether it makes sense to wait one year for an extra $200, here’s how to calculate the present value of that future amount, assuming you could earn 5% in the coming year.

PV = FV / (1 + (i / n)^{(n x t)}

PV = $2,200 / 1 + ( 5% / 1)^{(1 x 1)}

PV = $2,095

In this case, the present value of the $2,200 being offered in one year is higher than taking just $2,000 now ($2,095). Which suggests that waiting to take the $2,200 payment might be a better move.

If there are multiple times per year when interest compounds, the result can be quite different. If interest compounds daily, monthly, quarterly or yearly can have a big effect on the TMV calculation (see below for more on compounding).

Why Is the Time Value of Money Important?

Time changes the value of money. Being able to calculate the present vs. the future value of money enables you to make better choices about how to invest and spend your money.

Therefore, TVM is inherently important in both an investing and a business context because it can help you gauge the value of different opportunities, and assess which makes the most sense financially.

Time Value of Money and Compound Returns

For the individual investor, there is perhaps no way in which the time value of money is more important than with the potential for earning compound returns.

To earn compound returns is to earn a rate of return on both the initial principal invested and all subsequent profits. As profits grow, so does the potential to earn more — and all that this exponential growth requires is that you stay invested.

The key to harnessing the raw power of compound returns is to spend as much time invested as possible — another example of the time value of money. Each year of positive returns is fuel for greater future returns.

This can be hard for investors to wrap their heads around because the results can take decades to reveal themselves. To understand compound returns, and the phenomenon of compounding in general, it helps to start with a comparison of simple and compound interest.

💡 Quick Tip: When you’re actively investing in stocks, it’s important to ask what types of fees you might have to pay. For example, brokers may charge a flat fee for trading stocks, or require some commission for every trade. Taking the time to manage investment costs can be beneficial over the long term.

Comparing Simple Interest to Compound Interest

With simple returns, a rate of return is produced on the principal investment in each period. An example is a basic Treasury note or bond that pays a 5% rate of return on $1,000 each year for five years. Each year the bondholder receives a $50 payment ($1,000 x 5%). The amount is not reinvested (i.e. there is no compounding), and at the end of five years the investor gets back the principal, and makes a profit of $250 (5 x $50) for a total of $1,250.

The time value of money has a bigger impact when you have a savings bond that pays 5% that compounds semi-annually. At the end of the five years, the investor’s initial $1,000 investment has grown to approximately $1,276. This is a total profit of $276, compared to simple interest’s $250. While this might not seem like much, this gap will continue to grow as compound return growth increases.

Likewise, the more frequent the compounding is, the greater the potential for growth would be. Thus compounding is an important factor in the time value of money as well.

Factors Affecting Compound Returns

There are four variables at play when calculating compound returns: the rate of return, the principal invested, the duration, and the frequency of compounding (e.g. monthly, quarterly, annually).

Check out a compound returns calculator for a better understanding of how these variables interplay. What you’ll find is that all factors can have a powerful impact on the time value of money.

Investors should also consider inflation. Inflation, or rising prices over time, also has a compounding effect. Investors can consider using a time value of money formula for inflation, and think about ways to hedge against inflation.

How Does Inflation Impact the Time Value of Money?

Inflation is another reason that money is typically worth more in the present than in the future. As time goes on, inflation erodes the purchasing power of money. So the same amount of money can’t buy as many goods in the future as it can today.

This is sometimes called inflation risk, and it refers to the need for investors to factor in the potential gains of an investment over time vs the impact of inflation, so they can protect their money. Invested money that gains more than the rate of inflation won’t lose value over time.

Working With the Time Value of Money

Investors use the time value of money to understand the worth of money in relation to time, which helps them understand the value of their funds in the present and the future and how to invest them.

As noted above, factors such as interest rates, inflation, and risk all affect investments over time, so having formulas to help make decisions is a useful tool. Here are some other factors to consider.

Discount Rate

To decide whether the future cash flows from an investment will be worth more than the money required to fund the project now, in the present, you can use something called the discount rate. The discount rate is the rate of interest used to assess the present value (PV) of those future dollars.

For example, if you put $1,000 into an account or investment with a guaranteed 5% annual return, the future value of that money will be $1,050 in a year. So the discount rate in this case is 5%; you would discount $1,050 by 5% to arrive at its PV.

Sinking Funds

There is also the option to use the TVM calculation for so-called sinking funds, which is actually a savings strategy.

If you’re saving up for something in the future and know how much you need to save, you can figure out how much you need to save each month or year to reach that goal if you are earning interest on those savings.

Real Estate Investments

An investor might look at a property in a high-growth neighborhood and predict that it will be worth a certain amount in five years, but they want to calculate whether it is actually a good investment. They can use the TVM calculation to discount that estimated future value to find out the current value and see how the two compare.

Investing With SoFi

The time value of money (TVM) is an important concept for investors. It underscores the notion that time affects the value of money, along with other factors, and being able to calculate TVM in different scenarios, from investing to business, can help you decide whether one choice is likely to be more profitable over time.

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FAQ

Why use the time value of money concept?

A dollar now is almost always worth more than that same dollar in the future, owing to that dollar’s potential for growth (and the diminishing effect of inflation) over time. Using TVM formulas, it’s possible to gauge the long-term impact of different choices so you can make the more profitable one.

Is the time value of money concept always true?

Yes, for the simple reason that it’s always possible to invest your money now and gain some interest over time, even a minor amount.

What are some factors that may affect the time value of money?

The main factors that can impact the time value of money are the rate of interest, the number of years the money will earn that rate, and how often interest compounds.

Sep

2023

What Is Forex Trading and How Does it Work?

What Is Forex Trading? A Guide for Beginners

By Laurel Tincher | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Foreign exchange, also known as “FX,” “forex,” or currency trading, is the exchange of different global currencies. The changes in currency values reflect supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by buying and selling currencies based on their shifting values. The shifting values of currencies in the market affect the prices of goods and services all over the world.

The largest financial market in the world, forex is an extremely popular alternative investment, but many individual investors find it too challenging and risky to participate. Forex has the propensity to generate sizable returns for experienced traders, but it’s also complicated.

How Does Forex Trading Work?

Forex operates differently than many other types of investments. The forex market is open for trading 24 hours a day, Monday through Friday. There are four main forex trading centers around the world, covering different time zones: London, New York, Sydney, and Tokyo.

Unlike the stock exchange, there is no physical foreign exchange market. Banks and financial institutions, rather than central exchanges, run the market and all trading takes place over the counter.

All forex trades occur in currency pairs. For instance, an investor can trade U.S. Dollars for Euros, or vice versa. With every transaction they buy one currency and sell the other.

All currencies continuously increase or decrease in value relative to other currencies. Values shift due to international or national events such as elections, wars, economic crises, natural disasters, and more. Bank and federal announcements such as gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation reports, employment figures, and quantitative easing measures can affect currency values. Based on what’s happening in the world, traders make predictions about whether a particular currency will rise or fall in relation to another currency, and trade accordingly.

Traders swap currencies in batches, or lots. A standard lot is 1000,000 units of currency. Traders can also trade mini lots of 10,000 units, or micro lots of 1000 units.

Since traders generally don’t have tens or hundreds of thousands of units of currency to trade, they often use leverage and margin trading to increase their position without having as much capital investment in a trade.

Risks of Forex Trading

One of the primary risks of forex trading involves the use of leverage. Using leverage can result in greater profits, but there is also a risk of losing more money initially invested. The associated risks are one reason that forex institutional investors, rather than individual investors, typically dominate forex trading. For this reason, it’s important to understand the market, the opportunity cost and the risks of day trading before starting to use leverage.

Many investors consider forex an alternative investment, since it may not correlate to stocks and bonds. Alternative investments may have their own unique risks, too, which investors or traders should be aware of.

Benefits of Forex Trading

The use of leverage is also one of the big potential benefits of forex trading, as it allows investors who lack significant resources to make relatively large trades, and thus, generate relatively large returns. Additionally, the forex markets are open longer than stock markets, which may be an advantage for some traders, and there are low barriers to entry, and an extremely liquid market for traders, too.

💡 Quick Tip: How do you decide if a certain trading platform or app is right for you? Ideally, the investment platform you choose offers the features that you need for your investment goals or strategy, e.g., an easy-to-use interface, data analysis, educational tools.

What Are the Major Currency Pairs?

There are four types of pairs in the FX market:

• Major Pairs: Seven currencies comprise 80% of the global forex market. These major pairs include EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF

• Minor Pairs: Traded less often, many of these pairs don’t include USD. Minor pairs include EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, and EUR/CHF

• Exotics: Exotic pairs include one major currency and one currency from an emerging or smaller market. These include EUR/CZK, USD/PLN, and GBP/MXN

• Regional Pairs: Based on geography, these pairs include, such as AUD/NZD and EUR/NOK

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Three Markets to Trade Forex

There are three ways to trade in the forex market, used by both short- and long-term traders.

Spot Forex Market

This involves the physical exchange of currencies. Since it happens physically in real time, traders can complete this type of transaction on the spot. Traders can buy and sell derivatives based on the spot forex market through over-the-counter exchanges.

Forward Forex Market

In this type of forex trading, traders agree to buy or sell a specific amount of a currency at a set price on a set future date.

Futures Forex Market

In the futures market, contracts for these forward transactions are bought and sold.

How to Read Forex Quotes

It can be a bit confusing at first to read and understand forex pairs. This is how to read them.

Here’s an example: EUR/USD 1.13012

The currency on the left (EUR) is the base currency. It is always equal to one unit, which in this case would be 1€.

The currency on the right (USD) is called the quote currency or counter currency.

The number 1.13012 is the value of the quoted currency relative to one unit of the base currency. In this example, 1€ = $1.13012. If the base currency (EUR) rises in value, the quoted currency number increases since one unit of the base currency can buy more of the quoted currency, and vice versa.

When trading forex, investors are buying the base currency, in this case EUR. So, if they want to buy EUR they buy the EUR/USD pair, and if they want to buy USD they sell the EUR/USD pair.

Understanding Bid and Ask

Another important part of reading forex quotes are the bid and ask prices. The bid price is the amount that the dealer pays for the base currency, while the ask price is the price for which they will sell it. Bid prices are always lower than ask prices. The difference between these two prices is known as the spread. A lower spread is better for traders.

Using the example above, the ask price tells a trader how much USD they will need to spend to purchase one unit of EUR. The bid price tells them how much USD they will buy when they sell one unit of EUR.

Generally, the bid and ask are shown as bid/ask. For example, EUR/USD 1.13012/23 would mean that the bid price is 1.13012 and the ask price is 1.13023. A trader could sell 1€ for $1.13012 or buy 1€ for $1.13023.

Forex Trading Terms to Know

“Pips” may be the most important term for forex traders to know.

In forex trading, the units that measure the spread, earnings, and losses are called pips, which are the smallest price movement between pairs of currencies. These are similar to points in the stock market. The actual value of a pip changes depending on the currency pair, but it generally refers to a movement in the fourth decimal place of a currency pair. Micro pips or pipettes are the decimal places after the fourth decimal place.

💡 Quick Tip: The best stock trading app? That’s a personal preference, of course. Generally speaking, though, a great app is one with an intuitive interface and powerful features to help make trades quickly and easily.

The Takeaway

Forex trading involves trading foreign currencies, and typically involves a handful of main currency pairs. The forex markets are relatively easy to learn, have low barriers to entry, and allow for the use of leverage, making them attractive to many investors.

Forex is a popular alternative investment and can be a great way to diversify a portfolio. However, it does involve a significant amount of understanding and practice, and can be very risky. If direct forex investing seems daunting, you can still get exposure to forex markets by purchasing ETFs or other funds that focus on foreign currencies.

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FAQ

Why does forex trading matter for average consumers?

The forex markets can have an impact on prices for consumers, which is why they may be a matter of concern for the typical person. Exchange rates internationally may be affected, which can possibly change prices.

What are the biggest differences between investing in stock and forex?

The forex markets tend to be more liquid and volatile than the stock market, as well as more voluminous, which may make them more attractive to investors. The markets are also open longer, and applicable fees for forex trades may be lower, too.

What is considered a large investment in forex trading?

Forex trades are done in “lots,” and a large lot may involve $100,000 trades while using leverage. This could only include $1,000 in actual capital, and if executed, would likely be considered a large trade for the forex markets.

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Alternative investments, including funds that invest in alternative investments, are risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Alternative investments often employ leveraging and other speculative practices that increase an investor's risk of loss to include complete loss of investment, often charge high fees, and can be highly illiquid and volatile. Alternative investments may lack diversification, involve complex tax structures and have delays in reporting important tax information. Registered and unregistered alternative investments are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds.
Please note that Interval Funds are illiquid instruments, hence the ability to trade on your timeline may be restricted. Investors should review the fee schedule for Interval Funds via the prospectus.

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Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

SOIN0723147

What Is Hyperinflation: Can It Happen in the US?

What Is Hyperinflation?

Is Hyperinflation Coming to the United States?

How Can Hyperinflation Affect the United States?

Hyperinflation Causes:

Falling Dollar Value

Fewer Major Purchases

Monetary Policy

Lower Investment Returns

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How to Combat Hyperinflation

Real-World Examples of Hyperinflation

The Takeaway

FAQ

How does hyperinflation differ from regular inflation?

Has the United States ever experienced hyperinflation in its history?

Are there any warning signs or indicators that could suggest the onset of hyperinflation?

How can individuals protect their assets and finances during periods of hyperinflation?

What Is Operating Leverage?

Operating Leverage Definition

Fixed Costs and Variable Costs

Examples of Hybrid Semi-variable and Semi-fixed Costs

Understanding the Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL)

High Operating Leverage and Low Operating Leverage: A Comparison

Operating Leverage Formula

How to Use Operating Leverage

The Takeaway

FAQ

What does it mean to have high operating leverage?

What does it mean to have low operating leverage?

How do you improve operating leverage?

What Are Pink Sheet Stocks?

What Is a Pink Sheet OTC?

Listing Requirements

Are Pink Sheets and OTC the Same?

Are Pink Sheets and Stocks the Same?

Companies that Use Pink Sheets

Pros and Cons of Pink Sheet Stocks

Benefits of Pink Sheet Stocks

Disadvantages of Pink Sheet Stocks

How to Find Pink Sheet Stocks

Pink Sheet Stock Investment Risks

How to Invest in Pink Sheet Stocks

Pink Sheet Trading Time and Access

The Takeaway

FAQ

Why do companies use pink sheets?

What is the commission on pink sheet penny stocks?

What is the difference between pink sheets vs. OTCBB?

Basics of the Time Value of Money (TVM)

What Is the Time Value of Money?

How Does Time Value Work?

How to Calculate TVM for a Future Value

How to Calculate TVM for a Present Value

Why Is the Time Value of Money Important?

Time Value of Money and Compound Returns

Comparing Simple Interest to Compound Interest

Factors Affecting Compound Returns

How Does Inflation Impact the Time Value of Money?

Working With the Time Value of Money

Discount Rate

Sinking Funds

Real Estate Investments

Investing With SoFi

FAQ

Why use the time value of money concept?

Is the time value of money concept always true?

What are some factors that may affect the time value of money?

What Is Forex Trading? A Guide for Beginners

How Does Forex Trading Work?

Risks of Forex Trading

Benefits of Forex Trading

What Are the Major Currency Pairs?

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Three Markets to Trade Forex

Spot Forex Market

Forward Forex Market

Futures Forex Market

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