Which Pivot Points Are Best for Intraday Trading?

Because technical analysis has a large subjective component to it, traders will likely have their own interpretations of which pivot points are most important for intraday trading. While some traders are fond of Fibonacci pivot points, others may prefer different points.

InvestHH Archives | Page 5 of 19

Q: What is a Pivot Point?

Pivot points are predictive indicators that average the high, low, and closing price from the previous period to define future support levels. These pivot points can help inform a decision to buy or sell.

May

2024

Pivot Point: What It Is and How to Use It in Trading

By Brian Nibley | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Pivot points are technical indicators that average the intraday high, low, and closing price from the previous trading period. Based on the price movements the following day, traders can use the pivot point to identify support and resistance levels.

If the price moves above the primary pivot point, it may signal a bullish trend; if it moves below the pivot point, it may indicate a bearish trend. Thus, pivot points can help inform a decision to buy or sell stocks.

When used alongside other common technical indicators, identifying pivot points can be part of an effective trading strategy. Pivot points are regarded as being important indicators for day traders.

What Is a Pivot Point?

Pivot points got their start during the time when traders gathered on the floor of stock exchanges. Calculating a pivot point using yesterday’s data gave these traders a price level to watch for throughout the day.

While other technical indicators, such as oscillators or moving averages, fluctuate constantly throughout the day, the pivot point remains static.

Analysts consider the main or primary pivot point to be the most important. This point indicates the price at which bullish and bearish forces tend to break one way or the other — that is, the price where sentiment tends to pivot from.

Pivot point calculations are considered leading indicators, and are often used in tandem with other common technical indicators. Today, traders around the world use pivot points, particularly in the forex and equity markets.

Two Ways to Use Pivot Points

But there are different ways to use pivot points. One way is to use the pivot point to help identify the trend. Again, when prices move above the pivot point, this could be considered bullish; prices falling below the pivot point could be considered bearish.

Traders can also use pivot points to set entry and exit points for trades. All things being equal, a trader might want to set a stop loss order around the support level, the price at which a downtrend generally turns around, or a limit order to buy shares if the price goes above a resistance level, generally the upper limit of the price range.

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How to Calculate Pivot Points

The PP is vital for the pivot point formula as a whole. It’s essential for traders to exercise caution when calculating the pivot-point level; because if this calculation is done incorrectly, the other levels will not be accurate.

The formula for calculating the PP is:

Pivot Point (PP) = (Daily High + Daily Low + Close) Divided by 3

To make the calculations for pivot points, it’s necessary to have a chart from the previous trading day. This is where you can get the values for the daily low, daily high, and closing prices. The resulting calculations are only relevant for the current day.

Recommended: How to Know When to Buy Stocks

What Are Resistance and Support Levels in Pivot Points?

Traders track price patterns in order to decide when to enter and exit trades. This may require using more than one support or resistance level in order to ascertain a trend. Support refers to the lower end of the price, where the price generally stops falling and turns around. Resistance is the upper end, where the price generally stops rising and begins to dip.

The numerals R1, R2, R3 and S1, S2, S3 refer to the resistance (R) and support (S) levels used to calculate pivot points. These six numbers combined with the primary pivot-point (PP) level form the seven metrics needed to determine pivot points.

• Resistance 1 (R1): First pivot level above the PP

• Resistance 2 (R2): First pivot level above R1, or second pivot level above PP

• Resistance 3 (R3): First pivot level above R2, or third pivot level above the PP

• Support 1 (S1): First pivot level below the PP

• Support 2 (S2): First pivot level below the S1, or the second below the PP

• Support 3 (S3): First pivot level below the S2, or the third below the PP

Pivot Point Formulas

All the formulas for R1-R3 and S1-S3 include the basic PP level value. Once the PP has been calculated, you can move on to calculating R1, R2, S1, and S2:

R1 = (PP x 2) – Daily Low
R2 = PP + (Daily High – Daily Low)
S1 = (PP x 2) – Daily High
S2 = PP – (Daily High – Daily Low)

At this point, there are only two more levels to calculate: R3 and S3:

R3 = Daily High + 2 x (PP – Daily Low)
S3 = Daily Low – 2 x (Daily High – PP)

How Are Weekly Pivot Points Calculated?

Pivot points are most commonly used for intraday charting. But you can chart the same data for a week, if you needed to. You just use the values from the prior week, instead of day, as the basis for calculations that would apply to the current week.

Types of Pivot Points

There are at least four types of pivot points, including the standard ones. Their variations make some changes or additions to the basic pivot-point calculations to bring additional insight to the price action.

Standard Pivot Points

These are the most basic pivot points. Standard pivot points begin with the primary pivot point, which is the average of the high, low, and closing prices from a previous trading period. The support and resistance levels can be calculated from there, as noted above.

Fibonacci Pivot Points

Fibonacci projections — named after a well-known mathematical sequence — help identify support and resistance levels. The percentage levels that follow represent potential areas of a trend change. Most commonly, these percentage levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.

Technical analysts believe that when an asset falls to one of these levels, the price might stall or reverse. Fibonacci projections work well in conjunction with pivot points because both aim to identify levels of support and resistance in an asset’s price.

Woodie’s Pivot Point

The Woodie’s pivot point places a greater emphasis on the closing price of a security. The calculation varies only slightly from the standard formula for pivot points.

Demark Pivot Points

Demark pivot points create a different relationship between the open and close price points, using the numeral X to calculate support and resistance, and to emphasize recent price action.

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How Might Traders Interpret Pivot Points?

A trader might read a pivot point as they would any other level of support or resistance. Traders generally believe that when prices break out beyond a support or resistance level, there’s a good chance that the trend will continue for some time.

• When prices fall beneath support, this could indicate bearish sentiment, and the decline could continue.

• When prices rise above resistance, this could indicate bullish sentiment, and the rise could continue.

• Pivot points can also be used to draw trend lines in attempts to recognize bigger technical patterns.

The Takeaway

The pivot-point indicator is a key tool in technical stock analysis. This pricing technique is best used along with other indicators on short, intraday trading time frames. This indicator is thought to render a good estimate as to where prices could “pivot” in one direction or another.

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FAQ

How are weekly pivot points calculated?

Pivot points can be applied to any time frame, simply by adjusting the period. To calculate a weekly pivot point you can use the values from the prior week, instead of day, as the basis for calculations that would apply to the current week.

How accurate are pivot points?

While no technical analysis tool is guaranteed, pivot points are generally considered among the more accurate in terms of helping traders gauge support and resistance levels, and market trends overall.

Do professional traders use pivot points?

Professional traders do use pivot points, but usually in combination with other types of technical analysis — depending on the trade they want to make.

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Apr

2024

Private Equity vs Venture Capital

By Dan Miller | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Venture capital and private equity funds are two different ways that companies, funds or individuals invest in other companies. While the two types of funds share some similarities, there are also key differences that you’ll want to be aware of. While many private equity and venture capital funds are privately held, some are open to individual investors.

A private equity fund might use its managerial, technological or other expertise to invest in one specific company, hoping to turn it around and improve its profitability. That would allow the fund to sell their investment for a healthy return. Venture capital firms often invest in early-stage companies or startups. They provide capital funds to these companies in exchange for a portion of the company’s equity.

Key Points

• Private equity and venture capital are two ways that people, funds or companies invest in other companies.

• Private equity funds often invest in a small number or even just one company at a time, usually a mature company.

• Venture capital funds generally invest in many different companies that are early in their journey to profitability.

• While many private equity and venture capital funds are privately held, there are some that are publicly traded and open to individual investors.

What Is Private Equity?

Private equity refers to investing in companies that are not publicly traded. Unlike investing in public equities (such as by purchasing index funds or shares of stock of companies listed on a public stock exchange), private equity investors put their money into privately-held companies.

While you might not think of private companies as having shares of stock in the same way that publicly-traded companies do, most incorporated companies do have shares of stock. A small company might only have a hundred or even less shares, all owned by the initial founders of the company.

A private company that is more established, on the other hand, might have hundreds of thousands or even millions of shares owned by a wide variety of people. The stock of private companies might be owned by the founders, employees or other private equity investors.

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What Is Venture Capital?

Venture capital refers to investors and money that is invested into early-stage companies in the hope that they will generate an above-average return on investment. Venture capital investing usually refers to funds or individuals that give money to early-stage companies, but the investment can also be via managerial or technical expertise.

Venture capital money is often invested over a series of “rounds.” Initially there might be an “angel” round or “seed” round, and then Series A, B, C and so on. In each round, companies receive funding from venture capital investors in exchange for a percentage of the company’s stock, at an agreed-upon valuation.

Generally, the earlier the round of venture capital investment, the lower the valuation. This allows the earliest investors to potentially have the highest return on investment, since they also carry the largest amount of risk.

Venture capital and private equity may serve as examples of alternative investments for certain investors.

Key Differences Between Private Equity and Venture Capital

While private equity and venture capital both refer to companies or funds that invest in companies, there are a few key differences that you’ll want to be aware of:

Private Equity	Venture Capital
Generally invests in already established companies	Often invests in early-stage companies and/or startups
Often purchase entire companies and work to improve their profitability	Purchase a portion of the companies they invest in
Generally invest more money and focus on fewer companies	Firms tend to spread their money around — investing relatively fewer amounts of money in more investments

Advantages and Disadvantages

When you compare private equity vs. venture capital investing, there are a few similarities as well as advantages or disadvantages to investing in both.

In most cases, comparing the advantages and disadvantages of venture capital vs. private equity depends on your own specific situation or goal. What might be an advantage for one investor could be a disadvantage for an investor with a different risk tolerance or financial profile.

One potential advantage of investing in private equity is that private equity firms often concentrate their money in a small number of firms. This might allow the private equity investors to concentrate their expertise into improving the profitability of those companies. However, some might consider this a disadvantage, since you might lose some or most of your investment if the company is not able to turn things around.

Similarly, venture capital investors typically invest in a number of startups and early-stage companies. One advantage of investing in this manner is that you may see outsized returns if the company succeeds. However, a related disadvantage is that many companies in these early stages do not succeed, potentially wiping out your entire investment.

In that sense, it’s a high-risk, high-potentialy-reward area of investment.

Common Misconceptions

One common misconception about private equity vs. venture capital is that only investors with significant net worth can invest in these fields. While it is true that most actual private equity and venture capital investors are those with access to significant amounts of capital, there are also many private equity or venture capital funds that sell shares of the funds themselves to retail investors.

This may allow even regular individual investors to take part in investing in venture capital or private equity.

💡 Quick Tip: Investment fees are assessed in different ways, including trading costs, account management fees, and possibly broker commissions. When you set up an investment account, be sure to get the exact breakdown of your “all-in costs” so you know what you’re paying.

The Takeaway

Private equity and venture capital funds are two different ways that companies invest in other companies. While they share a lot of similarities, there are also some key differences. One big difference is that generally, private equity funds invest more money in fewer companies while venture capital funds often invest (relatively) smaller sums of money in many companies.

While most private equity and venture capital funds are privately held, there are some that are publicly traded and open to individual investors.

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FAQ

Is private equity better than venture capital?

Private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) are two forms of investing in other companies, and when comparing the difference between VC and PE, it isn’t really the case that one is better than the other. Instead, it will depend on your own specific financial situation and/or risk tolerance. You can also consider alternative investments to both private equity and venture capital.

Which is the riskier option?

Both private equity and venture capital carry some level of risk. In one manner of speaking, venture capital is riskier, since many of the early-stage companies that they invest in will not succeed. However, most venture capital funds mitigate that risk by investing in many different companies. One successful investment may pay off the losses of tens or even hundreds of unsuccessful venture capital investments.

Are there private equity or venture capital funds available to buy?

Many private equity and venture capital firms are targeted towards investors with significant assets and/or a high net worth. However, there are some funds that are publicly traded and thus available to individual investors. Make sure that you do your own research before investing in any one particular private equity or venture capital fund.

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Mar

2024

What is the Greenshoe Option? Definition & How it Works

By Laurel Tincher | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The greenshoe option allows underwriters involved with IPOs to sell more shares than initially agreed upon: usually up to 15% more. That can occur if there is enough investor demand to purchase the shares.

Because IPO share prices can be volatile, the greenshoe option is an important tool that can help underwriters stabilize the price of a newly listed stock to protect both the company and investors.

Understanding the Greenshoe Option

Also called the over-allotment option, the greenshoe provision is part of an underwriting agreement between an underwriter and a company issuing stock as part of an IPO, or initial public offering. The greenshoe option is the only type of price stabilization allowed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The SEC allows this because it increases competitiveness and efficiency of IPO fundraising. It gives underwriters the ability to stabilize security prices by increasing the available supply. It is the responsibility of an underwriter to help sell shares, build a market for a new stock, and use the tools at their disposal to launch a successful initial public offering.

The greenshoe option got its name when the Green Shoe Manufacturing Company was issued the first over-allotment options in 1919.

💡 Quick Tip: Access to IPO shares before they trade on public exchanges has usually been available only to large institutional investors. That’s changing now, and some brokerages offer pre-listing IPO investing to qualified investors.

How Does a Greenshoe Option Work?

During the IPO process, stock issuers set limits on how many shares they will sell to investors during an IPO. With a greenshoe option, the IPO underwriter can sell up to 15% more shares than the set amount.

IPO underwriters want to sell as many shares as they can because they earn on commission as a percentage of IPO sales.

All of the details about an IPO sale and underwriter abilities appear in the prospectus filed by the issuing company before the sale. Not every company allows their investment banker to use the greenshoe option. For instance, if they only want to raise a specific amount of capital, they wouldn’t want to sell any more shares than necessary to raise that money.

There are two ways an underwriter can over allot sales:

At the IPO Price

If the IPO they are underwriting is doing well, investors are buying IPO shares and the price is going up, the underwriter can use the greenshoe option to purchase up to 15% more stock from the issuing company at the IPO price and sell that stock to investors at the higher market price for a profit.

A Break Issue

Conversely, if an IPO isn’t doing well, the underwriter can take a short position on up to 15% of the issued stock and buy back shares from the market to stabilize the price and cover their position.

The underwriter then returns those additional shares to the issuing company. This is known as a “break issue.” When an IPO isn’t performing well, this can reduce consumer confidence in the stock, and result in investors either selling their shares or refraining from buying them.

The greenshoe option helps the underwriter stabilize the stock price and reduce stock volatility.

Types of Greenshoe Options

There are three types of greenshoe options an underwriter might choose to use depending on what happens after an IPO launches. These options are:

Full Greenshoe

If the underwriter can’t buy back any shares before the stock price increases, this is known as a full greenshoe. In this case, the underwriter buys shares at the current offering price.

Partial Greenshoe

In a partial greenshoe scenario, the underwriter only buys back some of the stock inventory they started with in order to increase the share price.

Reverse Greenshoe

The third option for underwriters is to purchase shares from market investors and sell them back to the stock issuer if the share price has dipped below the original offering price. This is similar to a put option in stock trading.

Recommended: How Are IPO Prices Set?

Greenshoe Option Examples

Here’s an example of how a greenshoe option might work in real life.

Once the IPO company owners, underwriter, and clients determine the offering or initial price of the newly issued shares, they’re ready to be traded on the public market. Ideally, the share price will rise above offering, but if the shares fall below the offering price the underwriter can exercise the greenshoe option (assuming the company had approved it in the prospectus).

To control the price, the underwrite can short up to 15% more shares than were part of the original IPO offering.

Let’s say a company’s initial public offering is going to be 10 million shares. The underwriters can sell up to 15% over that amount, or 1.5 million more shares, thus giving underwriters the ability to increase or decrease the supply as needed — adding to liquidity and helping to control price stability.

What the Greenshoe Option Means for IPO Investors

The greenshoe option is an important tool for underwriters that can help with the success of an IPO and bring additional funds to the issuing company. It reduces risk for the issuing company as well as investors. It can maintain IPO investor confidence in a newly issued stock which helps to build a long-term group of shareholders.

Although buying IPO stocks can be very profitable, stock prices don’t always increase and sometimes they can be volatile. It’s important for investors to research a company, look at the IPO prospectus, understand what the stock lock-up period and greenshoe options are before deciding to buy.

The Takeaway

Buying shares in IPOs can be a great way to invest in companies right when they go public. Although IPO investing comes with some risks, and IPO stock can be volatile, investment banks and companies going public use tools such as the greenshoe option to minimize volatility.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
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Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.

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Feb

2024

Stochastic Oscillator Explained

By Matthew Warholak | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

A stochastic oscillator is a technical indicator that traders use to determine whether a given security is overbought or oversold. Traders will use a stochastic indicator, which is considered a momentum indicator, to compare a specific closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain time frame.

In other words, by using a stochastic chart traders can gauge the momentum of a security’s price with the aim of anticipating trends and reversals. A stochastic oscillator uses a range of 0 to 100 to determine if an asset is overbought (when the measurements are above 80) or oversold (when the measurement is below 20).

What Is a Stochastic Oscillator?

Let’s consider two main types of analysis that investors and traders commonly use when trading stocks: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis incorporates earnings data, in addition to economic and market news, to predict how an asset’s price might move. Whereas technical analysis relies on various sets of data and indicators, such as price and volume, to identify patterns and trends.

The stochastic oscillator is a key tool in securities trading because it helps gauge how strong the momentum of the market is. Thus the stochastic oscillator, or sto indicator, is an indicator used in trading to assess trend strength.

History of the Stochastic Oscillator

Developed in the 1950s for commodities traders, the stochastic oscillator is now a common technical indicator that investors use to evaluate a variety of assets in many online investing platforms and price chart services.

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How Does a Stochastic Oscillator Work?

The stochastic oscillator has two moving lines, or stochastics, that oscillate between and around two horizontal lines. The primary “fast” moving line is called the %K and reflects with a specific formula, while the other “slow” line is a three-period moving average of the %K line.

The full stochastic oscillator is a line customized by the user that may combine the traits of the slow and fast stochastics.

Slow vs Fast Stochastics

A signal is generated when the “fast” %K line diverges above the “slow” line or vice versa. The two horizontal lines are often pre-set at 30 and 70, indicating oversold and overbought levels, respectively, but can be modified to other levels, such as 20 and 80, to reduce the risk of entering trades on false or premature signals.

The price is considered “overbought” when the two moving lines rise above the upper horizontal line and “oversold” when they fall below the lower horizontal line. The overbought line indicates price action that exceeds the top 20% (or 30%) of the recent price range over a defined period — typically 14-interval period. Conversely, the oversold line represents price levels that fit into the bottom 20% of the recent price range.

The stochastic oscillator is a form of stock technical analysis that calculates statistically opportune times for trade entries and exits. When both stochastics are above the ‘overbought’ line (typically 80) and the fast %K line crosses below the slow %D line, this may signify a time to exit a long position or initiate a short position.

Conversely, when both stochastics are below the oversold line (typically 20), and the %K line crosses above the %D line, this could signify a time to exit a short position or initiate a new long position.

The stochastic oscillator is especially useful among commonly day-traded assets such as low-float stocks that have limited amounts of shares and are more volatile.

However useful these stock indicators are for determining entry and exit points, most readers use them in connection with other tools. While a stochastic oscillator is useful for implementing an overall strategy, it does not assist with identifying the overall market sentiment or trend direction.

It is only when the trend or sideways trading range is well established that traders can safely and reliably use the stochastic oscillator to look for long entries in oversold conditions and shorts entries in overbought conditions.

What Is the Formula for a Stochastic Oscillator?

Below is the calculation for a standard 14-period stochastic indicator, but the time period can be adjusted for any time frame.

Calculation for %K:

%K = [(C – L14) / H14 -L14)] x 100

Key:

C = Latest closing price
L14 = Lowest low over the period
H14 = Highest high over the period

%K is sometimes referred to as the “fast stochastic”, whereas the “slow” stochastic indicator is defined as %D = 3-period moving of %K.

The general idea for this oscillator is that in an uptrending market prices will close near the indicator’s high, and in a downtrending market prices will close near the low. Trade signals are generated when the “fast” %K line crosses above or below the three-period moving average, or “slow” %D.

The Slow %K Stochastic Oscillator incorporates a slower three-interval period that provides a moderate internal smoothing of %K. If the %K smoothing period was set to one instead of three, it would result in the equivalent of plotting the ‘fast stochastic.’

Pros of the Stochastic Oscillator

There are several benefits to using the stochastic oscillator when evaluating investments.

Clear Entry/Exit Signals

The oscillator has a simple design and generates visual signals when it reaches an extreme level, which can help a trader determine when it’s time to buy or when to sell stocks.

Frequent Signals

For more active traders who trade on intraday charts such as the five, 10, or 15 minute time frames, the stochastic oscillator generates signals more often as price action oscillates in smaller ranges.

Easy to Understand

The oscillator’s fluctuating lines ranging from 0 to 100 are fairly clear for investors who know how to use them.

Available on Most Trading Platforms

The stochastic oscillator is a ubiquitous technical indicator found in many trading platforms, online brokerages, and technical chart services with similar configurations.

Recommended: How to Open a Brokerage Account

Cons of the Stochastic Oscillator

Despite its benefits, the stochastic oscillator is not a perfect tool.

Possible False Signals

Everyone’s strategy is different but depending on the time settings chosen, traders may misperceive a sharp oscillation as a buy or sell signal, especially if it goes against the trend. This is more common during periods of market volatility.

Doesn’t Measure the Trend or Direction

The stochastic oscillator calculates the strength or weakness of price action in a market, not the overall trend or direction.

How to Trade With the Stochastic Oscillator

Some traders find the stochastic oscillator indicator useful to identify trade entry and exit points, and help decide whether they’re bullish on a stock. The stochastic oscillator does this by comparing a particular closing price based on the user’s selected time frame to a range of the security’s highest and lowest prices over a certain period of time.

Traders can reduce the sensitivity of the oscillator to market fluctuations by adjusting the time frame and range of prices. The oscillator tends to trend around a mean price level because it relies on recent price history, but it also adjusts (with lag) when prices break out of price ranges.

The Takeaway

The stochastic oscillator is a popular technical trading indicator, which can help investors find trading opportunities, measure movements, and calculate valuations. After identifying the direction of a security’s trend, the stochastic oscillator can help determine when the security is overbought or oversold, thus identifying lower-risk trade-entry points.

The oscillator uses a complex formula to calculate recent price averages according to the user’s preset time frame and the most recent price to the average price ranges. The tool plots the final calculation on a scale of 0 to 100, 0 being extremely oversold and 100 being extremely overbought. While technical indicators are not trading strategies on their own, they are useful tools when properly incorporated into an overall trading strategy.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Which is more accurate, RSI or Stochastic?

Relative strength index, or RSI, tends to be more useful for investors in trending markets, whereas Stochastics tend to be more helpful or reliable in non-trending markets.

What are the default indicator settings for Stochastic?

The default indicator settings for Stochastic Indicator are 5,3,3, though there are other commonly-used settings.

What is divergence in Stochastics?

Divergences are indications of a change, and can be used by traders or investors to try and determine whether a trend is getting weaker, stronger, or continuing.

Photo credit: iStock/alvarez

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Feb

2024

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What Is Considered a Good Return on Investment?

By Inyoung Hwang | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | No Comments

Table of Contents

What Is the Historical Average Stock Market Return?
Why Your Money Loses Value If You Don’t Invest It
What Is a Good Rate of Return for Various Investments?
Likely Return on Investment Assets
Remember the Principles of Good Investing

A good return on investment is generally considered to be about 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, and adjusting for inflation. But of course what one investor considers a good return might not be ideal for someone else.

And while getting a “good” return on your investments is important, it’s equally important to know that the average return of the U.S. stock market is just that: an average of the market’s performance, typically going back to the 1920s. On a year-by-year basis, investors can expect returns that might be higher or lower — and they also have to face the potential for outright losses.

In addition, the S&P 500 is a barometer of the equity markets, and it only reflects the performance of the 500 biggest companies in the U.S. Most investors will hold other types of securities in addition to equities, which can affect their overall portfolio return.

Key Points

• A good return on investment is generally considered to be around 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, adjusted for inflation.

• The average return of the U.S. stock market is around 10% per year, adjusted for inflation, dating back to the late 1920s.

• Different investments, such as CDs, bonds, stocks, and real estate, offer varying rates of return and levels of risk.

• It’s important to consider factors like diversification and time when investing long-term.

• Investing in stocks carries higher potential returns but also higher risk, while investments like CDs offer lower returns but are considered safer.

What Is the Historical Average Stock Market Return?

Dating back to the late 1920s, the S&P 500 index has returned, on average, around 10% per year. Adjusted for inflation that’s roughly 7% per year.

Here’s how much a 7% return on investment can earn an individual after 10 years. If an individual starts out by putting in $1,000 into an investment with a 7% average annual return, they would see their money grow to $1,967 after a decade, assuming little or no volatility (which is unlikely in real life).

It’s important for investors to have realistic expectations about what type of return they’ll see.

For financial planning purposes however, investors interested in buying stocks should keep in mind that that doesn’t mean the stock market will consistently earn them 7% each year. In fact, S&P 500 share prices have swung violently throughout the years. For instance, the benchmark tumbled 38% in 2008, then completely reversed course the following March to end 2009 up 23%.

Factors such as economic growth, corporate performance, interest rates, and share valuations can affect stock returns. Thus, it can be difficult to say X% or Y% is a good return, as the investing climate varies from year to year.

A better approach is to think about your hoped-for portfolio return in light of a certain goal (e.g. retirement), and focus on the investment strategy that might help you achieve that return.

Line graph: 10 Year Model of S&P 500

Why Your Money Loses Value If You Don’t Invest it

It’s helpful to consider what happens to the value of your money if you simply hang on to cash.

Keeping cash can feel like a safer alternative to investing, so it may seem like a good idea to deposit your money into a savings account — the modern day equivalent of stuffing cash under your mattress. But cash slowly loses value over time due to inflation; that is, the cost of goods and services increases with time, meaning that cash has less purchasing power. Inflation can also impact your investments.

Interest rates are important, too. Putting money in a savings account that earns interest at a rate that is lower than the inflation rate guarantees that money will lose value over time.

This is why, despite the risks, investing money is often considered a better alternative to simply saving it. The inflation risk is lower.

What Is a Good Rate of Return for Various Investments?

As noted above, determining a good rate of return will also depend on the specific investments you hold, and your asset allocation. You can always calculate the expected rate of return for various securities.

CDs

Certificates of deposit (CDs) may be considered a relatively safe investment because they offer a fixed rate of return in return for keeping your money on deposit for a specific period of time. That means there’s relatively little risk — but because investors also agree to tie their money up for a predetermined period of time CDs are also considered illiquid. There is generally a penalty for withdrawing your money before the CD matures.

Generally, the longer money is invested in a CD, the higher the return. Many CDs require a minimum deposit amount, and larger deposits (i.e. for jumbo CDs) tend to be associated with higher interest rates.

It’s the low-risk nature of CDs that also means that they earn a lower rate of return than other investments, usually only a few percentage points per year. But they can be a good choice for investors with short-term goals who need a relatively low-risk investment vehicle while saving for a short-term goal.

Here are the weekly national rates compiled by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as of April 17, 2023:

Non-Jumbo Deposits	National Avg. Annual Percentage Yield
1 month	0.24%
3 month	0.78%
6 month	1.03%
12 month	1.54%
24 month	1.43%
36 month	1.34%
48 month	1.29%
60 month	1.37%

Bonds

Purchasing a bond is basically the same as loaning your money to the bond-issuer, like a government or business. Similar to a CD, a bond is a way of locking up a certain amount of money for a fixed period of time.

Here’s how it works: A bond is purchased for a fixed period of time (the duration), investors receive interest payments over that time, and when the bond matures, the investor receives their initial investment back.

Generally, investors earn higher interest payments when bond issuers are riskier. An example may be a company that’s struggling to stay in business. But interest payments may be lower when the borrower is trustworthy, like the U.S. government, which has never defaulted on its Treasuries.

Stocks

Stocks can be purchased in a number of ways. But the important thing to know is that a stock’s potential return will depend on the specific stock, when it’s purchased, and the risk associated with it. Again, the general idea with stocks is that the riskier the stock, the higher the potential return.

This doesn’t necessarily mean you can put money into the market today and assume you’ll earn a large return on it in the next year. But based on historical precedent, your investment may bear fruit over the long-term. Because the market on average has gone up over time, bringing stock values up with it, but stock investors have to know how to handle a downturn.

As mentioned, the stock market averages a return of roughly 7% per year, adjusted for inflation.

Real Estate

Returns on real estate investing vary widely. It mostly depends on the type of real estate — if you’re purchasing a single house versus a real estate investment trust (REIT), for instance — and where the real estate is located.

As with other investments, it all comes down to risk. The riskier the investment, the higher the chance of greater returns and greater losses. Investors often debate the merit of investing in real estate versus investing in the market.

Likely Return on Investment Assets

For investors who have a high risk tolerance (they’re willing to take big risks to potentially earn high returns), some investments are better than others. For example, investing in a CD isn’t going to reap a high return on investment. So for those who are looking for higher returns, riskier investments are the way to go.

Remember the Principles of Good Investing

Investors focused on seeing huge returns over the short-term may set themselves up for disappointment. Instead, remembering basic tenets of responsible investing can best prep an investor for long-term success.

First up: diversification. It can be a good idea to invest in a wide variety of assets — stocks, bonds, real estate, etc., and a wide variety of investments within those subgroups. That’s because each type of asset tends to react differently to world events and market forces. Due to that, a diverse portfolio can be a less risky portfolio.

Time is another important factor when investing. Investing early may result in larger returns in the long-term. That’s largely because of compound interest, which is when interest is earned on an initial investment, along with the returns already accumulated by that investment. Compound interest adds to your returns.

Investing with SoFi

While every investor wants a “good return” on their investments, there isn’t one way to achieve a good return — and different investments have different rates of return, and different risk levels. Investing in CDs tends to deliver lower returns, while stocks (which are more volatile) may deliver higher returns but at much greater risk.

Your own investing strategy and asset allocation will have an influence on the potential returns of your portfolio over time.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an Active Invest account with SoFi invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, and other fees apply (full fee disclosure here). Members can access complimentary financial advice from a professional.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Pivot Point: What It Is and How to Use It in Trading

What Is a Pivot Point?

Two Ways to Use Pivot Points

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How to Calculate Pivot Points

What Are Resistance and Support Levels in Pivot Points?

Pivot Point Formulas

How Are Weekly Pivot Points Calculated?

Types of Pivot Points

Standard Pivot Points

Fibonacci Pivot Points

Woodie’s Pivot Point

Demark Pivot Points

How Might Traders Interpret Pivot Points?

The Takeaway

FAQ

How are weekly pivot points calculated?

How accurate are pivot points?

Do professional traders use pivot points?

Private Equity vs Venture Capital

What Is Private Equity?

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What Is Venture Capital?

Key Differences Between Private Equity and Venture Capital

Advantages and Disadvantages

Common Misconceptions

The Takeaway

FAQ

Is private equity better than venture capital?

Which is the riskier option?

Are there private equity or venture capital funds available to buy?

What is the Greenshoe Option? Definition & How it Works

Understanding the Greenshoe Option

How Does a Greenshoe Option Work?

At the IPO Price

A Break Issue

Types of Greenshoe Options

Full Greenshoe

Partial Greenshoe

Reverse Greenshoe

Greenshoe Option Examples

What the Greenshoe Option Means for IPO Investors

The Takeaway

Stochastic Oscillator Explained

What Is a Stochastic Oscillator?

History of the Stochastic Oscillator

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How Does a Stochastic Oscillator Work?

Slow vs Fast Stochastics

What Is the Formula for a Stochastic Oscillator?

Pros of the Stochastic Oscillator

Clear Entry/Exit Signals

Frequent Signals

Easy to Understand

Available on Most Trading Platforms

Cons of the Stochastic Oscillator

Possible False Signals

Doesn’t Measure the Trend or Direction

How to Trade With the Stochastic Oscillator

The Takeaway

FAQ

Which is more accurate, RSI or Stochastic?

What are the default indicator settings for Stochastic?

What is divergence in Stochastics?

What Is Considered a Good Return on Investment?

What Is the Historical Average Stock Market Return?

Why Your Money Loses Value If You Don’t Invest it

Get up to $1,000 in stock when you fund a new Active Invest account.*

Access stock trading, options, alternative investments, IRAs, and more. Get started in just a few minutes.

What Is a Good Rate of Return for Various Investments?

CDs

Bonds

Stocks

Real Estate

Likely Return on Investment Assets

Remember the Principles of Good Investing

Investing with SoFi

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now for the rest of us.

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